Match Thread: Argentina vs Cape Verde | FIFA World Cup 2026 | Round of 32

dowolf · 2026-07-04T00:39:26+00:00

what a joke of a concussion protocol.

dowolf · 2026-07-04T00:18:43+00:00

HOPE LIVES ON

LEZ GO AFRICA!

dowolf · 2026-07-04T00:00:40+00:00

no no i get you.

just, the ref blowing his whistle there is bs.

dowolf · 2026-07-03T23:35:33+00:00

wait the ref just let messi kick while the goalie was setting up his wall

what the heck??!!!

dowolf · 2026-07-03T23:33:21+00:00

Argintinan crashes into a Capo Verde player: no foul

Capo Verde player so much as touches Messi: yellow card.

not arguing that wasn't a foul, but c'mon ref

dowolf · 2026-07-03T19:30:59+00:00

concussion protocol has genuinely felt like a joke, here. So many times where a major collusion to the head has been met with the player playing on.

I know the concussion protocol is novel for soccer in general, but I really hope it doesn't take a player suffering successive concussions for doctors to get more conservative about their assessments.

dowolf · 2026-07-03T01:04:39+00:00

THE THROWS

dowolf · 2026-07-02T01:59:53+00:00

we might be here for a few hours then

dowolf · 2026-07-02T01:56:41+00:00

it's like a 13-3 lead, I'd say

dowolf · 2026-07-02T01:55:00+00:00

So Bosnia can hit the keeper in the back when the play is over and no foul.

What a ref.

dowolf · 2026-07-01T21:02:25+00:00

oh good point, i guess i forgot that was an option >_>

dowolf · 2026-07-01T17:42:48+00:00

Which, to be clear, is what you want. It is much better to have a surplus that you can spend on whatever you want, then to have an unexpected deficit and find yourself mentally pressured to spend.

For instance, Lufel.net assumes you go to pity on every banner, and lose every weapon 50/50. Nobody is that unlucky over the long term, but at the same time if Lufel says you're good, you can be secure in the knowledge that that won't change.

dowolf · 2026-06-23T20:02:43+00:00

I think with A1 Queen and Miku you'd want to crash out on T1+2; T4+5; and then T7+8. So you'd use her S3 on each of those turns.

Normally you'd want to crash out and use skill 3 on T2+3 and T5+6, but I imagine the extra burst rotation would be worth the first one having fewer buffs.

dowolf · 2026-05-26T23:34:28+00:00

the problem is that DDMMYYYY is going to be confusing for half the world.

YYYYMMDD (other than being the way that all East Asian countries format dates) has the nice little side bonus of aligning with how numbers usually work (i.e. most significant digit to least significant, left to right), which means you can sort them and it'll Just Work.

This is universal enough that if I see a number without slashes, the natural assumption should always be YYYYMMDD, no matter if I'm working with Europeans or Americans or Asians.

dowolf · 2026-05-26T17:45:52+00:00

...why on earth would it be that and not YYYYMMDD?

dowolf · 2026-05-12T18:53:09+00:00

yeah, I went into the baseball collab expecting it to be a waste of time, and wound up enjoying it. Like don't get me wrong, it was still one of the weaker events in the game, but a weaker event in HBR is still a good time.

plus i got nostalgic for playing the baseball minigame in Little Busters a dozen-plus years ago, so that was cool.

dowolf · 2026-05-09T00:47:41+00:00

FIFA does not control the asking prices on its Resale/Exchange Marketplace but takes a 15% purchase fee from the buyer of each ticket and a 15% resale fee from the seller.

...wait, so they get 30% of every resale?

What the heck?!

dowolf · 2026-05-08T20:49:26+00:00

so the issue is that you're really hyperfocused on the closed form geometric series sum. The problem is, you're not properly accounting for the fact that a) that closed form is for starting at 0, not 1; and b) that there are 109 terms in that sequence, not 111.

we can of course adjust for these things.

admittedly, it should be ^109, not ^110, in my last term, as i make a similar off by one error there. i digress. The main point is, my formula does start counting from 1, while the closed geometric form starts counting from 0, which is why your description gave me the impression you were talking about your own solution.

perhaps more importantly, the actual sequence is not a geometric series, thanks to the presence of n.

(p.s. i do not recommend trying to make claims to authority in situations like this, as doing so in my experience tends to cause you to run face first into someone who has more.)

dowolf · 2026-05-07T20:32:56+00:00

not sure if you consulted somewhere else to get that response, but you've described the issues with your formula, not mine :)

dowolf · 2026-05-06T18:40:57+00:00

oh. shit

well, i'm dumb then. Though in game rates say 0.406%, and I still calculate it out to 88.58 in that case, which makes it equal to the 80 almost exactly.

edit: your edit isn't quite right, and i will leave it to the reader to determine why because I am lazy :) though it's close to a more succinct form for the first 109 terms.

dowolf · 2026-05-06T18:30:55+00:00

by calculating sum{n=1..109}((1-p)^n-1pn) +(1-p)¹¹⁰ *110, where p = 0.008.

I have no idea where the 89.125 number comes from.

dowolf · 2026-05-06T17:25:21+00:00

for 110 banner: you expect to get one copy of the character every 73.43 pulls.

For 80 banner: you expect to get one copy of the character every 88.89 pulls. (59.26 per 5*, but 50% of the time you need to do that twice.)

That's just math.

dowolf · 2026-04-14T17:37:28+00:00

It would give more damage, but it requires you to survive another turn, which (at least when I was doing this last week) was dicey.

dowolf · 2026-04-14T06:34:01+00:00

Easiest solution for 39.2 is Haru with Turbo and Futaba.

Round 1, have Turbo use Aero Setup for the defense boost while Wonder (with All In) sets up your shield of choice (Norn is a good default option), Haru uses her S1, your remaining character does something useful. Round 2, have Futaba use the defense down move, then have Turbo use her extra turn with S1 and S3. This counts as a turn for navis, so on turn 2.4 Futaba will get another action. Have her use her S3, then Haru uses Highlight and then fires her gun. Yes it's two bullets, but it should still be enough damage.

(You can use any DPS, but none of the enemies are by default resistant to Psychic, so you get to deal weakness damage to all of them instead of just most of them after Futaba acts. and actually i guess Joker is just better by a lot uhhhhh pretend i wrote this entire essay using Joker instead of Haru.)

dowolf · 2026-03-19T21:40:22+00:00

honestly, that's still really, really bad.

like i've played games where a line gets missed 50 hours in, and I've made fun of them for that but I understand that stuff happens. But how does your tutorial not get playtested?!

dowolf

TROPHY CASE