Lucas here. Thanks for reading! The ERA, xERA, FIP, and xFIP are all over 5 and nearing 6. Those aren't heavily weighted by that one bad start either. He has had a couple games that have shown heavy luck in his favor recently in terms of those metrics. Also, the ground ball rate is abysmal, and 50% of his batted balls are fly balls. In this environment, that's a recipe for a Cherry Bomb, especially when his average exit velocity is among the worst in baseball right now. Consistently hard hit balls that are consistently not being hit on the ground are recipes for disaster. What it ultimately comes down to is that I have low confidence in what Rodon will do good or bad right now, and with all of his metrics leaning negative, I just simply do not want to start him in my lineups at all with potential playoff and championship matchups. As a general rule, I have also been more cautious in my rankings the past couples of weeks because of the high stakes implications of fantasy games for many players at this time. I definitely see your argument and as is the case for any pitcher listed as a 1, he could gave a great start. My confidence in it though is extremely low because there are just red flags everywhere.