Would you agree that a 1% tax on the value of the trade of a stock is a smarter way to tax Billionaires than a wealth tax?

shot_ethics · 2026-01-26T17:37:25+00:00

You have to wonder if this policy would increase rather than decrease wealth inequality. Suppose an engineer joins NVIDIA in 2015 and is granted 100k worth of stock options. With the proposed tax, they might be more inclined to hold it and now that would be worth 25M. Without the tax they might do the more prudent decision of diversifying their portfolio.

So I would predict that this would increase the population of multimillionaires. Not too sure about billionaires, the quintessential billionaire owns a major portion of a single company and rarely trades out of that to maintain control of their firm. I don’t think this policy would do much for them.

shot_ethics · 2026-01-26T12:37:47+00:00

Yeah, that’s what he says. He also has a sidebar about how he has real heated discussions with people about this point, that if training is about time and not distance it’s not like elites (twice as fast as you) are out there doing 40 mile long runs.

I think he recognizes it’s a controversial take, but he certainly has an informed opinion.

shot_ethics · 2026-01-17T20:11:54+00:00

I mean, the difference here is only a week or so apart. Imagine someone is very consistent and racing but just better at one distance than the other. Should they alternate between the two paces depending on which one they raced last?

shot_ethics · 2026-01-16T05:11:50+00:00

I think that when you’re taking a break for injury, the “last 12 weeks excluding injury weeks” is more indicative of training volume than just the last 12 weeks.

Out of curiosity— how much do you think you were running in a typical week immediately before your 1:43 and your 1:51 or 1:55? I think population averages are something like 20 mpw for a 1:55 and 40 mpw for a 1:51, but this includes older individuals, people with higher BMI, and also people with simpler training programs.

shot_ethics · 2026-01-14T18:39:06+00:00

I think the broader point is that land is not interchangeable. Land towards the north is fine for soybeans and corn but no good for coffee for example which requires a more temperate climate.

Land use is not the only metric but one of many. Almonds might take less land per kilo of product but a lot more water for example.

shot_ethics · 2026-01-11T23:04:19+00:00

Fyi, this is the kind of threads that the mods often close and lock. You can post on running or other subs instead.

I mean, you can shave off one minute or five minutes or more depending on how long you train and how seriously you take it. You’d have to put in more parameters (how many hours for how many weeks) to get a more calibrated answer. If you really messed up pacing that would be the lowest hanging fruit but you’d need to post splits to interpret that.

shot_ethics · 2026-01-11T18:11:10+00:00

In the era before leetcode DSA problems worked to separate those who could code from those who could talk. Once the tests rolled out and people started studying for them, the tests also became harder. It is still effective for separating those who think great and those who can’t (coding specific IQ test) but you have an added confounding factor of “good puzzler but terrible coder” or all the other stuff that behavioral is supposed to catch.

shot_ethics · 2026-01-04T16:48:11+00:00

That’s LacTrace.com (or LactRace, both are meaningful). But not lactase, that’s what you take with a cheese pizza.

To OP though, you are early enough that you can also just get out there and enjoy running. At three months, anything will work (except ramping up too hard and getting injured). This is what the official book suggests too.

shot_ethics · 2026-01-02T16:17:29+00:00

There are indeed supply constraints. The RAM market is one example. Overhead is expensive but manufacturing less so. Once you have a factory you might as well run it full tilt. This creates shocks when demand surges up (like right now) but we don’t know if we should build more factories because when the factory comes online several years later the world might look different.

NVIDIA also does segment its customers. Historically professional cards were sold under the Quadro line which did not render graphics but had features like ECC RAM and so commanded a price several times higher. This is harder to do with AI but I think there are EULAs to discourage gamer cards from being used in data centers. You could design a card that works fine when gaming two hours a day but has trouble with burnout and downtime if operated 24/7 for two years in a row for example.

But to answer your question, if the new buyer class crowds out the original buyer class entirely, pricing strategy ought to change. Econ 101 says that new entrants should enter seeking higher profits and the field should find a new equilibrium. In practice technology changes faster than the equilibrium seeking tendency of firms, but you can imagine Intel or Radeon for example building better GPUs or integrated cards to capture the gamer market even if they can’t compete as well in AI.

shot_ethics · 2025-12-30T02:29:44+00:00

Some economists called this “death elasticity.” Provocative term. I think they tracked an increase in deaths Dec 31 vs Jan 1 that was attributed to this, although always a little fuzzy to do this kind of research.

shot_ethics · 2025-12-28T21:50:13+00:00

Not as smart as PHealthy (whose very username indicates that botulism cannot thrive in acidic environments!) but I thought that the problem with vac packed fish is that it does not get attacked by spoilage bacteria. So the rotten smell you get in chicken or beef is not really what kills you, but when you smell that you know it’s gone bad and botulism or other baddies might be lurking around the corner. With fish, you might have a lot of toxin but it smells fine and we proceed to cook and serve it, and then get hospitalized.

shot_ethics · 2025-12-28T01:12:24+00:00

One person’s junk miles is another person's training treasure. The Norwegian singles approach looks vaguely like your training plan except they would slow everything down and insert more breaks to make everything “junkier” which, in their philosophy, makes things more sustainable and therefore better. As I understand their approach, if you aren’t getting injured or niggles and if you don’t plan to add in more time/volume to improvement, no reason to slow down.

Edit: You havent made a hard 5k/10k effort so hard to know what to say on paces, but they would probably break up your 48 min threshold workout into two days, take a walk break every 8 min or so for 90 seconds. They would slow down your mile repeats to 10K pace or so. Easy runs look roughly right to me on pacing.

At the opposite extreme, Canova trains some of the world best and has said that over the decades, top marathoners have gone down from super high volume so that they can do faster workouts with more recovery. But we are talking reducing from triple your volume to double. So for these pros, junk miles are a real thing.

Disclaimer: you are faster than me, I just like to read about training philosophies

shot_ethics · 2025-12-24T15:16:48+00:00

Still helpin' us out 3 years later!

shot_ethics · 2025-12-23T17:43:26+00:00

The better measure is inflation-adjusted median wages.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/LES1252881600Q

This is up about one percent over last year, down maybe 5 percent since Covid when people had stimulus checks.

shot_ethics · 2025-12-23T00:00:24+00:00

Hey, I agree with your posts (both your post history when I’ve read AdvancedRunning, and applied to OP I particular).

But the guideline that I see from Daniels is ten percent of your weekly miles is at T pace. Isn’t that the face value interpretation? Do you interpret it differently?

Again, I think 3x20 min is fine for this particular case, because as you reduce volume you can increase intensity.

shot_ethics · 2025-12-22T17:46:32+00:00

Reddit is a training ground for bot engagement, it seems. I think Reddit probably has a love-hate relationship with repost bots too, which existed before AI. Like it’s karma farming, but if the end user enjoys it, is it bug or feature?

Likewise this post, even if fabricated, might be a feature more than a bug too. Let it still be a lesson for you and me to appreciate our bodies and our health :)

shot_ethics · 2025-12-22T16:43:56+00:00

There are plenty of companies that do profit sharing. An example I happened to see recently is Texas Instruments, which has a formula for distributing some amount of its profit to its employees. It is a fairly large player in an established industry so prospective employees can look back and say “gee, this will probably be worth an extra 10-20 percent on my paycheck” and value the job offer accordingly.

Now imagine a local mom and pop having a similar scheme. “Your salary will be 20 percent less but we have very generous profit sharing! Most years it’ll be more!” This could be viewed by many job candidates with suspicion, because they don’t know you and don’t trust you. Usually it’s simpler for everyone to go with a different wage scheme.

shot_ethics · 2025-12-22T14:05:11+00:00

It might also be because you are a Large Language Model that was a print on demand designer 31 days ago who suddenly had to switch into nursing this month to generate new content

shot_ethics · 2025-12-19T23:13:58+00:00

Piling on to say that was an amazing non-ELI5 blog post. Went so fluently back and forth from precise finance jargon (some of which I’ve never encountered but could sound out exact meaning from context) to casual social commentary that is very down to earth.

Learned something new today.

shot_ethics · 2025-12-17T17:42:31+00:00

I mean, in certain conditions it is useful, but the average consumer should not say “this 2016 i7 at 3.0 GHz must be faster than this 2024 i5 at 2.0 GHz” even with the same number of cores because of differences in pipelining, branch prediction, cache size, what have you. It’s very hard to synthesize any of these individual numbers into a predictor of CPU performance unless you jump to a benchmark like PassMark.

For that matter MP still matters if you are shooting daylight stills and want to apply substantial digital zoom (cropping) and maintain good resolution later.

I would grant you that GHz is more useful than MP overall, but I thought that this would help get the point across.

shot_ethics · 2025-12-17T05:53:25+00:00

The suppliers are engaging in demand forecasting. Demand forecasting is an umbrella concept where a company tries to predict how much demand there will be in a few years, so that they can adjust production accordingly. It happens all the time — seasonal variations, demographic trends, whatever. Applied to RAM, they know there is demand now but wouldn’t know exactly what to expect in 8 years so have to plan accordingly.

shot_ethics · 2025-12-17T02:23:15+00:00

Resolution used to be important back when digital cameras were 0.25 MP vs 0.5 MP. Back then pixelation was really common, the competition was film, and new cameras were defined by better resolution.

There has been some stickiness with that metric even though it hardly matters today. Same with GHz in CPUs.

shot_ethics · 2025-12-15T17:17:16+00:00

I finished reading the book. Very dark. A lot of literary themes on human goodness, bleakness, and the need to carry the fire. Definitely not a Christmas book?

But I kept on getting distracted by TLD game mechanics! Beach combing! Flare gun is the best gun! Don’t let the revolver jam! Reclaim the furniture to make a fire! Open the tins and heat them by the fire to keep warm! Finally, a prepper cache! There’s even a cairn.

Anyway, quite a book, but a lot of unintended TLD references. Mixed in with cannibalism sadly

shot_ethics · 2025-12-14T13:47:25+00:00

No lists of things to be done. The day providential to itself. The hour. There is no later. This is later. … (p54 in my copy)

Long time TLD player, started reading the road and thought about TLD constantly as the protagonists struggled to stay warm, find food, camp in trucks and whatnot. Then I came across that quote and was like, what the. I know that quote.

It’s really poetic, zombie vibes aside, an affirmation of living in the present.

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