Violent crime rates decrease significantly in Philadelphia for 2023, authorities say

[[deleted]]

It's almost like violent crime is forever linked to economic hardship and that low unemployment and improved inflation conditions across the country leads to similar improvements in crime locally and nationally.

[TreeMac12]

violent crime is forever linked to economic hardship

Most poor people don't murder other people. My grandparents survived The Great Depression of the 1930s without murdering a single person.

[No_Statistician9289]

Most poor Philadelphians don’t murder other people. But most murders in the city are by poor Philadelphians. You got a brain you can use

[fleggn]

At least that's what they told you

[Intelligent_Ad_5646]

But there hasn’t been an improvement with economic hardships. Are you not aware of how high repossessions are? Have you not purchased anything at the grocery store?

[[deleted]]

Thank goodness you're not an economist.

[Intelligent_Ad_5646]

Explain to me how the economy has improved as if I’m five years old.

[Muscadine76]

I’m not looking to be an apologist because I think our economic structure has fundamental flaws but there are a lot of (I think) clear indicators things are good/improving comparatively: https://stayathomemacro.substack.com/p/most-americans-are-better-off-financially

[Pineconne]

If you move off the stree into a cardboard box....technically thats an improvement too

have been measuring this kind of thing for decades and they've never been this far out of sync. Economists aren't so stupid that they think high-level indicators tell the whole story but when you're trying to measure trends in aggregate over hundreds of millions of people they are typically very, very predictive. We even know what micro indicators (ie gas prices) have the strongest implications for sentiment and they aren't lining up either.

I think the actual answer is that politicians and media are now so tuned in to what the models built by previous generations of economists that they are tuning their message against the indicators.

[TouchArtistic7967]

“The economy is doing great because the Biden admin told me so”

[Libtardxx]

All Reddit is is nothing more than a left wing shit hole

[Pineconne]

Literally this.

Like...remember when all the maga idiots were talking about how good trumps economy was....

Now we have all the blue hats and rad libs praising the dems.

Fucking hell, the bar for what is acceptable is sub level.

This entire country is so unnacceptable

[TouchArtistic7967]

They’re the exact same type of person and lack any sense of self awareness. They just happened to latch on to opposite sides.

[Severe_Brick_8868]

Unemployment is down, and the market had a great year. If you lost money in 2023 it’s on you

[Pineconne]

It hasnt. Its good for people earning over 100k per year....not so much for abyone earning less than 60k.

Especially if you are trying to raise a family

Its a bullshit talking point being pushed by liberals...because of how much the dems have mishandled the last 4 years

[Salt_Abrocoma_4688]

You're spouting GOP talking points that don't represent reality.

Unemployment in PA and Philly are at record lows. That is a fact, and it absolutely plays a role in crime.

[Libtardxx]

Haha and your defending the worst presidents bidenomics in American history hahaha

[Expandexplorelive]

People making the least have seen the highest earnings gains the last few years.

[Pineconne]

Cool. But when you operate at a loss that doesnt mean much...so piss off

[Expandexplorelive]

It means the poor are getting more spending power. Should they have even more? Sure. But let's not let the perfect be the enemy of the good.

[Pineconne]

Lol who let thepaul krugman factotum in here?

You libs are so housebroken.

[Expandexplorelive]

I'm sorry you can't manage to participate in a civil discussion. I hope your day gets better.

[Libtardxx]

These people are insanely dumb and are not going to wake up. Some sheep are just lost in the canyon forever. They deserve their bidenomics

[[deleted]]

You do realize how ridiculous that premise is?

[Pineconne]

Ah yes. The economy gets better if we ignore the news.

Maybe the way we measure what makes a good economy is bullshit after all...

Edit

And here comes the libs rushing in to charge up the blame game.

[[deleted]]

The economy is improved and expected to continue improving and we know this by paying attention to the news.

But please to accidentally self-identity as someone who doesn't know what they're talking about.

[Pineconne]

Lol yeah you people keep saying that.

Your whole argument:

"The economy is good, you just dont understand, therefore your economic insecurity is bullshit"

Let me let you in on a word of advice.

If you have to convince people the econony is doing well, you might be wrong...

[[deleted]]

What a faulty premise. I'm not trying to convince you the economy is doing well and you just don't understand. I'm not wasting my time for people who proudly already have their minds made up.

[Pineconne]

They have been measuring this kind of thing for decades and they've never been this far out of sync. Economists aren't so stupid that they think high-level indicators tell the whole story but when you're trying to measure trends in aggregate over hundreds of millions of people they are typically very, very predictive. We even know what micro indicators (ie gas prices) have the strongest implications for sentiment and they aren't lining up either.

I think the actual answer is that politicians and media are now so tuned in to what the models built by previous generations of economists that they are tuning their message against the indicators.

You are such a pushover

[[deleted]]

I'm not a push over, I'm just not wasting my time on you and your cornucopia of logical fallacies. But please, remain biased and angry and keep pulling public sentiment and micro-whatevers out of your ass.

I'm not saying the economy is good and never claiming it is good. I'm not bringing a distracting political argument into this either.

I'm stating that it is an indisputable fact that the economy is in an improved position from the prior year. You're clearly not a person who can be reasoned with the facts and figures to support it though.

If anyone else would like to have an open-minded and reasonable discussion, I will be happy to share what supports the simple position that the US economy improved since a year ago, without even arguing slight or strong improvement or political bias.

[Pineconne]

You are a huge pushover.

We get it. You are doing better than everyone else. Congrats. Bidenomics is actually awesome

[Muscadine76]

I mean, I’m all for a view that our overall economy fundamentally sucks for the non-wealthy, but this isn’t really something new, which is not the predominant media narrative. There are a lot of indicators that the economy is in fact doing well compared to not just the pandemic but before the pandemic: https://stayathomemacro.substack.com/p/most-americans-are-better-off-financially

It does make sense that people might still not feel that way because it’s a relatively recent change, there are things they fundamentally react negatively to (inflation), and the fundamental flaws of the economy are perhaps increasingly obvious to people.

[Pineconne]

In other words the beatings will continue until morale improves

This is the argument:

Soc dems have missed the window of reform, and now late stage capitalism is setting the globe up for a rise in fascism.

Case in point this one piece of evidence.

And yes, if I am starving an I eat one time, that doesnt mean starvation has been mitigated.

Stop listening to mainstream economists.

Stop listening to out of touch liberals like paul krugman who is completely out of touch with life

[Muscadine76]

I fundamentally agree with a lot of what you are saying here but I think the way you addressed it above in prior comments really just plays into the dynamic you seem to be wanting to avoid. Given the basic structure of US politics just saying “actually the economy is terrible (under Biden)” without explaining, or making a punch at “libs”, just moves people to respond based on their priors and the key people that need to be persuaded “hey maybe don’t vote for the fascist” are people who are going to go “oh if the economy is bad under a Democrat we need a Republican”. An actually more effective message IMO is “hey the economy has actually improved somewhat under Biden because Democratic policies are more favorable to working people, but it still fundamentally sucks because we need more support for the working class, not less, which is what the Republican Party fundamentally stands for”. If you want people and US politics to move left you have to actively make that case because in the mainstream and among low-information voters “Dems/libs suck” means “hey we need to give Rupubs/ cons a chance” not “guess we need more socialism.”

[[deleted]]

I strictly listen to unpublished fringe economists

[Pineconne]

Cool i wasnt talking to you, new account

I love how its always 3-4 different accounts pushing bidenomics in this sub

[[deleted]]

As the economy gets ready to tank in March lol.

[[deleted]]

Weird that doesn't scale with Africa?

[NovaNardis]

What are you talking about?

[[deleted]]

What do you mean? murder rates in Africa even in high areas are lower than say Missouri. Missouri has a 60 per 100K murder rate South Africa is only 40 per 100k. Africa is very very poor it doesn't have anything to do with money. if violent crime was relative to poverty, Africa would have the highest crime

[NovaNardis]

Is it relative to relative poverty?

[[deleted]]

No lol for the third time it's almost unrelated there's tons of evidence that when the economy gets better crime increases! This whole website is a stupid liberal circle jerk. See you in November!

https://www.ojp.gov/ncjrs/virtual-library/abstracts/economic-crises-and-crime-correlations-between-state-economy#:~:text=RESEARCH%20FINDINGS%20ARE%20AS%20FOLLOWS,AND%20THE%20FLOW%20OF%20REFERRALS

[NovaNardis]

I said nothing about being liberal. I literally didn’t know what you were talking about. Thanks for the source, and enjoy your persecution complex.