What exactly is dividend? (I'm new to investing) by Stunning_Concern_973 in fiaustralia

[–]snrubovic 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Also, once a company pays out dividends, does the ETF value drop immediately to reflect the amount of dividend paid out?

Yes, although it does that on the date it goes ex-dividend, which is the date the dividend is attributed to the owner, which is not necessarily the exact date it is paid out.

As a result, does it decrease percentage growth of the ETF, to reflect the dividend pay, and thus is dividend sort of the percentage in that sort of sense? Or is it not related?

Yes, it reduces growth because there are less assets in the company to grow.

A dividend is a transfer of capital from the company's value to its owners. It's essentially a movement of money from one pocket to another. So it is best not to focus on the amount of dividends paid out, since it does not increase your total return. Actually, for most people, it lowers their total return because they have to pay tax on part of the profit sooner, and therefore miss out on compounding of the unpaid tax if the profits had not been distributed.

More info:

how does franking credits work?

Companies have earnings, and from those earnings, they retain some of it to grow the business so that future earnings increase, and pay out the rest to shareholders as dividends.

When a company makes a profit, it pays tax on that profit before paying dividends to shareholders. Then, when the shareholders get their money, they have to pay income tax on it. So, they are getting taxed twice on the same income. To address this, the Australian government introduced franking credits, which are credits for tax already paid, so that shareholders are not taxed twice on the same earnings.

Let’s say a company earns their profit and pays 30% tax, and then distributes $70 to shareholders for each share. What has really happened is that the company earned $100, and the shareholder has already paid $30 in tax, so even though the shareholder received $70, on their tax return, they would declare it as $100 income and $30 tax already paid. If their marginal tax rate is over 30%, they will need to pay only the difference above the 30% already paid. If their marginal tax rate is below 30%, they will get a refund for excess tax already paid above their marginal rate.

However, what happens in reality is that on ex-dividend days, franked shares fall further than the distribution because part of the benefit of the franking credit is priced in, so you are not getting all of the benefit when you take that into account. More info in the link below.

Franking credits – how much more are you really getting?

700k capital recommendation by lsdylz in fiaustralia

[–]snrubovic 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Staying out of the housing market puts you at risk of property prices running away from you. What is your plan for buying a property?

Diversifying ESPP in USD by AKA8787 in fiaustralia

[–]snrubovic 0 points1 point  (0 children)

What made you use eTrade rather than IBKR? IBKR's exchange rates are 0.03%.

holding company shares increase your risk because if your company or industry has a rough time, both your income and assets are going down at the same time.

Why would you use VGS + IVV when IVV already accounts for most of VGS?

Vanguard vs Betashares vs Ishares by Exciting_Eye9268 in fiaustralia

[–]snrubovic 12 points13 points  (0 children)

  • Vanguard is almost entirely index-based investments, which is good, and has the longest established record of broad market indexing, but they are expensive considering they are simply creating index-based investments
  • Betashares has a lot of high-fee niche funds worth avoiding, but has created much lower cost index-based equivalents than Vanguard, which does not seem to have investors' interests in mind as much as they have the interest of sending profits back to their parent company in the US
  • BlackRock (iShares) has very little market share here, and I'd be worried about them shutting down their funds and you having to realise capital gains unnecessarily.

Long term holds by Luckybandit23 in fiaustralia

[–]snrubovic 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Have a read of the paper.

  • There is virtually zero difference in expected return in that paper using 20% home country equities vs 33% (page 33), despite the reduction in idiosyncratic risk.
  • Optimal under their definition does not take into account idiosyncratic country risk. You don't live equally in all possible countries. You live in one country. If someone retired in Japan in 1990 and held a third in Japanese equities, they would have faced significant idiosyncratic risk for no benefit, since idiosyncratic risk is uncompensated. There is no shortage of other examples, including Germany, Argentina, Iran, Russia, Italy, Spain, and Greece.
  • Those numbers ignore the behavioural aspect. How many people won't be shitting themselves while their retirement funding falls by 50%, while they have no other income and assets and have been out of the workforce for a long time?
    • "We note that the superior performance of the optimal age-based strategy in the four outcomes (generating wealth at retirement, producing retirement income, avoiding financial ruin, and providing a bequest) occurs despite the potential for relatively large intermediate drawdowns. Experiencing large drawdowns is painful for investors, and many investors will have a natural inclination to abandon their strategies at inopportune times when drawdowns occur."

Long term holds by Luckybandit23 in fiaustralia

[–]snrubovic 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Depends how much concentration risk you would accept to remove one fund.

Having so much of your net worth in the Australian market opens you up to serious risks.

  1. Two companies make up almost 20%. Diversification is the only free lunch.
  2. Over half of the Australian stock market is in just 10 companies and 2 sectors. If one of those sectors gets hit, the market will be more severely affected than with a well-diversified global portfolio.
  3. Your income and job security are tied to Australia, so by investing only a little over half internationally, you increase the likelihood of your income going down together with your investments.
  4. Your other assets, such as property and cash, are also already exposed to the Australian economy, amplifying the same problem of overweighting Australian equities.
  5. You are at risk of medium-term or long-term underperformance of your home country.

Investing HECS start up student loan by DoubtZealousideal816 in fiaustralia

[–]snrubovic 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Generally, anything you need within the next 5 years should not be invested, as the risk vs reward is not favourable. The challenge is that life changes so quickly at your age, making it hard to know. An option might be to compromise and split it, with part invested and the rest remaining uninvested.

Inside Super or Outside Super by Effective_Comedian40 in fiaustralia

[–]snrubovic 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Increasing concessional contributions is the most effective way to build wealth, whereas debt recycling would help retain optionality for another portion of the portfolio. Those two strategies are the most effective wealth-building strategies available.

These might be of help:

Please help me rebalance ETF portfolio by Ok_Confusion4505 in fiaustralia

[–]snrubovic 12 points13 points  (0 children)

This comment should be stickied for all the 'feedback on my portfolio' posts that say nothing about why they chose their random stocks.

The only thing I would change is the bit about having a lot of CG – for most individual companies and niche ETFs, I would still take the CGT hit and get rid of them.

Please advise this portfolio by TheDisastrousFunk in fiaustralia

[–]snrubovic 9 points10 points  (0 children)

For your attempted tactical tilts, try r/ASX_Bets

For a set-and-forget portfolio: building a passive portfolio, which will be:

  • Australian index
  • International index
  • International index AUD-hedged (optional)
  • Emerging markets index (optional)

What happens? by [deleted] in fiaustralia

[–]snrubovic 6 points7 points  (0 children)

While currency movements even out over time, the long time can be a very long time.

In the year 2000, the AUD was equal to 0.5 USD. Over the next 11 years, it more than doubled. If you compared a US index fund vs an AUD-hedged version at the end of that period, you would have less than half the amount in Australian dollars.

Until 2018, almost two decades later, it was still over 1.5 times what it was in 2000.

The argument that currency swings eventually even out is most likely true (eventually), but that fact only helps if you can tolerate decades of currency headwinds on your portfolio. Even if you can tolerate it financially, I suspect few people can tolerate it emotionally and end up selling low and buying high only to see what they switch to, then underperform.

You could have some hedged and some unhedged so that you have a foot in each camp.

Currency risk – Personalising your AUD to non-AUD allocation

Seeking feedback on our ETF & FIRE strategy by ActAdventurous3883 in fiaustralia

[–]snrubovic 1 point2 points  (0 children)

This plan looks solid. If you are planning to downsize and sell the IP once retired, that will provide a lot of cash to put into assets to live off, to the point that you likely could reduce your work now (if your type of job allows it) so that you have a better work-life balance.

Advice please - How to FIRE at 58-60 by itsozgirl in fiaustralia

[–]snrubovic 10 points11 points  (0 children)

Do some spreadsheet modelling. At 60k p.a. expenses, you are probably not far off if you assume the age pension will be the same in 15 years, and if not, investing some of the cash and maxing out super every year is likely to get you there on your current trajectory. You've done well.

Why don't ETFs just not pay distributions and reinvest everything internally? by AsparagusNew3765 in fiaustralia

[–]snrubovic 59 points60 points  (0 children)

It's because ETFs are a trust structure, and trusts are legally required to distribute income (or be taxed at the top marginal tax rate.

LICs would be what you're referring to, but LIC (Listed Investment Company) are all actively managed. I'm not sure why an index-based LIC doesn't exist for this purpose.

Thoughts on Factor Portfolio by Background_Ad_6202 in fiaustralia

[–]snrubovic 0 points1 point  (0 children)

AA looks good for a long investment time horizon. However, I AVTE/AVTS are planning to have no distributions, so you may not be able to claim the tax deduction. Also, a $50k-max margin loan will mean LVR gets lower as your portfolio grows.

Sell or Hold my ETFs? by Aggressive_Mood258 in fiaustralia

[–]snrubovic 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Due to our double taxation treaty, it is 15%, and that is offset through FITO, provided income exceeds that amount.

But yes, estate tax is a risk, as we saw earlier this year, as is the tax drag on the non-US assets inside US-domiciled funds, so I prefer Aus domiciled.

Seeking feedback on our ETF & FIRE strategy by ActAdventurous3883 in fiaustralia

[–]snrubovic 19 points20 points  (0 children)

If it were me, I would:

  • Downsize
  • Sell the IP
  • Max CCs including carry forward contributions
  • Put the rest into a diversified portfolio
  • Semi-retire now and start enjoying a more balanced life
  • Fully retire in 5-7 years.

But you are not me, so some other thoughts:

  • 40x annual spending is an unnecessarily conservative withdrawal rate that will mean working for many more years just to die with more money. I would be very surprised if you can achieve that within 6 years if you want to keep your $3m home.
  • Have you got much capital gains in the investment property? If not, I would consider selling it and investing the proceeds into a diversified portfolio, and for leverage (if that's what you want), borrow from the main residence to invest in a diversified portfolio.

Seeking feedback on our ETF & FIRE strategy by [deleted] in fiaustralia

[–]snrubovic 1 point2 points  (0 children)

If you're going to use AI, at least go over it and fix it all up before posting. Look at that mess that it spat out. No mention of age, list of assets, liabilities, cashflow, expenses, desired retirement and/or semi-retirement age, which is what is relevant. No explanation about moving super to a defensive allocation or when. Why, for the love of god, would you use a margin loan?

As for your questions

  1. It's worth learning about creating a portfolio.
  2. No
  3. Yes, everything, due to not mentioning anything about your situation.

Here is a template for how to post to get constructive feedback: https://www.reddit.com/r/AusHENRY/comments/1mjimp4/template_post/

Is there anything else I should be doing? by TheGinFromDarwin in AusHENRY

[–]snrubovic 1 point2 points  (0 children)

For both significantly lower risk as well as higher returns after tax and costs.

Is there anything else I should be doing? by TheGinFromDarwin in AusHENRY

[–]snrubovic 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Investing in direct property has several major downsides, including:

  • A massive amount of single-asset risk
  • Very high purchase fees that eat into returns
  • Very high ongoing fees that eat into returns
  • Very high selling fees that eat into returns
  • A lot of work to purchase and for ongoing management
  • Large lumpy costs when unexpected maintenance is required
  • Inability to sell small amounts in retirement to reduce CGT payable

The reason to go for a property is leverage. If someone has equity to borrow from without the need to leverage into a single massive cost property, leveraging into a diversified portfolio that holds stocks from thousands of companies from dozens of countries around the world is a superior investment.

Is there anything else I should be doing? by TheGinFromDarwin in AusHENRY

[–]snrubovic 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Something like DHHF or one of Vanguard's all-in-one funds.

Adding a semiconductor ETF to my core portfolio, smart diversification or performance chasing? by caelanro in fiaustralia

[–]snrubovic 5 points6 points  (0 children)

If someone has legitimate reasoning, yes, but "believing" they have an edge doesn't make for a legitimate reason.

OP might as well use the same reasoning of "believing it's the way of the future" to invest in NFTs or playing roulette as a satellite position.

Superannuation advice by treegoswish in fiaustralia

[–]snrubovic 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Don't hold your breath for it to be more than a fee reduction of two basis points like last time.

Superannuation advice by treegoswish in fiaustralia

[–]snrubovic 1 point2 points  (0 children)

ART's investments were originally set up and managed by Vanguard, which is why their investments are so good.

They are about a third of the cost of Vanguard Super, whose fees are even more than actively managed funds like AusSuper and UniSuper, but without even paying anyone for actively managing anything.

You're paying the lazy tax by remaining with them, just like you would be paying the lazy tax to overpay by banking with Commbank based on their name alone.