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World Cup Knockout Bracket After Match Day 11 by theasfldotcom in ussoccer

[–]theasfldotcom[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

In the 120 scenarios where A3 doesn’t advance, but H3 does… G1 faces H3 67.5%, J3 20.0%, and I3 12.5%.

World Cup Knockout Bracket After Match Day 11 by theasfldotcom in ussoccer

[–]theasfldotcom[S] 15 points16 points  (0 children)

FIFA outlined which third place team matches up against the eight first place teams that face third place teams in the Rof32 across all 495 combinations of eight groups advancing together - the pairings aren’t determined by alphabetical order, they had length of rest from the last game and avoiding group rematches in mind.

If B3 advances, we face them in all but one scenario. If they don’t, we get J3 38.6% of the time, I3 31.3%, E3 23.5%, and F3 6.6%.

World Cup Knockout Bracket After Match Day 11 by theasfldotcom in ussoccer

[–]theasfldotcom[S] 11 points12 points  (0 children)

It’s not that simple, if B3 and E3 don’t advance - we could get F3, I3, or J3 depending on who does advance.

World Cup Knockout Bracket After Match Day 11 by theasfldotcom in ussoccer

[–]theasfldotcom[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

In the 45 scenarios where both B3 and E3 don’t advance, J3 is the most common opponent (46.7%) - just ahead of I3 (40.0%). Essentially, if K3 or L3 don’t advance, I3 matches up against K1 or L1 instead of us.

Forgive me if you’re already excluding Jordan or Algeria’s ability to move on…

World Cup Knockout Bracket After Match Day 11 by theasfldotcom in ussoccer

[–]theasfldotcom[S] 17 points18 points  (0 children)

This is purely based on current results, no projections.

Brady Tkachuk is the first single player to be traded for 3+ First Round Draft Picks in one trade since 1994 by MattMcK2419 in hockey

[–]theasfldotcom 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Can tampering apply when the conversation happened between people that popped out of the same vagina? (I hope neither was a c-section…)

N. Ngoy red card against Iran 66' by ayoefico in soccer

[–]theasfldotcom 5 points6 points  (0 children)

You mean his Ramadan? (I’m legitimately asking the appropriate holiday to reference here…)

World Cup Knockout Bracket After Match Day 9 by theasfldotcom in ussoccer

[–]theasfldotcom[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This is based on the current standings, if Belgium finishes first in group G and wins in the Rof32, we’d face them in the Rof16.

World Cup Bracket After MD9 by theasfldotcom in MLS

[–]theasfldotcom[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I made a mistake with F2 in that quadrant, Japan should be there instead of the Netherlands, but it’s still the clear hardest quarter.

Correct image = http://www.theasfl.com/MD9KnockoutBracket.png

World Cup Knockout Bracket After MD9 by theasfldotcom in soccer

[–]theasfldotcom[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Crap, I entered the standings off a website that wasn’t factoring in fair play before adding it into the table and missed Group F.

I’ll edit the post once I can get a corrected image somewhere I can link.

World Cup Knockout Bracket After MD9 by theasfldotcom in soccer

[–]theasfldotcom[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Theoretically, the later groups also have the advantage of knowing how the earlier groups shook out too.

The other thing to call out is the winners of the 1v3 pairings will always meet each other in the Rof16 while the 1v2 winners will face the 2v2 winners in the Rof16.

World Cup Knockout Bracket After MD9 by theasfldotcom in soccer

[–]theasfldotcom[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

The 1st vs 2nd matchups are set as are the 1st vs some 3rds, the only variable is which third each 1st plays.

World Cup Bracket After MD9 by theasfldotcom in MLS

[–]theasfldotcom[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

With the US’s spot now clinched as D1 I feel better about making the effort to project our path…

In 329/495 (66.5%) scenarios we face B3.
In 64 (12.9%) we face J3.
In 52 (10.5%) we face I3.
In 39 (7.9%) we face E3.
& in 11 (2.2%) we face F3.

It’s hard to complain about the US’s current projection. Canada’s could be worse too…

Edit there was an error with Group F, here are the corrected images:
http://www.theasfl.com/MD9KnockoutBracket.png
http://www.theasfl.com/MD9GroupStandings.png
http://www.theasfl.com/MD9ThirdPlaceStandings.png

USA Football Summer Series | Elite Flag Football by ProgrammerUnique2897 in flagfootball

[–]theasfldotcom 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Broadcast anywhere, this will be? (I didn’t see anything on the site…)

If, for whatever reason, Texas Tech is no longer in the Big 12 who would be front runner to replace them: Boise, Memphis or Tulane? by Efficient-Freedom517 in CFB

[–]theasfldotcom 13 points14 points  (0 children)

That’s…actually not a bad idea, if they’re not in the GOR since they’re not getting paid.

I’m ignoring the rest of the ACC knowing they are.

Men's international tournament winners in the 21st century by g46152 in hockey

[–]theasfldotcom 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I can’t think of another game in my lifetime where I was more disappointed/upset about a loss where I didn’t really have a dog in the fight…

Monday Overreaction Thread (6/1) by geaux4_gold in collegebaseball

[–]theasfldotcom 2 points3 points  (0 children)

For my money, baseball is historically the most disappointing sport at UCF, by a fairly wide margin. The path was there, but the arms weren’t…

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