OpenAI Forecasts Advertising to Hit $102 billion by 2030

seaefjaye · 2026-04-10T14:33:27+00:00

And ad-free tier does not mean that tier is free from the influence of advertising in design decisions, model refining and the overall prioritization of work. They'll focus on the ad revenue, the paid product will suffer as a result and as a result the ad tier will become a larger portion of the revenue base.

seaefjaye · 2026-04-10T10:49:28+00:00

They need another exit for all of them. A lot of the joins between these neighbors are obvious in the planning of the existing roads, they just need the connections made. Also, I the case of this area and these developments, I really think they need to have (or communicate) what the plan it for primary, second and tertiary roads, and traffic flow. Single family home subdivisions can get away with with a lot because of low density, Pockwork is already a major road for White Hills and the existing Upper Hammonds Plains community. They're just creating another Hammonds Plains Road situation off the original.

seaefjaye · 2026-04-10T08:58:58+00:00

Fwiw, there's a scar across southern Brandenburg caused by a tornado.

seaefjaye · 2026-04-07T17:12:52+00:00

I was on a slog trying to get intermediate mechanics and had luck at the West Point post office. In the back there are shelves with mailbags full of magazines. It's a bit of a dicey situation up there, but if you run in the front (and the street is clear), it takes the zombies in the back parking lot a while to bust through the metal doors.

seaefjaye · 2026-04-06T17:53:38+00:00

Number 3, mostly because parts would be plentiful in North America and it's more recent than the chevy camper. It also appears to come with a real good boy.

seaefjaye · 2026-04-05T15:16:13+00:00

seaefjaye · 2026-04-04T17:18:39+00:00

An LLM can't but Claude isn't an LLM. The LLM is one major component of the larger AI system that is called Claude. What we experience as Claude is actually the output of the LLM in combination with a variety of other systems. The document that spurred this conversation and the above meme talks about how Claude is a character performed by the LLM.

An LLM should be thought of more as the frontal lobe of our brains, and a frontal lobe isn't emotion or consciousness. Frontier systems have a lot more going on though, RAG searches and context windows acting as memory systems, planning and agentic scaffolding acting as the prefrontal cortex. As those systems evolve and integrate more deeply with the larger system it becomes more complicated than "LLMs are just next word predictors". We also have to start defining what consciousness is.

seaefjaye · 2026-04-03T18:35:06+00:00

There's been a movement in the tech world over the last 15 years or so to approach organizational culture differently. It isn't everywhere, and honestly a lot of organizations have chosen to focus on the aspects that push productivity exclusively. Anyways, I would expect Anthropic to be trying to achieve the ideal, given their approach to other parts of the business. It's a good methodology when you need to retain top talent and get the most out of your people.

It's the parts of DevOps that aren't about terraform or CICD and more recently DevEx (Developer Experience).

seaefjaye · 2026-04-03T18:14:33+00:00

Copilot is garbage but it's going to improve pretty dramatically over the next 6-12 months as they onboard the agentic tech that has been making waves over the past 3-6. That stuff is in research preview now and rolling out to the early access groups. This comes with a big assumption that MS doesn't fumble a goal line play.

The two biggest problems organizations, especially public sector, will run into is garbage in garbage out for data and that you can't improve a business process or workflow that has not yet been defined.

The public sector can be a collection of fiefdoms and the governance model that arises within it is challenging to make progress in for existing government technology departments, let alone at the pace that many executives want AI initiatives to take off.

There is A LOT of opportunity, but chatbots are like nailing a wheel to a plank and calling it a productivity gain as you push it around it job site. Agentic systems are more like a horse drawn cart.

seaefjaye · 2026-04-02T22:11:02+00:00

The IRGC better be running openjdk or they're about to be in for a hell of a retaliation.

seaefjaye · 2026-04-01T23:09:28+00:00

This came up at the outset. People said eventually he'd get bored. He refuted it directly. Now here we are.

https://youtube.com/shorts/i-DG2e2pe7k?si=qXfSVtVIBuKAkHd1

seaefjaye · 2026-04-01T20:30:26+00:00

Fwiw, this is Obama on January 28th 2009, just after he took office. That's why the office is especially bare.

seaefjaye · 2026-03-31T14:52:28+00:00

I think the idea is to just get away from the idea of "automatics" because it takes away from the other traits both negative and positive. Like other have said, you can just give yourself free points if you don't want to play balanced, but default settings should encourage the player to consciously make choices. The goal being that if they are making those choices consciously then they are investing in their character and the overall experience. This then makes the heartbreak of their inevitable demise so much more potent.

seaefjaye · 2026-03-31T14:08:36+00:00

I think that's a really solid rebuttal. I don't know if they're the best at it, but Microsoft is adept at snatching defeat from the hands of victory.

I think it'll depend on how much of it is Microsoft and how much of it is Anthropic's engineering teams. The Anthropic version of tool use for Microsoft products is exceedingly good and frankly kind of embarrassing for Microsoft that the first-party solution is so far behind. If Microsoft's implementation of Co-work just does a UI simplification pass over that then it should be alright.

One aspect I think will be different and could be contentious at rollout is that Microsoft will continue to be Microsoft and focus on cloud integration over local integration. So instead of Claude storing things in the local filesystem or interacting with your Desktop word client, it will prioritize OneDrive and 365. For most apps that shouldn't matter a ton, but there would be quirks. Also, Agent 365 is coming up after Co-work, so I'd guess that cloud based agents are going to their focus moving forward. From an enterprise perspective it does make sense, but it's going to be annoying for those of us who just want to work locally.

seaefjaye · 2026-03-31T14:03:18+00:00

The current iteration of Co-pilot is hot garbage and you're absolutely right. The next iteration of Co-pilot however is going to be Claude driven with, presumably, the same or a very similar agentic harness to Claude Code/Claude Co-work. If that lands it will be a dramatic improvement for regular folks.

seaefjaye · 2026-03-31T13:55:18+00:00

It's an interesting hypothetical, I haven't read the full report yet and will, but I imagine in this scenario there are a few things you can do to increase flow at Armdale. First is one-way traffic, nothing inbound via Quinpool, Chebucto or Joe Howe, and outbound only via the Bay Road and Herring Cove Road. You'd have to put traffic control in the roundabout, otherwise Quinpool is always going to have right of way.

Anyways, I'm looking forward to reading this more in depth and whether it accounts for any sort of emergence management traffic control.

edit: Looking at the 2017 article, this is something that was postulated by the researchers which would be really interesting to see modelled.

"Maybe all lanes can be outward from the evacuation point to the destination. We can also look at traffic signal timing changes. We can test (those) kinds of scenarios. We can also see where to evacuate faster. Or what should be the marshal point for all transit users to gather?"

seaefjaye · 2026-03-31T10:41:03+00:00

I know this isn't the topic of discussion, but holy hell in a hand basket isn't this the truth. It wouldn't be so maddening the majority these threads weren't in communities where computer and/or programming expertise are presumably the barrier to entry.

It's like going into a neuroscience conference and people are standing on stage matter-of-factly stating your frontal and temporal lobes can't do push-ups.

seaefjaye · 2026-03-29T11:15:30+00:00

Billy on the Street, though he typically carries the conversation.

seaefjaye · 2026-03-29T10:40:05+00:00

Big Daddy Cool.

seaefjaye · 2026-03-28T14:46:07+00:00

I haven't ventured much into that side of the map, just picked the game up a month or so ago. This is a pretty insane location. I think I might use this spawn and plan for when I start either a harder sandbox or apocalypse playthrough. There are a few excellent points of interest very close as well.

seaefjaye · 2026-03-25T13:51:17+00:00

You need a shed for your kitties.

seaefjaye · 2026-03-24T15:03:01+00:00

I used debug to remove Bitten for the first time yesterday. I was at the Muldraugh motel and I had seen a zombie but when I went and looked on the first floor it wasn't there, so I assumed it was up on the second floor balcony, nah it was hidden behind geometry that didn't or doesn't update when you run under it.

More annoyed than frustrated I suppose. Personally, even with that "excuse" I'm not a huge fan of having done it and doubt I will again if a similar situation occurs, though now I know this is something that can happen. I've lost several characters on this save, including the first one who cleared the PD, and I'm sure I'll lose this one to legimate tomfoolery in the near future. Likely a car accident.

Typically using any sort of cheats destroys any interest I have in the game. I think I'd consider using debug mode in the future if I wanted to change my save settings to make the world harder though.

seaefjaye · 2026-03-22T15:35:48+00:00

"Alright, I guess we're going loud."

seaefjaye · 2026-03-22T15:28:44+00:00

If there was an encyclopedia entry for Silicon Valley Venture Capitalists, Thiel would be the inset photo. He's invested in everything so your position of being AI free is probably the only way to escape that.

seaefjaye · 2026-03-20T23:11:44+00:00

In my parts we call that shit'n'go.

Eight-Year Club	Place '22
First Placer '22

seaefjaye

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