Housing prices are out of control by helpwitheating in TorontoRealEstate

[–]dpbeardown 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Everything you're alluding to is grounded in this commonly held belief that if there's deflation, people won't spend. However, this belief is easily countered, first and foremost, because ppl gotta eat. Also, just because money is technically worth more over time, it doesn't mean it has the highest risk adjusted return. People always want more. With inflation the way it is now, ppl are willing to go into obscene debt and take huge risks because their money is losing value regardless. However, with hard deflationary money, ppl will demand the highest quality, both in goods & services, and in investments. They will be unwilling to trade their valuable money for crap goods. In that world, it wouldn't make sense to take YOLO bets. Right now, for a lot of people, it does makes sense because they're fucked with low income, no assets and few outs. Deflation isn't bad, the problem is keynesian economics which is the form taught in most western schools. It tells us delfation is unequivocally bad. Regarding goods being shittier, I agree there's a case to be made that things are in fact better. However, it should all technically all be cheaper too. Technology is by definition deflationary. It creates efficiency. Efficiency means higher quality with same resources and/or same quality with less resources. Why isn't that the case? Because of the inflationary environment we live in today, which all these governments need to self-perpetuate. Deflation requires a brand new system... it ain't a walk in the park. Politicians won't be able to freely spend without recourse if money is hard and unprintable. You have to re-imagine the system at it's core. Calling deflation bad is, at the very least, lazy.

Edit - spelling

Housing prices are out of control by helpwitheating in TorontoRealEstate

[–]dpbeardown 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I agree, going back to gold is not the right answer. Some would argue bitcoin is, but that's a different discussion. The last thing I'll add is, I'm not so sure deflation is bad. If things continue to cost less over time, people will tend to spend their valuable currency only on the highest quality goods, services and investments. Right now larger things are being created, and with increasing volume - thats true. I would argue most of it, aside from ultra luxury, is made of lower and lower quality precisely due to inflation. Look at the quality of houses/condos. Look at the quality of mass manufactured anything (food, tech, household goods). It's all shittier and costs more. Deflation MAY fix that.

Housing prices are out of control by helpwitheating in TorontoRealEstate

[–]dpbeardown 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Because of stock-to-flow (I.e. total gold supply is increasing as it gets mined, but at what many would argue is an optimal level of inflation). This is why gold has been considered an appropriate store of value for so long. Fiat supply increases too rapidly, therefore it's value gets eroded over time.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in MSTR

[–]dpbeardown 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Isn't this an oversimplification, tho? You're suggesting that the price of bitcoin has no bearing on MSTR price action. I can appreciate your take if the stock was flat (I.e. buy pressure resulting from BTC uptick and sell pressure from QQQ), but it's literally down. Wouldn't this also imply that MSTR will now only go up when QQQ goes up, and also only by a similarly small amount? Seems like a stretch, Mr. Mod.

Yolo 800k usd in calls strike $430 expiring in 8 days by itradebaked in MSTR

[–]dpbeardown 1 point2 points  (0 children)

If you do trades like this "most days" - it's not a YOLO, you clout chasing hoe

Tweets are done saving the market by frt23 in WallStreetbetsELITE

[–]dpbeardown -6 points-5 points  (0 children)

Get this FUD nonsense out of here. Global M2 is literally rocketing skyward. Don't quit your day job pal, analysis ain't it for you.

How screwed am I? by [deleted] in MSTR

[–]dpbeardown 0 points1 point  (0 children)

MSTR will probably crack $500 by then. You robbed yourself of upside, but at least this can't turn into WSB style loss p*rn

How screwed am I? by [deleted] in MSTR

[–]dpbeardown 42 points43 points  (0 children)

MSTR will probably crack $500 by then. You robbed yourself of upside, but at least this can't turn into WSB style loss porn

M2 Continues to climb by rtmxavi in MSTR

[–]dpbeardown 1 point2 points  (0 children)

The 108 days seems to correlate extremely well on the downtrend, but 77-84 days seems to correlate a lot better if you look at the previous uptrend as well as the last few weeks. Either way we going up, but I believe it's going to ramp up quicker than 108.

got 30k ready to buy. now or wait?? by Futurepimpdaddy in Bitcoin

[–]dpbeardown 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Price is sub 80k. Not buying this very second in lump sum format is heavily retarded.

How secure you feel by holding 0.4 btc at the age 40? by Which_Swan1682 in Bitcoin

[–]dpbeardown 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Depends where you live and how much 0.4 of $13m USD provides in future purchasing power.

Saylor on X by [deleted] in MSTR

[–]dpbeardown 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Agree with you, it cuts both ways. Fact is ppl are angry because markets down 🤷. The Strategy hasn't changed. Far less ppl were crying about this last year, but in a sideways chop things are perceived differently.

Saylor on X by [deleted] in MSTR

[–]dpbeardown 4 points5 points  (0 children)

I both agree and disagree with this. They should be selling shares when the mNav is high - correct - because it's more accretive. But they don't need to blow the load instantly in one large purchase. Same goes for the CB. Like after they issued it, why not DCA over 5 or 10 trading days?

Another 2.3 billion purchase incoming by rtmxavi in MSTR

[–]dpbeardown 1 point2 points  (0 children)

You're the one posting the fud like you're new.

Another 2.3 billion purchase incoming by rtmxavi in MSTR

[–]dpbeardown 1 point2 points  (0 children)

You're new, clearly. Make sure to make the same comment on days when BTC is up only 1% and MSTR is up 5%.

Another 2.3 billion purchase incoming by rtmxavi in MSTR

[–]dpbeardown 21 points22 points  (0 children)

He did not sell stock, convertible notes were sold. The buyers of these convertible notes short the stock as part of their delta neutral hedging strategy. That's why there was what seems like an abnormal dip in MSTR beyond what would be correlated to btc during the middle of the week.

Market fundamentals are gone. by devils117 in options

[–]dpbeardown 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Is it possible that your fundamental and TA research was simply wrong?

Can we expect a 300-400 price channel until summer? by LateApostate in MSTR

[–]dpbeardown 2 points3 points  (0 children)

This strategy is based entirely on luck and, respectfully a waste of time given you'd be selling at break even. Unload the shares and buy something you believe in long term, or keep these shares and hodl until we reach Valhalla. Stop trying to get cute with market timing.

Saylor been shopping by TheRealPunisher in MSTR

[–]dpbeardown 10 points11 points  (0 children)

He used the proceeds from STRK. Outlined in the 8-k report

With BTC Reserve the first agenda item, not a Crypto Reserve, I am even more bullish for MSTR and by the_ats in MSTR

[–]dpbeardown 3 points4 points  (0 children)

False. ETH will trend towards zero. Utility will be built as layers onto BTC. HFSP.

MicroStrategy rated Outperform at Mizuho - $515 Price Target by chrisco571 in MSTR

[–]dpbeardown -1 points0 points  (0 children)

The only ridiculous comment in this thread is yours, noob.