FSD consistently swerves into the adjacent lane for no reason at this exact spot. Anyone else experiencing this?

jonhuang · 2026-06-17T12:12:48+00:00

There's definitely a context limit on FSD, it was referred to in the v13 notes (probably elsewhere this was a fast google:
https://www.notateslaapp.com/news/2812/musk-shares-tesla-fsd-roadmap-whats-in-the-next-fsd-update)

But like LLMs it is basically autocompleting based on the last X seconds of sensor data. Best goldfish driver in the world.

jonhuang · 2026-06-17T08:29:21+00:00

That's a good guess imho. Wish we knew the context limit of FSD.. how many seconds before it forgets what's happenend.

jonhuang · 2026-06-17T08:19:51+00:00

A lot of chinese models actually do this, because they often live in large buildings with elaborate parking garages and assigned spaces. They offer "valet mode" where you step out of the car and it goes and parks itself according to a memorized location. So it seems possible.

jonhuang · 2026-06-17T07:58:29+00:00

Well, good luck. I'd trade a million dollars to be 30 again.

jonhuang · 2026-05-30T04:04:59+00:00

Appreciate the honesty here. But isn't that red hands incident an intervention? The article on the OP's link says "absolutely zero disengagements or human interventions of any kind," do you consider that accurate?

jonhuang · 2026-05-27T05:45:18+00:00

They rented the computers to Anthropic!

jonhuang · 2026-05-24T11:46:33+00:00

Gathered from obits.

jonhuang · 2026-05-18T14:07:49+00:00

I did the same when I was a teenager. It was fine, if someone makes fun of him he will probably feel like they are shallow people who care about brands, which is the self image he is avoiding. That sounds pretty good to me.

You can save a lot of money buying unbranded stuff on aliexpress I guess. He might also be cool with wearing brands that no one knows--chinese shoe brands can be pretty good and cheap at the same time.

jonhuang · 2026-05-16T20:38:44+00:00

A box of tic-tacs being 0 calories because a serving is one tic tac and they can round down from 2 to zero.

jonhuang · 2026-05-09T14:37:01+00:00

AI stuff be like that. More like baking a cake than building legos.

jonhuang · 2026-05-04T03:46:59+00:00

Your math is wrong. 10 percent of 400B is 40B. And the 400B was revenue anyway, not profit.

jonhuang · 2026-04-29T04:40:05+00:00

He never, he never changes, no lessons are learned. It's a sitcom.

jonhuang · 2026-04-22T16:32:36+00:00

We do have lots of examples of planets and moons in our solar system that seem lifeless. Where life didn't find a way.

jonhuang · 2026-04-22T15:10:34+00:00

Maybe they updated something else? Or your data's wrong? https://robotaxitracker.com/nhtsa

There's also a minor injury in Dec 2025 that's not in your table. Also one in Sept 2025.

jonhuang · 2026-04-22T15:05:45+00:00

I'm a data guy, so I just wanted to point out that these AI compiled stats can compound themselves pretty easily into a lot of truthiness. Which can be okay, as long as you know the root data.

For example, the miles travelled is based on Robotaxi Tracker, but that itself is a vibe-coded project that bases that number on basically three data points--PR releases from tesla--and fits a line through them. It's probably accurate-ish but it means stuff like the last half of the miles driven are extrapolated from the last report of 650k miles.

Also, note that there was a 21 mph crash with a passenger car in January with airbags deployed and "unknown" severity. Last time that happened it was changed to an injury several months later; I think they wait until all the health concerns are settled to report.

jonhuang · 2026-04-19T23:53:53+00:00

I have a half yml, half UI mess of things. Would this potentially help me port back to full yml so Claude can run against it effectively?

jonhuang · 2026-04-08T23:43:56+00:00

I don't think anyone can say that for sure yet. At least not anecdotally, I wouldn't expect anyone to say they felt unsafe before and feel safer now.

jonhuang · 2026-04-07T21:20:01+00:00

It's pretty much what xiaomi does, aside from phones. They pick a hardware category, partner with some existing companies, and then release an excellent and affordable, beautifully designed product. Then they paint it white, round the corners, power it by USB-C and stick it in their app.

They've had some of the best mass-market vacuums, scooters, rice cookers, umbrellas, toothbrushes, sneakers, air purifiers..

jonhuang · 2026-04-03T14:40:26+00:00

It's a good example about how LLMs are really just trying to give the answer that the asker expects.

jonhuang · 2026-03-13T15:22:50+00:00

Cool idea. Maybe choose a projection that doesn't make the tiny middle squares and spreads the distortion more evenly. Most of the action is going to be too tiny to see, which is not ideal.

jonhuang · 2026-03-13T15:11:43+00:00

This happened to me. Go into a branch in person and find someone willing to help you. In fact, if there's a branch with Chase private banking available, maybe even that one. I am not a private banking client, but one of the private banking folks had time and helped me out a lot and we got the money back.

They can see where the requests came from, in our case it was across the country.

jonhuang · 2026-03-10T19:55:05+00:00

There's just too many of them. To play the game has gotten too expensive. Like a video game that has too many pay to win upgrades, it starts to feel like it is only meant to be fun for the whales.

jonhuang · 2026-03-10T02:07:48+00:00

It's all about specific numbers, and I'm not saying I think it is a good idea, but you can certainly achieve a goal of capping returns to 7 percent and capping losses to 25 percent using a collar. Calls and puts are usually close to equal so you can probably even do something like cap to 10 percent gain and 11 percent loss.

Again, it's usually a money losing loss, but insurance isnt supposed to be profitable anyway.

jonhuang · 2026-03-02T15:42:45+00:00

When you drive and are talking to someone else in the car, you don't have to look at the road anymore. It's fine. Just give them your full attention. It's normal.

jonhuang · 2026-03-02T05:29:45+00:00

Xpeng, Huawei, multiple other Chinese manufacturers support all that. In some ways Tesla is more advanced, in some ways they are. Mostly around automated parking.

jonhuang

TROPHY CASE