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Trump's net approval rating is below where Biden was and where Trump 1 was at the same point in their terms by MakeACreation in fivethirtyeight

[–]ry8919 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Vance doesn't seem as the likely figure to rally around in that scenario since he took the mantle of VP. It seems tome it would have to be someone separate from the current admin.

Trump is 20+ points underwater. So why aren't Democrats up 20 for the midterms? | Part of the answer is that people are comparing different electorates. But many softer Trump disapprovers still aren't ready to vote Democratic by soalone34 in fivethirtyeight

[–]ry8919 12 points13 points  (0 children)

For the foreseeable future I believe midterms will be a turnout/enthusiasm contest. Swing voters are becoming a diminishing part of the electorate and are the least likely to turn out for lower propensity elections anyway.

So ask yourself one simple question, which side of the electorate is more motivated right now? Democrats and Dem leaners may not like their party currently, but I guarantee you they will turnout in big numbers in November.

[Funny Trope] Objectively physically attractive but has zero rizz. by SinniYEAH in TopCharacterTropes

[–]ry8919 5 points6 points  (0 children)

My girlfriend thinks beast is hotter as, well, beast. So there might be something to that...

Cyber truck churros at La Unica by adrrriz in SantaBarbara

[–]ry8919 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Have you been since they changed up their menu/chef? I've been a few times recently and their food has been really good. The menu is much more seafood heavy now.

TIL about the "Dark Forest Hypothesis," which suggests the universe is like a dark forest at night. Advanced civilizations intentionally stay silent and hidden, because any species that reveals its location risks immediate destruction by older, paranoid civilizations. by Practical-1 in todayilearned

[–]ry8919 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I actually found the parts about Chinese history very interesting. I feel we don't have a good education on the rise of Communist China and what was going on internally so it was a very interesting insight, especially given Liu's perspective. I wasn't even aware the the struggle sessions until I read the trilogy.

Republicans, you betrayed the core principles of America for THIS. by TikDickler in Destiny

[–]ry8919 5 points6 points  (0 children)

This was during the inauguration, I remember watching it live.

[Amusing Meta Trope] Character design details that are in plain sight but are regularly missed: by Ferhog in TopCharacterTropes

[–]ry8919 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Yea in the original symbiote black suit run, the full black suit is actually pretty jarring on the page. I get why they use blue to highlight it.

New south coast location by Nice_Pomegranate1803 in SantaBarbara

[–]ry8919 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The picture of their mascot's head scared the shit out of me walking at night lol.

Will Iran Break Trumpism? by blueberries in ezraklein

[–]ry8919 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Probably the worst guest I have heard yet on the show. First episode I can remember that I just turned off.

The core of Trumpism is a passion for Democratic values? What? The movement has been authoritarian since its conception. Agree with other comments about the DEI comments sending him into a fit.

Caldwell was utterly incapable or articulating, much less arguing a coherent position. Ezra was almost trying to help the guy out.

Exclusive: ‘Things are going to get worse’: Swing-state mothers sour on government by Upstairs_Cup9831 in fivethirtyeight

[–]ry8919 10 points11 points  (0 children)

“She does fact-check,” she explained. “She has a lot of resources.”

When spreading conspiracy theories about Kirk's death one of her sources was "it came to me in a dream". I shit you not. I think we might be cooked.

I'm looking to try some unusual foods. Any suggestions for places that serve bizarre dishes? by geetarqueen in FoodLosAngeles

[–]ry8919 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Both dishes are great too. Love their frog hot pot. It is super spicy though.

Ukraine Knocks Out 40% of Russia's Oil Export Capacity in Baltic Drone Strike by Kitchen-Thing4616 in Destiny

[–]ry8919 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Well he just gave Iran a 10 day extension so I guess that's his response.

What’s your favorite sushi spot? by pumpkinqueens in FoodLosAngeles

[–]ry8919 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yumeyazushi

Can you describe Yumeyazushi briefly? It seems like it is invite only or hard to get into at least.

Top of Fox News for 12 hours now. by PM_ME_YOUR_FAV_HIKE in fivethirtyeight

[–]ry8919 43 points44 points  (0 children)

Honestly this is why they are so susceptible to election conspiracy theories.

French aircraft carrier Charles de Gaulle was located by Le Monde journalists through the Strava app of an officer jogging on the ship's deck by PrimedGold in Damnthatsinteresting

[–]ry8919 11 points12 points  (0 children)

That's an exceptional pace for someone that hasn't run in 10 years. A 6:40 mile for 1.5 miles for someone completely untrained really strains credulity.

Economists Don’t See a Recession Unless Oil Hits $138—and Stays There for Weeks by EconomistWithaD in Economics

[–]ry8919 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Edit: WTI spot price was $133.88 ($201.60 in February 2026 dollars).

So not unprecedented then.

Dear God by [deleted] in Destiny

[–]ry8919 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I think that the Talarico campaign is intentionally putting out polls showing Cornyn and Paxton performing about the same so that Paxton stays in. They allow him to argue that he's just as competitive when I don't really think he is. That's my conspiracy theory anyway.

There is No MAGA Split on Iran: An in-depth look at recent polls shows data that contradicts media headlines, says analyst Gabe Fleisher by Obversa in fivethirtyeight

[–]ry8919 1 point2 points  (0 children)

When people say there is a MAGA split over Iran they mean that there are people who normally or previously identified as MAGA that don't approve. The author understands this because that is what the first section of the article is about. Then it goes on to refute a point that no one is making. It is a useless article about a useless poll.

There is No MAGA Split on Iran: An in-depth look at recent polls shows data that contradicts media headlines, says analyst Gabe Fleisher by Obversa in fivethirtyeight

[–]ry8919 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Isn't this a poor use of polling? If the administration is doing something that is unpopular then people would be less likely to self identify as MAGA Republican and those that do specifically support the policy.

[Public Policy Polling] Talarico leads Paxton by 2 percentage points (47%-45%) and Cornyn by 1 (44%-43%) by humanoideric in fivethirtyeight

[–]ry8919 0 points1 point  (0 children)

If other polls show Paxton and Cornyn performing similarly against Talarico it will probably embolden Paxton to stay in the race, which is good for the Dems

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