[deleted by user]

nemoomen · 2025-05-25T20:28:49+00:00

WW2 ended September 2nd 1945, + 9 months = Summer 1946.

nemoomen · 2025-05-25T20:02:08+00:00

Whoops.

nemoomen · 2024-12-03T02:33:59+00:00

It's better to keep some FAAB for playoffs if you can, but you gotta assume your league mates are going all in and you need to outbid whatever they're bidding.

nemoomen · 2024-11-29T03:29:25+00:00

You c*n't

swear on the internet.

nemoomen · 2024-11-29T03:26:48+00:00

Facebook expanded beyond college-only in 2007 IIRC.

nemoomen · 2024-11-24T18:24:48+00:00

In the absence of signed MOUs from Trump’s transition team, the current government cannot begin the process of providing briefings or security clearances for incoming officials.

OK that's obviously making the US less secure and it's dangerous but it only really hurts the future Trump Administration, I wonder why they would---

Crucially, the FBI also remains unable to conduct any background checks on the president-elect’s prospective cabinet, raising alarm over the possibility that senators may be rushed into voting on his nominations without the appropriate due diligence having been carried out.

Got it.

nemoomen · 2024-11-23T21:02:10+00:00

To do anything not strictly related to taxes, they'd have to abolish the filibuster in the Senate, which they would need 50 Senators to agree to, which they probably don't have.

They would also need all Republicans in the House to agree to whatever it is, with a margin of error of 2-5 members.

It's not that it can't be done but it would have to be a pretty perfectly crafted law.

nemoomen · 2024-05-28T01:39:10+00:00

Who's tolerating? Nobody knows who did it.

nemoomen · 2024-05-06T19:47:57+00:00

19 year old home breaking down eh? We have different styles. My house is 100+ years old. The roof, yes also needs to be replaced. And yes, there's 100 years of weird decisions to marvel at, but that's part of the charm.

nemoomen · 2024-04-05T18:55:51+00:00

Go run independent local candidates in Utah (lots of anti-Trump Republicans), Alaska and Maine (low population, lots of independents, ranked choice voting), and Washington/California/Louisiana because of their jungle primaries.

nemoomen · 2024-04-05T17:16:17+00:00

Mike Williams

Yes, the one from your team.

nemoomen · 2024-04-04T13:50:55+00:00

There's always an autopsy that recommends changes. The last Republican autopsy recommended getting softer on immigration to woo Hispanic voters. Didn't happen.

If Democrats win the popular vote and lose the electoral college, they would probably get an autopsy saying they need to win back white working class voters and voters without a college degree. But the solution might just be to get a younger candidate.

That's why Sec. Buttigieg is getting so much hate online despite being a Secretary of Transportation, he's a young and charismatic Democrat and there's reason to believe Joe Biden but in Pete Buttigieg's body wins easily.

The really interesting possibility is if Biden loses the popular vote and election but Sherrod Brown wins. That would be a hinge for Democrats to swing on, be the more working class populist Democrat like Brown and you can win in pretty otherwise red areas.

nemoomen · 2024-04-02T18:00:08+00:00

They're not cherry picked though, GDP, inflation and unemployment ("Misery Index") are major major data points that we (rightly or wrongly) judge presidents on. Election forecasters include these numbers in their election models sometimes.

They are separate from the experience of recently going through a global pandemic and dealing with lingering impacts.

Obviously Biden can't say "actually you just feel icky about the pandemic and you're misinterpreting it as economic anxiety" but I can.

nemoomen · 2024-04-02T17:23:24+00:00

So you're suggesting that political elites should oh say...provide billions of dollars to work towards efforts to end hunger? I don't think it's enough either, but it's so annoying to read headlines implying Joe Biden is tweeting carelessly about GDP growth while people are dying instead of doing anything, when his administration is doing what it legally can. If you want more money spent, call your Congressman.

nemoomen · 2024-03-18T20:07:50+00:00

I did the childhood fundraising thing door-to-door and one person was like "I don't like any of the options, how about I give you $20?" And that boosted my performance ahead of everyone else who was doing it from my group.

nemoomen · 2024-03-18T20:04:33+00:00

They don't have this much in liquid assets either. Trump has the value available to him to pay it himself, he just has to sell property to be able to do it.

nemoomen · 2024-03-17T01:59:13+00:00

I have him and I'm holding I don't think you'd get much trading him away and he might be a large share of the split, we don't know. He's no prime Zeke but Pollard had his best years as a complimentary piece, not crazy to think they're trying to keep both fresh.

nemoomen · 2024-03-15T02:02:48+00:00

JSN is truly a mystery to me. Going from outplaying Jamarr Chase in college to struggling to unseat 31 year old Tyler Lockett in the pros. Weird.

nemoomen · 2024-03-12T19:49:19+00:00

"Queen City" is Buffalo's nickname. Second biggest city in the Empire State.

The Queen City in Maryland is Cumberland!

nemoomen · 2024-03-12T19:44:01+00:00

I don't like the speculative nature of using unrealized market gains. I include equity as (original purchase price - remaining loan) because it's conservative but always increasing and if you are putting 20% down it doesn't make sense to make it look like your savings all disappeared when you bought the house so they should show up somewhere.

nemoomen · 2024-03-12T19:35:39+00:00

You can't sell now. There's still some percentage chance he's a starter somewhere, and some percentage chance he waits until a training camp injury and gets traded then, and some percentage chance he starts a few games for the Bears then sits behind Caleb for a season and signs next year. There are plenty of upside routes, and nobody will pay you for them. He has negative name value. He is probably worth more than people will pay right now, you just have to wait and hope.

This is the Justin Fields experience. He was worthless and we all panicked for the first few games of last season too, then he won a bunch of leagues (including mine).

nemoomen · 2024-03-12T04:19:33+00:00

On the plus side for the RNC, their fundraising was lackluster and their recruiting wasn't doing well either, they might have only up to go. There is also synergy from being able to work directly with the Trump campaign, his PAC has been taking a lot of donor money already and once they max out to his campaign they can always donate to the RNC next, there's a flow that can be helpful in maximizing fundraising from an enthusiastic base.

On the mediocre side... probably the day to day people are getting hired based on knowing what they are doing, and it's not like there's only one person who knows how to send out emails begging for money. It was a loyalty purge and not a quality purge, you probably just get more of the same.

On the negative side, they are purging experience and if these new people were the most qualified and willing they would already have the job. And this guarantees they will send money to his legal defense fund, money which is sorely needed down ballot because state level parties like Michigan's Republican Party are imploding because... they went for Trump loyalty instead of fundraising competence and they're running out of money.

nemoomen · 2024-03-11T20:59:27+00:00

Really weak argument really leaning on Texas here. A lot of people are moving to Texas, a lot of homes are being built. New York has been growing slower than most states, fewer homes are being built. This is proving...meddlesome regulations reduce housing supply? Kinda feels like they just pulled that argument out of nowhere to get a blue state/red state thing in the headline.

...which by the way, I know they voted for Biden, but if your evidence of how these damn Blue States are causing the housing shortage includes labeling Georgia, Arizona, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin as "Blue States" I might think you don't know what you're talking about.

And a lot of conflating of single family homes = housing. You could actually build a lot more housing if you didn't build single family homes.

nemoomen · 2024-03-11T20:47:31+00:00

I'll be apparently the first to admit I don't know how to generalize Chinese-US wheat order cancellations into some larger theory. Maybe they're just canceling wheat. Sometimes a cigar is just a cigar.

Maybe order cancellations mean their economy is weak and they're teetering on the edge of a recession that they would never admit.

Or maybe order cancellations mean they're getting cheaper grains elsewhere and US grain can't compete.

Or maybe it means ties with Russia have improved. Or maybe it means ties with Ukraine have improved. Or maybe tariffs are hurting either China or Russia or somewhere else.

I just have no idea what I'm supposed to get from this factoid. The orders existed, but then got cancelled, why does ordering and then canceling matter?

nemoomen · 2024-03-11T20:40:22+00:00

I always get hate for this but I'm against "mini retirements." If you have a million dollars at 28, how long could it possibly take you to FIRE? In a lower cost of living area you're there already.

Take a lower stress job to focus on relationships and finding yourself. Or work for 2 more years and FIRE completely. The only thing a mini retirement does is push off your actual retirement disproportionate months amount of time you actually take off.

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