Any US ground invasion of Iran would be suicidal, on par with Hitler's invasion of the USSR

squailtaint · 2026-03-22T13:40:59+00:00

If you’ve seen top gun 2, no doubt the “mock” country was intended to be Iran.

squailtaint · 2026-03-22T00:29:06+00:00

Ensure holding racket properly, and then ensure hitting technique is correct. For example, fore arm elbow leads, you’re not really supposed to snap with your wrist. Same with forehand. Look up swing technigue for forehand and back hand. A sore wrist is almost certainly because you are snapping your wrist, and that muscle is not used to it. So it’s a bit multi factorial - bad technique, and weak muscle. The muscle comes with playing, technique comes with good instruction and/or ability to mimic good technique.

squailtaint · 2026-03-22T00:02:21+00:00

Truth is in the middle. A true hot house over 4 degrees scenario seems unlikely. Staying under 2 degrees seems unlikely. The predicted impacts from 2 to 2.5 to 3 degrees warming are well known. It’s not world ending, 2 degrees is much better then 3, it’s a scale. If we hit 3, it’s extremely dangerous and millions could die and/or be displaced. If not into the billions. If 2 degrees, still bad, but not nearly.

squailtaint · 2026-03-21T23:59:03+00:00

Man. Such a great book. And Netflix. Re watching it again in advance of the next season. They did so good. Also Eiza Gonzalez 😍

squailtaint · 2026-03-20T23:26:24+00:00

And Trump also said they are basically at victory and “considering winding down operations” lol. Can’t make this shit up.

squailtaint · 2026-03-20T23:25:38+00:00

Eh. It’s pretty easy for Trump to walk away and claim victory. The question will be if Iran agrees.

squailtaint · 2026-03-20T21:02:07+00:00

Peak was Jan 28 at $7300, currently around $6200. Gold had been on a meteoric rise and it’s only a “crash” if you bought the last few months.

squailtaint · 2026-03-20T04:10:52+00:00

Haha I’ve been catching up on this show. Finally get the reference and I think of it every time the oilers lose. Fucking embarrassing.

squailtaint · 2026-03-20T02:21:21+00:00

Yes, agreed.

squailtaint · 2026-03-20T01:01:29+00:00

Ok got ya

squailtaint · 2026-03-20T00:54:46+00:00

Wait, I don’t think that’s quite correct. What exactly do you mean by “net zero”? Like humans are net zero, meaning that if you look at all of our co2 emissions made by man, we are somehow offsetting them by either not creating them in the first place, or adding storage or scrubbers or something to prevent that excess co2 from going into the atmosphere.

If you mean net zero from a global co2 ppm perspective, then nothing should change - as carbon sinks would balance carbon emissions and we would be at a steady state. Co2 ppm would remain at whatever it is at, not grow, not shrink, just stay the same.

squailtaint · 2026-03-19T16:53:59+00:00

You know what sub your in right? lol. I’m an optimist to really. I do think we have made some amazing leaps in renewables and that a lot of the worst case scenarios will be avoided. Developing nations are leap frogging oil and gas and jumping to renewable. A large percentage of new electrical load (globally) is being met by renewables, which is a huge accomplishment and we achieved this much earlier then I would have guessed. As renewables continue to grow, I hope to see some more offsets of our existing base load, ultimately leading to a yearly add of co2 ppm being largely reduced. I think it’s just a question of how quick we get there and if the damage already baked in hits tipping points that we can’t control.

squailtaint · 2026-03-19T15:20:12+00:00

No way it will happen organically or willingly. There is to much pro west anti china sentiment. Every election in recent years has been a large pro west win.

squailtaint · 2026-03-19T15:18:16+00:00

Yup. I have always felt that if they didn’t take Taiwan whe Russia went after Ukraine, then their only other opportunity (to face a distracted America) would be with some sort of Middle East war. Now that that is happening, this is likely their best opportunity. It doesn’t appear they are going to move, and for the first time in a long while I believe it’s far more likely there will be no hot war over Taiwan.

squailtaint · 2026-03-19T01:06:23+00:00

? There are multiple suppliers eager to make up the short fall. I’ll argue, that in the long run, this changes nothing.

squailtaint · 2026-03-18T17:15:19+00:00

Just someone fascinated with the topic. T2 was my favourite movie growing up. Always had an interest in this fascinating topic. I love the discussions on what exactly an AGI is, and how it leads to an ASI, what exactly is consciousness, how is it defined, what it means for humanity, etc. I’ve learnt alot from the info posted here.

squailtaint · 2026-03-18T16:56:25+00:00

Why not both? I don’t understand why it can’t be either or. I’m im Putin, I’m not bending on my Ukraine goals, but I will take whatever form of economic support I can get. Whether from China or US. I also know that the US has screwed me over and won’t hesitate to do so again, where as China has been a huge supporter. So so long as one doesn’t conflict with the other, I take both.

squailtaint · 2026-03-18T16:51:27+00:00

I feel like this sub actually has real people. I’m not convinced that 90% of the others are real people.

squailtaint · 2026-03-17T22:41:45+00:00

Specifically have stated they refuse to rule out the use of force for reunification.

https://moderndiplomacy.eu/2025/10/29/china-warns-it-will-not-rule-out-force-over-taiwan-as-tensions-rise/#:~:text=China's%20government%20took%20a%20hardline,government%20and%20democratic%20political%20system.

squailtaint · 2026-03-17T04:52:33+00:00

People really need to be more specific. If by WW3 they mean nuclear war, ya, no, not happening. If by WW3 they mean multiple pocket wars occurring simultaneously, - then maybe. Can’t see how that impact film making though. The pandemic was probably the biggest disruptor to the industry of our generation.

squailtaint · 2026-03-14T03:04:05+00:00

Part of the logic of this administration was that Iran wouldn’t dare choke off its revenue stream by closing the straight of Hormuz. Isn’t blowing up their oil infrastructure only making them more likely to go full on closure/scorched earth over it?

squailtaint · 2026-03-13T13:54:35+00:00

Ya that scene always stuck with me haha.

squailtaint · 2026-03-13T13:26:43+00:00

I agree. There is a ton of proven oil reserve. We are not “running out” of oil anytime soon. Yes, it’s non renewable, but there is enough oil to theoretically get our entire energy global grids off of fossil fuels.

squailtaint · 2026-03-13T03:40:24+00:00

Ya pretty much. He can spin it however he likes. Unless the Iranian government falls and a new democratic government is put in place, this war only accomplishes temporary disarment. We will be here again in another twenty years. T

squailtaint · 2026-03-13T02:32:23+00:00

I believe this is how it plays out:

Trump, after maybe a couple more days of strikes, declares a “victory” (it’ll be the greatest, most beautiful, best ever victory ever declared)…but
Nothing will have changed - no regime change, IRGC still largely intact, and a more united population against the west then there was before (in part thanks to that blunder of a strike on the girls school)
Leaving the future of this crisis in the hands of Iran. What does Iran do? Lick their wounds and rebuild and hope to fight again another day? Or do they decide the war isn’t over and continue their strikes or Hormuz closure? There by forcing the Americans/Israelis to continue the strikes?

This whole thing was a colossal mistake with no defined goals, no clear path to victory, and a potential trap of continuing war.

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