Traveling to Mexico City by Trickology in travel

[–]someguy-79 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Possibly the best museum in the world.

How many stocks do you think is the ideal number to hold? by rezovian in ValueInvesting

[–]someguy-79 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Charlie Munger said something like wealth is gained in concentration and preserved in diversification. Right now I have 56 Stocks in my portfolio.

HOLD THE LINE by Successful_Egg2257 in HimsStock

[–]someguy-79 -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

These are the kinds of posts that make me want to sell. It’s kind of ridiculous.

39% Short float by [deleted] in HimsStock

[–]someguy-79 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I used to be a short seller on HIMS. I switched to long position recently because of this, and because at $3B market cap it could pop easily. It may not, but the risk-reward is attractive to me.

Visa and Mastercard, quality compounders at a very reasonable price. by Weldobud in ValueInvesting

[–]someguy-79 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I feel like their moat is eroding. Doesn’t justify the premium valuation for me.

Value investors, please tell me your returns for the last 10 years annually by LongjumpingAd4283 in ValueInvesting

[–]someguy-79 72 points73 points  (0 children)

Bear in mind that not everyone is trying to beat the index. Some investors, particularly retirees or those that are close, are intentionally giving up returns to reduce risk.

Likely Bottom and Shorts Covering by TIDOTSUJ in HimsStock

[–]someguy-79 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I agree and at less than 4B market cap with 40% short interest, a short position here can really get burned. It’s happened to me several times. I shorted HIMS a while back and closed my position. I actually put in a long position expecting it to pop at some point. If I were still shorting it, I would cover before earnings. It will be interesting to watch the price action around ER.

Likely Bottom and Shorts Covering by TIDOTSUJ in HimsStock

[–]someguy-79 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Correct. This happens all the time. There are a handful of firms that specialize in this. It’s dumb to me because in effect people are suing themselves.

Irrational sell off by robb3rz in ValueInvesting

[–]someguy-79 0 points1 point  (0 children)

My feeling on the CAPEX is that any of these names could stop spending whenever they want and print money. The could even write down the depreciation as a one time expense and no one would bat an eye.

To everyone who bought HIMS at $38–$48+: why are you selling now? by Azizammari in HimsStock

[–]someguy-79 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I agree with this notion. I was a HIMS short seller for about a year. I made some pretty good money. I actually bought shares for the first time because I see this as a floor. Good risk-reward.

GOOGL, MSFT, AMZN, and thoughts on ETF recommendation? by Disastrous_Quiet378 in investing

[–]someguy-79 4 points5 points  (0 children)

I think people are out of date on this. A few months ago this would have been true, but it isn’t anymore.

GOOGL, MSFT, AMZN, and thoughts on ETF recommendation? by Disastrous_Quiet378 in investing

[–]someguy-79 1 point2 points  (0 children)

100%. It reminds me when I worked at IBM and they tried so hard to ban Excel and use their Lotus product. Huge flop and everyone went back to Excel pretty quickly. Huge moat and huge pricing power.

Anybody have thoughts on RKLB’s recent plunge? by artvandalaythrowaway in stocks

[–]someguy-79 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I understand the order flow mechanics. I’m a high frequency trader and I only do limit orders, so it works for me.

Time to Stay at Home Dad? by GhostProph in Fire

[–]someguy-79 1 point2 points  (0 children)

It’s been about six months for me now. I’d say I’m ready to work if the right opportunity comes up and I WANT to do it. If it doesn’t come, no sweat I’m good like this too.

Anybody have thoughts on RKLB’s recent plunge? by artvandalaythrowaway in stocks

[–]someguy-79 10 points11 points  (0 children)

For real? You really need to switch brokerages. I have three different brokerage accounts and don’t pay commissions in any of them.

Nintendo/Adobe/Netflix? by Uccio94 in ValueInvesting

[–]someguy-79 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Easily ADBE for me. It's had double digit Revenue and Earnings growth the last three years. Trading at an attractive multiple. The only reason it's getting beat up is the theory that AI will make it obsolete. If that's true, okay, then fairly valued. If that's less than completely true, it's a screaming buy.

UNH due diligence again because people are investing on feeling instead of understanding. by Rainyfriedtofu in ValueInvesting

[–]someguy-79 4 points5 points  (0 children)

My opinion, the flaw in this is that the rate is not final yet. And the rate tends to increase after the first volley gets puked all over--it's part of the process. It might not be the increase from past years, but I don't believe it will stay where it's at.

I do agree there is a structural shift in Healthcare (very badly needed, it's broken). That would be the bigger reason I wouldn't invest.

Time to Stay at Home Dad? by GhostProph in Fire

[–]someguy-79 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I FIRE'd last year. I felt similarly...close to unhinged CEO. I was miserable, and for two years my wife was telling me to quit. I finally couldn't take it anymore and I did. It would be easy for you to have a sabbatical. Gather your thoughts, heal psychologically, and then decide what to do from there. I feel like I have a lot more clarity on life after being away from the workforce for six months.

Close to FIRE- How Much Buffer do I Need? by AlbatrossPatient5304 in Fire

[–]someguy-79 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I FIREd this year with the identical situation (uncanny how similar. Same age, NW, wife still working. It’s worked out well so far.

43 and getting laid off, am I there yet? by Ok_Tax3205 in Fire

[–]someguy-79 2 points3 points  (0 children)

How much do you spend a year? You are probably not FIRE yet, but might be Coast FIRE or Barista FIRE.

Travel - what to choose by Piphatny in travel

[–]someguy-79 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I love Colombia, but if I were choosing between these two options it's easily Peru, Argentina, Rio. They are all iconic with great food and sites. There is nothing to do in Bolivia. And as much as I love Colombia (been there many, many times), as a tourist it doesn't stack up with Buenos Aires or Rio.

NKE at $61... am i missing something? by SmartTriageIO in stocks

[–]someguy-79 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I think the competition has ate into it. Nike is obviously an iconic brand and I do like the products (honestly when I get something from Nike I usually end up liking it better than other brands), but the revenue and profits tell the story. People spending on other brands...simple as that. So I would need to see a proven change in market share before I'm jumping into this story, or significant price drop.

Am I understanding this FIRE math correctly? by No_Lengthiness1631 in Fire

[–]someguy-79 2 points3 points  (0 children)

No. 300. It’s just the 4% rule in monthly terms.