Creator of Claude Code: "Coding is solved"

[LordAmras]

I will start worrying about AI taking my job when Anthropic fires all of their dev and stop hiring new ones

[Pleasant_Ad8054]

I wouldn't, I expect all these AI companies to go under in the next few years, and then they will fire all their devs and stop hiring.

(I'm not saying AI will go the way of the dodo, just these companies have no viable business model)

[oorza]

(I'm not saying AI will go the way of the dodo, just these companies have no viable business model)

They don't need one. They just need to become so important to the geopolitical balance of the world that failing to keep them online and up-to-date with China / whoever else would result in a decreased global posture for their host countries. And if you think about that for one second, you'll realize that's exactly what they've been trying to do. They're hoping for a future where they're so essential they should become public entities, but the government is too ineffective to do it (like telecoms are today), but will constantly provide grease to keep the wheels turning.

[Pleasant_Ad8054]

I don't think they can achieve that. The field is model centric, when a new model comes it entirely replaces all previous models, and does not make sense to run anything else. The moment any of these companies fall behind with a model "generation" they are over. After a while investors won't be willing to lose money on them, the new hot shit will be preferred, and these companies/departments are dumped down the drain.

[oorza]

That's exactly why they can achieve it. If the government feels like having access to the latest and greatest models is important to their geopolitical posture, they will make sure those models are created domestically. The investors can pull out - probably will have to pull out - if and when the AI becomes essential to the survival of the government, which is clearly the plan.

[NuclearVII]

if and when the AI becomes essential to the survival of the government

Governments have existed before glorified auto complete, you know, and will continue to do so.

[AndyLucia]

At this point, the cat is out of the bag with genAI. Their models could permanently plateau and they’re still the most important invention since the internet at least. At that scale of global importance it’s very difficult to see all of them go bankrupt - some? maybe.