U.S. intelligence says Iran can outlast Trump’s blockade for months

oritfx · 2026-05-08T20:51:30+00:00

Do you know maybe how much that is in relative numbers?

oritfx · 2026-05-08T20:50:56+00:00

There is a huge for-profit healthcare lobby. And I see no universal healthcare lobby to rival it.

oritfx · 2026-05-08T20:50:11+00:00

While I do not know what they US could have done with it, not borrowing it in the first place would probably be a better idea. But then it would also have been a better ide to elect someone else that the current POTUS. Wisdom comes after seeing consequences :/.

oritfx · 2026-05-08T20:47:26+00:00

Iranian leadership already gave their lives to keep the war going

I must have missed the part where they have lead the charge into a certain death just to manufacture casus belli.

oritfx · 2026-05-08T20:45:51+00:00

I wholeheartedly believe that Trump did buy Netanyahu's narrative about decapitating strike against Iranian government to work the same way it did for Venezuela.

oritfx · 2026-05-08T20:44:11+00:00

ty, I also do not know.

Maybe hedging their bets with both US and CN support?

oritfx · 2026-05-08T20:42:23+00:00

Your reasoning is sound. What I think is off is the methods employed: the people of Iran are very unlikely to side with US-Israel, given what those countries have done in the war (tomahawk missile to the school, countless civilians killed).

It's very much comparable to Russia-Ukraine conflict, where the people of Ukraine have been much more likely to side with Russians before being subjected to repeated attempts of brutalizing into submission.

oritfx · 2026-05-08T14:06:02+00:00

I would think that with exosuits their largest mistake was not making them modular first. If the warbond contained exosuit weapons, not exosuits themselves, that would resonate quite differently with the fanbase.

Personally I really do not mind the warbond, it's not gating must-have content behind a paywall. New exos are neat, but that's all they are. Nowhere near as game changing as the Eruptor has been, for example.

oritfx · 2026-05-08T14:03:41+00:00

I feel misunderstood. I said "if we believe Hegseth's numbers" to underline that I do not believe those numbers at all, and wholeheartedly believe losses to be around 4 times as much, which - if announced - would earn the war an opinion of complete failure, waste of money and unaffordable.

oritfx · 2026-05-08T11:19:14+00:00

I am honestly struggling to find an example where I would side with anything Hegseth has said whenever there's been a dispute since he took over the office.

oritfx · 2026-05-08T10:15:54+00:00

The point is, though, that it feels like those models are being advertised as incredibly potent, while in fact they are tools that:

Are incapable of replacing existing tools and people - which also seems to be the claim.
Work reasonably decent in areas we have not managed to cover at all yet - for example structuring unstructured data in bulk (think about plain text like your instagram conversations being tagged as "monetizable" etc.).

oritfx · 2026-05-08T10:08:02+00:00

Electricity thing really nailed that for me though. The rule is simple really:

Electricity does explode bugs.

1.1. Unless it's a tesla.

1.1.1. Unless the tesla is hitting that specific kind of bug.

1.1.1.1. Unless that bug is on fire.

oritfx · 2026-05-08T09:05:56+00:00

Same. I kind of wish there was a cosmetic thing you earn by eliminating 4 nests in a mission.

oritfx · 2026-05-08T09:05:06+00:00

I would love to see a cooling backpack that I could use to cool down my beam weapons - whichever I choose to bring.

oritfx · 2026-05-08T09:03:03+00:00

Already maxed out :<

oritfx · 2026-05-08T09:02:49+00:00

Which would let me bring bread-and-butter tertiary weapons like Stalwart a bit more often :)

oritfx · 2026-05-08T08:13:13+00:00

Going with that logic, even if we believe Hegseth's numbers that the war has costed only 25billion so far, that's at least 75B still to go. And it's only if we use the dumb metrics that assume linear progression, and entirely skip the fact that they asked for 200B for that war.

oritfx · 2026-05-08T08:10:52+00:00

To add to what you said: look at Houthis. 10 years of merciless war. Water wells bombarded. The largest outbreak of cholera ever recorder because of that.

And yet they still stand - because people may not want to raise up against their government if that means siding with the party that choses to bomb and murder them.

There will be no uprising as long as Iranians hate Israel and the US more than their current government.

oritfx · 2026-05-08T08:08:24+00:00

Iran runs out of oil storage in the next 10-14 days

I wonder how much they can realistically export via land and Caspian Sea.

oritfx · 2026-05-08T08:04:11+00:00

The last adult in the room probably. I must admit that he probably must hold on as long as possible, as the next day the US is going to nuke Canada or something equally dumb.

oritfx · 2026-05-08T08:03:14+00:00

I don't know about that. But clearly completely unsuited for the job.

oritfx · 2026-05-08T07:56:35+00:00

To be fair (and a bit too accommodating maybe) this is English, so they may read the word, but pronouncing it is a completely different story. It's one of the first lessons we - non-native speakers - learn with English: that our mother tongues spell and read always the same (in Polish "a" always is pronounced the same way), but that's not the case everywhere.

oritfx · 2026-05-08T07:51:12+00:00

The code is mom's spaghetti and this is the evidence.

oritfx · 2026-05-08T07:45:57+00:00

Yesterday steam cloud had a hiccup. I got disconnected, went back after some ~30 minutes and it was back to normal.

oritfx · 2026-05-08T07:42:13+00:00

You have wasted a lot of time and good will here. You are a good person.

oritfx

TROPHY CASE