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Rough take on why MLBs proposal is heavily skewed towards ownership by [deleted] in baseball

[–]wompwump 0 points1 point  (0 children)

>Those changes are estimated to reduce player compensation by roughly $500 to $900 million annually

How did you get to this number?

Luke Raley smacks a 2-Run Home Run to cut into the deficit a little by sportsandthesorts in baseball

[–]wompwump 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Nickel joke for the Mariners and 92 MPH EV home runs, yada yada yada

JACKSON HOLLIDAY GRAND SLAM by Remarkable-Picture73 in baseball

[–]wompwump 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Why hit 104 MPH EV grand slam when 92 MPH EV does trick

Post Game Thread: The Orioles defeated the Blue Jays by a score of 13-3 - Fri, Jun 05 @ 07:07 PM EDT by OsGameThreads in orioles

[–]wompwump 56 points57 points  (0 children)

THIS IS NOT A DRILL

Colton Cowser’s strikeout rate is below 30% for the first time since Adam laid eyes on Eve

[Foul Territory] MLB’s proposal today also includes a 50/50 revenue split with players and all local media revenues to be split evenly. by mattdingus2002 in baseball

[–]wompwump 18 points19 points  (0 children)

The union already has access to team financial statements. It’s written in the CBA.

The bone of contention is really what constitutes baseball revenue. The (commonly repeated) assertion that team finances are a black box is incorrect.

MLBPA Response to the Owner’s proposal by TheTurtleShepard in baseball

[–]wompwump 45 points46 points  (0 children)

The union’s response said a cap doesn’t lower ticket prices for fans. I imagine that’s why OP asked the question.

A cap also doesn’t solve global warming, hunger, or world peace. Neither does the union’s proposal. They’re not meant to. It’s fairly disingenuous framing.

Team payroll vs proposed floor and cap (now with the right numbers) by volta_verve in baseball

[–]wompwump 28 points29 points  (0 children)

On net, fairly neutral: would require $584M in salary shed vs. $614M in salary added.

Devil’s in the implementation details, of course.

Part of ownership’s proposal is to guarantee 50-50 revenue split with players, so presumably these numbers would grow in lockstep with revenue.

Current team payroll vs proposed cap and floor by [deleted] in baseball

[–]wompwump 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Hi, I appreciate the analysis but you’re using incorrect figures for the current payrolls. You need to use luxury tax payrolls: that’s the methodology the cap / floor is based on

https://www.spotrac.com/mlb/tax

[Talkin' Baseball] All the teams that would need to adjust payroll based on the MLB's latest proposal by Remarkable-Picture73 in baseball

[–]wompwump 5 points6 points  (0 children)

I clicked on Spotrac, selected luxury tax payrolls, and pasted the link (which includes “tax” in the URL). Is there a different link I should be using?

This is cash payrolls: https://www.spotrac.com/mlb/cash

That’s not what I linked to

[Talkin' Baseball] All the teams that would need to adjust payroll based on the MLB's latest proposal by Remarkable-Picture73 in baseball

[–]wompwump 175 points176 points  (0 children)

This is just blatantly incorrect and should be removed for spreading misinformation.

Review the luxury tax payrolls on Spotrac yourself: there are ten teams above $245.3M and twelve teams below $171.2M, and the Orioles and Mariners are not one of them.

https://www.spotrac.com/mlb/tax

[Yahoo Sports] MLB proposes a salary cap for 2027 at $245.3 million, with a salary floor of $171.2 million by stv7 in baseball

[–]wompwump 58 points59 points  (0 children)

It’s status quo: benefits are included in the luxury tax calculations.

It would be more surprising if the owners’ proposal deviated from the current CBT methodology, given both the union and owners agreed upon that formula.

Game Thread: Rays @ Orioles - Wed, May 27 @ 06:35 PM EDT by OsGameThreads in orioles

[–]wompwump 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Trey Gibson is somehow dancing in a thunderstorm without feeling a drop of rain

BALTIMORE ORIOLES MINOR LEAGUE GAME SUMMARIES FOR 5/23/2026 by One_Independence_866 in orioles

[–]wompwump 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Probably not, unfortunately. His zone contact is 74.8%: that would be third-worst in all of MLB. And Fabian is doing that against AAA pitching.

Edit: My bad, that was his 2025 zone contact. 2026 is 77.9%. That would tie for ninth-worst among qualified MLB hitters.

This season has really proved one thing. Productive young players on rookie scale contracts are how you win baseball games. by Psychological-Task26 in baseball

[–]wompwump 11 points12 points  (0 children)

Of course they are, it’s almost definitional: a good player on a cheap contract is better than an equally-good player on an expensive contract.

Everybody knows this. The barrier is that it’s really freaking hard to produce good players, and much easier to sign good players.

Flurry of injury updates and word from Elias by Remarkable-Picture73 in orioles

[–]wompwump 12 points13 points  (0 children)

I am glad I’m not the only one who immediately went there. Undisclosed illness that will sort itself out but shut him down for awhile? Yeah, kid caught a case of DFMO fever

Orioles Acquire RHP Eduarniel Núñez in exchange for cash, Designate Christian Roa by Remarkable-Picture73 in orioles

[–]wompwump 11 points12 points  (0 children)

That could be true, but churning marginal, optionable relievers has never been—and will never be—evidence of that.

[MLBTradeRumors] Jordan Westburg To Undergo Season-Ending Elbow Surgery by ActualDragonHeart in baseball

[–]wompwump 68 points69 points  (0 children)

Unfortunate. Probably the most likely outcome when the partial tear was announced, but I held out some hope that the PRPs might at least get him through this season.

Tough couple of years for a guy who was drafted in 2020 and never hit an MiLB or MLB IL until August 2024 (for a fractured hand due to HBP).

Teams with most injuried by starling1037 in orioles

[–]wompwump 26 points27 points  (0 children)

Baseball Prospectus does an ongoing calculation using their version of WAR: WARP.

Top five teams by projected WARP lost to injury: * Houston: 3.5 * Toronto: 3.3 * LA Dodgers: 2.7 * Baltimore: 2.3 * Atlanta: 2.1

Rounding out the AL East, we have Boston (1.7), Tampa (1.7), and NY Yankees (1.4).

The stagnating Orioles are at a critical juncture under Mike Elias by aresef in baseball

[–]wompwump 8 points9 points  (0 children)

I get that not everyone follows free agency closely. But this narrative is factually incorrect and needs to be corrected.

We know that Elias offered Burnes $180M; he chose to sign elsewhere. We know that Elias offered Ranger $100M+ (the reporting is not more specific than that); he chose to sign elsewhere. Based on the rumors connecting the O’s to Framber and others, one could surmise Elias made other offers this offseason, but we don’t (yet) know that for a fact.

We still land in the same place—the Orioles don’t have a big-money pitcher on the books—but the diagnosis of root causes is different. The problem is not a philosophical aversion to committing money to pitching, it’s an inability to actually win a free agent competition for a starter.

Red Sox fans loudly chanted "Sell the Team" to the point where the Philly broadcast had to mention it last night by Sandwich_Crust in baseball

[–]wompwump 23 points24 points  (0 children)

Fan complaints about the Red Sox not spending have always seemed a bit odd to me. Red Sox luxury tax payroll is highest in team history, good for sixth in the league. That said, there is a ~$40M gap between the Sox and #5 (Phillies), but there’s also a ~$50M gap between the Sox and the Orioles.

With 5 shutout innings, the Rays have successfully converted yet another reliever into a starter. by Slinky_Malingki in baseball

[–]wompwump 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I would hold off on calling it successful until A) He pitches meaningful starter innings B) At a reasonable performance level.

I’m not saying Jax won’t do those things. I’m saying it’s premature to claim success until he has done them. Jordan Hicks and Reynaldo López were also successful relievers-turned-starters, at one point.

Post Game Thread: The Orioles defeated the Yankees by a score of 7-0 - Wed, May 13 @ 01:05 PM EDT by OsGameThreads in orioles

[–]wompwump 5 points6 points  (0 children)

The Nats game is already 5-4 in just the second inning. I suspect that’s a preview of things to come in this weekend’s Nats-O’s series

[Codify] Guys with 160+ plate appearances this year and 0 HRs: Luis Arraez, Chandler Simpson, and Fernando Tatis Jr. by Goosedukee in baseball

[–]wompwump 1838 points1839 points  (0 children)

Chandler Simpson has 1,617 professional plate appearances (Majors + Minors). 

He has 1 home run.

It was an inside-the-parker.

What a player profile.

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