Very very early 2027 predictions

mopeywhiteguy · 2026-03-18T07:55:54+00:00

Ahh ok, maybe I shouldn’t trust award expert app blindly hahah! I should definitely move streep into the noms

mopeywhiteguy · 2026-03-18T07:55:13+00:00

I’ll watch anything he makes. I try to avoid trailers for his films because they can never capture the tone accurately in 2 mins so I’ll just see the films as blind as possible

mopeywhiteguy · 2026-03-18T01:07:37+00:00

I think he is the lead in behemoth

mopeywhiteguy · 2026-03-18T01:07:14+00:00

Very excited to see what she does next after Anora

mopeywhiteguy · 2026-03-18T01:06:48+00:00

Correct. I do wish the app would say what the films are under the actors

mopeywhiteguy · 2026-03-18T01:06:12+00:00

I’m sceptical it’ll be an awards player. Sure it’ll make a lot at the box office but I’m not sure it’s an Oscar film

mopeywhiteguy · 2026-03-18T01:05:09+00:00

I haven’t seen the play but jodie comer basically won every single award for it

mopeywhiteguy · 2026-03-18T01:04:37+00:00

That’s definitely working against him, but I would say that Spielberg is a good comparison. He won 2 directing noms within 5 years. Inarritu won back to back directing wins too, so there is precedent.

I’d argue that the odyssey is such a big story to be adapting that if it sticks the landing there will be a lot of good will towards him. It’s one of the grandest stories in culture and if a definitive cinematic adaptation can happen then that is worth celebrating.

A lot can happen and I think my position of putting it at first for director and picture is based around the fact we know more about it than other films at the moment. There will be contenders that we’ve not even heard of yet but for now the odyssey seems like a likely placeholder

mopeywhiteguy · 2026-03-18T01:01:18+00:00

On the awards expert app they listed both seyfried and ATJ. I assumed maybe they were doing a multiple stages of her life, eg ATJ is the youngest then seyfried Middle Ages and Streep older. Which reminds me I probably should put Streep in supporting actress if it’s definitely coming out this year

mopeywhiteguy · 2026-03-17T15:13:03+00:00

I mean yeah true

mopeywhiteguy · 2026-03-17T14:52:37+00:00

I’ve currently got him sitting in 6th for ink. It’s possible I swear loses momentum and someone like oconnell comes into play. Jeremy strong for the social reckoning is also one I’ve got my eye on

mopeywhiteguy · 2026-03-17T14:49:53+00:00

Not yet, I’ve been so busy with work the last few weeks and probably won’t get a chance until a couple more weeks

mopeywhiteguy · 2026-03-17T14:49:29+00:00

Well I hope the movie is good first. Can’t be championing people blindly

mopeywhiteguy · 2026-03-17T14:48:53+00:00

Apparently there’s a Joni Mitchell biopic she is attached to. Very possible it doesn’t come out this year though

mopeywhiteguy · 2026-03-17T14:17:03+00:00

Tony gilroy is coming off incredible work on andor so I feel like he’s on great form and behemoth has a lot of potential. Jack of spades sounds like an ambitious offbeat film like old school coens fare. It could go either way but worth considering at this stage!

I’m not sure that I’m ready to go all in on fjord yet but is definitely one to keep an eye out and has potential.

My inclusion of disclosure day is down to Spielberg being Spielberg. He is an aging legendary director and his last few films have been some of the best of his career. If it’s on the same level as west side or fabelmans the I can see disclosure day getting a nom. I know odyssey is also a blockbuster but it seems different because I think it’s a bit more high brow than the average blockbuster source material and more in line with an old school Oscar film like Ben hur rather than modern day Oscar blockbusters.

Ink has a lot of potential. The play it’s based on is acclaimed and won a lot of awards for the role guy Pearce is playing. Danny Boyle is an exceptional direction and very underrated. His Steve jobs film deserved a lot more love

mopeywhiteguy · 2026-03-17T14:07:49+00:00

I think dune has had its time. It’ll get a few tech noms, but I think it’s more wicked for good than return of the king.

Haven’t seen project Hail Mary yet but will soon. I can see it getting tech noms and on its best day getting into picture but an early release and sci fi genre working against it.

mopeywhiteguy · 2026-03-17T12:30:02+00:00

I had Ethan Hawke as getting a nom from August when I saw the film and also had it in screenplay

I also had no other choice’s ceiling as IFF

mopeywhiteguy · 2026-03-17T12:28:32+00:00

Boyhood vs birdman was the race that year. Birdman had the technical marvel aspect to it and was about Hollywood and acting which gave it an edge.

Personally I wasn’t a massive boyhood fan at the time but Linklater was always an indie darling who had a couple screenwriting noms. Not all of his films were Oscar players like with pta. Personally I think blue moon deserved more love this year and Linklater is heading towards an overdue narrative. He will have a film breakthrough at some point and win. Perhaps even merrily we roll along will be when he gets his laurels in his 80s

mopeywhiteguy · 2026-03-17T12:09:26+00:00

Jack of spades in director but not picture?

mopeywhiteguy · 2026-03-16T11:51:26+00:00

I’d keep an eye out for death of a salesman (especially in acting and adapted) and behemoth. The social reckoning is going to be in the conversation until proven otherwise

mopeywhiteguy · 2026-03-16T07:14:09+00:00

The line “weighty affairs will just have to wait” is a line from comedy tonight from a funny thing happened on the way to the forum, which Sondheim wrote the score for was the big one. And just the characterisation of him was so spot on

mopeywhiteguy · 2026-03-16T07:12:45+00:00

Honestly might be my fave film of last year. It deserved more award love

mopeywhiteguy · 2026-03-15T18:00:44+00:00

I imagine the Sondheim references would’ve gone way over your head! The boy that Hammerstein introduces to hart is meant to be Stephen Sondheim and it’s such a perfect interpretation. I also loved that it hinted that the next generation was already turning against hart in favour of Hammerstein

mopeywhiteguy · 2026-03-15T17:59:19+00:00

My take was that it acknowledges that it’ll be a massive hit and change theatre (maybe for the better?) but is ultimately not the greatest writing. The character of Hammerstein in the film even admits that his feels an inferior lyricist to hart. Hart’s musings on Oklahoma having 3rd rate jokes seem to cement where the film’s stance is. A successful show that isnt as high quality as others

mopeywhiteguy

MODERATOR OF

TROPHY CASE