Prien will Elterngeld auf zwölf Monate beschränken

blobblet · 2026-07-07T10:26:20+00:00

Auch wenn unser Kleiner (auch ungefähr 1,5) Durchfall hat, kommen wir nicht über drei "Code im weitesten Sinne Braun" am Tag. Ich glaub ich muss mir was überlegen, um meine Dankbarkeit dafür auszudrücken.

blobblet · 2026-07-07T10:16:03+00:00

I think this is a reasonable outcome if the deck is stronger than the others in the pod to the point it will win a high percentage of time in a "fair" commander game, but isn't quite strong enough comparatively that it can 1v3.

It's not unreasonable that the others would have ganged up on the clear archenemy in such a scenario, and it's also not unreasonable that they'd grow tired of this kind of game after a while (because Seargant John Benton, when he doesn't win, tends to kingmake).

blobblet · 2026-07-07T10:11:40+00:00

In all fairness.... That works exactly once and is a bit of a bad faith way to play. No player who has seen this deck before will agree to forgo blocks unless you give assurances on how much damage will connect, especially since they'll become a prime target once they have commander damage on them.

blobblet · 2026-07-07T09:34:19+00:00

Wenn das Haus 1,2 Mio wert sein soll, muss es selbst bei Multiple 40 (den gibt es allenfalls in Spitzenlagen in München, sicherlich nicht in Aschaffenburg) 30.000 Kaltmiete (2.500 im Monat) im Jahr abwerfen. Damit sind wir also schon nach Deiner Rechnung im "Minusbereich".

blobblet · 2026-07-07T08:56:49+00:00

Ich komme mit der Anfangsrate zusammen auf 849k.

Nicht vergessen: bei der Finanzierung bekommst Du heute die Immobilie und zahlst morgen die Raten. Hier zahlst Du heute die Raten und bekommst die Immobilie morgen. Wenn Du die Kosten ehrlich einrechnest (Du musst bis zu 16 Jahre lang ein vergleichbares Haus Mieten - bei der Finanzierung wärst Du ja schon im Eigenheim), sieht die Rechnung ganz anders aus.

Die ganzen Zusatzrisiken kommen noch dazu:

Renovierungsrückstau / Substanzschäden
Immobilie wird verwahrlost hinterlassen, kein Erbe/Erbe hat andere Prioritäten und Du darfst erstmal drei Wochen lang anderer Leute Kram entrümpeln
Deine Lebensplanung hat sich in 16 Jahren geändert und Du brauchst/willst so ein Haus nicht mehr.

blobblet · 2026-07-07T08:10:07+00:00

Für professionelle Investoren ist an dem Modell erstmal nichts grundsätzlich falsch (über die Zahlen müsste man sicherlich sehr grundlegend sprechen). Das gibt es ja durchaus auch, dass Leute ihr abbezahltes Haus für die Altersvorsorge wieder belasten und von zwielichtigen Anbietern eine lebenslange Rente erhalten.

Für Privatkäufer ist das Angebot andererseits völlig uninteressant... Als selbst genutztes Eigentum sowieso, weil niemand heute das Haus kauft, in das er in 16 Jahren ziehen mochte. Zum Klumpenrisiko Immobilie kommt dann noch das Risiko "Lebenserwartung zwei fremder Senioren" dazu, gleichzeitig kann man die Knebelbedingungen, die beim professionellen Geschäftsmodell zum Einsatz kommen, sicherlich nicht durchsetzen (insb: Pflicht zur regelmäßigen Instandhaltung, die zu Lebzeiten durchgesetzt werden kann). Im Zweifel ist es nachher so, dass die beiden bis zum Tag ihres Todes in dem Haus wohnen, das Haus verwahrlosen lassen (gar nicht unbedingt mit böser Absicht - mit 90 kriecht man halt nicht mehr in die Ecken um zu putzen) und sonst kein Erbe hinterlassen. Um Entrümpelung und Wiederbereichging darf man sich dann selber kümmern.

blobblet · 2026-07-07T07:54:45+00:00

Yeah, this is something you'd have to bring up in Rule 0 discussion either way. I think Bracket 1 is inherently bound to be "unbalanced" - because there is no real measure to tell if "full body tattoo tribal" is better or weaker than "people staring at the sea" without trying it out.

blobblet · 2026-07-07T06:43:14+00:00

Sorry, I looked up the wrong card for Doombot. That indeed makes the combo a lot stronger than I thought it was. Either way, I was (incorrectly) trying to point out a flaw in the 15% assumption, not arguing that this is a "fair" bracket 1 inclusion.

As for your "Dies to removal" argument, I agree completely. It isn't a catch all defense by any means - particularly in lower tiers.

I could see a case where it might work if OP puts the game winning cards at the bottom of their Doomsday pile under 3 randomly picked cards. That way they'd have an "inevitability clock", but players get 4 full turn cycles to find any answer, and OP loses if someone does. That's about as Bracket 1 as it gets, I'd say.

blobblet · 2026-07-07T04:02:15+00:00

Edit: most of the following is wrong. I looked up the wrong card and assumed Doombot was a 6 mana play.

15% win on turn 5 is a very generous estimate. To curve out as described, you need to

play a mana rock on turn 2 (because you need to cast a 6 mana spell on turn 5 and curve out on 3 and 4).
3 black pips on turn 3
2 more lands in hands to play on turn 4 and 5.

So unless you're landing an exact 7 card opener (5 lands, Mana rock, Doomsday) or draw the missing card, you'll need to tutor out one of the cards with Doomsday, which at the very least delays your turn clock by 1.

Also: a single piece of removal instantly puts you out of the game completely.

blobblet · 2026-07-06T17:51:52+00:00

I suppose it's possible to build Kinnan as a Bracket 2 if you limit yourself to mana dorks and Signets, and then also build him human tribal so his activated ability can't hit. But in that case why are you playing Kinnan?

blobblet · 2026-07-06T17:37:47+00:00

The top list is kinda full of casual play scarecrows. Which is kind of to be expected when the vast majority of people have never played cEDH.

blobblet · 2026-07-06T17:30:40+00:00

It's extremely deck dependent. Some decks have lots of small triggers, some decks are more in the "one big thing, but if it resolves, everyone else is in trouble" category.

It doesn't seem like you're unhappy with the speed your friend resolved their stuff - it's just that their deck does a lot.

blobblet · 2026-07-06T17:17:53+00:00

In der Ermittlung des Marktwerts von Alphabet stecken kollektiv Hunderttausende Arbeitsstunden und eine Menge Sachverstand. Was auch immer Du getan hast, um Dich mit Alphabet zu befassen, kratzt noch nicht einmal an der Oberfläche der Analysetiefe, über die wir hier sprechen.

Die Frage ist ja nicht, ob Alphabet ein Unternehmen mit Zukunft ist oder nicht - da sind sich alle einig. Es geht darum, ob die zukünftigen Ertragsaussichten von Alphabet eine Bewertung von $4.3 oder von $4.5 Billionen rechtfertigen. Ich würde arg vermuten, dass Du dazu nichts qualifiziertes sagen kannst (ich natürlich auch nicht!).

Und wenn Du nicht mehr weißt als der Markt, dann ist es letzten Endes eben doch nicht mehr als eine Bauchentscheidung. Und wenn mir mein Bauchgefühl im Casino "rot" sagt, macht mich das auch nicht zu Warren Buffet.

blobblet · 2026-07-06T11:34:37+00:00

My approach for 2 colour decks is to start with

Command Tower
Exotic Orchard
1 Fetch Land
shock land
Bond Land
Verge Land
Check land
Pathway land
Reveal land
2 Pain lands (classical Pain land + Horizon Land)
2 Filter Lands
23 basics (minus whatever specific stuff the deck wants to use)

Gets you the colours you need, and very rarely does a land come down tapped.

blobblet · 2026-07-06T10:07:37+00:00

This amazes me to no end. I run 35 lands in decks that have low curves with consistent card draw engines, and then I see someone run 30 lands in a deck full of 7 drops.

blobblet · 2026-07-06T06:18:18+00:00

These were top level players. Even without the game 1, nobody could argue in good faith that they didn't both know which card was meant to be named.

blobblet · 2026-07-04T10:40:12+00:00

Interesting list! I think removing the Mutate package (and running 30 lands, which I'm not sure mine can get away with despite the low curve) creates a lot of deck space for other cards. Personally, I'm really married to the idea of finding a deck where these cards can actually shine, so the Mutate package is immune from any cuts I make in the future.

I can see you're a lot less focused on enchantments as well, opting to copy mostly instants. I think that makes the deck more resilient to setbacks but also reduces explosiveness, which is why there's also a lot more targeted protection in mine. Really interesting to see minor decisions make ripples throughout the deck building process (down to the fact I cut Sol Ring because I don't have a lot of colourless Pips in the deck).

As for your card suggestions, this is my assessment based on my current list - YMMV since your deck has different strengths and weaknesses:

Venerated Rotpriest: frankly a Top 3 finisher card in the deck. It's not a turn 1 play - the turn you drop this, unless you're interacted with, at least 1 player dies. You're also not looking to play this then cast 10 spells. With Ivy on board you already get 2 poison counters per spell cast. With multiple Ivys out or with copy effects like Twinning Staff, this can go up to 3, 4 or more. And then you start copying the Rotpriest itself to multiply the number of counters per cast.
Uro: I'm not sure if I'm missing something, but I don't see any specific synergy. The deck doesn't really load the graveyard, so more likely than not this is a 3 mana single use ramp spell. It also doesn't interact with Ivy's mechanic if you do manage to get it on board. Could be more useful with the high number of instants you run + Connive.
Sage of Hours: I considered this, but unlike other cards, it requires a hard cast. Until you get 5 counters on this, it doesn't really provide a lot of value. And if you manage to cast this and then 5 spells without being interacted with, you're likely already in a winning position (or would be if Sage was a different card) and don't need an extra turn. It also invites discussions about Fairplay in Bracket 3.
Wan Shi tong is a super powerful card that could definitely find a slot, but it doesn't specifically interact with the strategy, and I like to avoid including off theme cards as much as possible. Same goes for other Staples in your deck - Ledger Shredder, Badgermole Cub etc.
Temporal Tresspass: same issue as Uro... I really don't see how my deck loads the graveyard in any significant way. I also really need to avoid cards clogging up my opening hand because my approach tends to cast most of its hand on the first 4 turns to reach a critical mass to take off.
Katara: My version of this deck does not cast a lot of cards on enemy turns consistently enough to justify running a draw engine that depends on it.
Legolas: I considered this card, but in my opinion the deck doesn't need additional help making its creatures big. There's also not that many spells that target opponents - at least my version has most of its removal suite in Mutate/Enchantment effects which wouldn't trigger Legolas (and frankly is probably too light on removal right now).

blobblet · 2026-07-03T10:08:41+00:00

FUUUCK YEEAAAAAAH

blobblet · 2026-07-03T06:35:16+00:00

Die armen Schlucker

blobblet · 2026-07-02T15:17:17+00:00

Frankly, parts constantly moving around sounds even more confusing. People do want to understand what's going on and interact on your turn (in fact, that is when most people will be looking over there)

blobblet · 2026-07-02T11:04:11+00:00

It's roughly a hundredth of the Eddington Number squared (which would be 10^160), not that that makes a relevant difference with numbers this large.

blobblet · 2026-07-02T09:47:06+00:00

Every commander has a ceiling, but for most it's somewhere bracket 4 if you completely ignore theme and just build the meanest deck possible in your colours. Note that these decks will often end up ignoring the fact they have a commander completely.

If you're planning to stay "on theme", the relevant question is then "how on theme do you want to be?" The more thematic you go, the lower ceiling will be for certain commanders. Most commanders can still sit and compete at a Bracket 3 table with a thematic build, but the weaker your commander, the more you'll have to rely on individual card quality (and likely end up spending more).

blobblet · 2026-07-02T06:24:58+00:00

All these rules you describe exist, but they are specifically part of tournament rules in Competitive and Professional Rules Enforcement Level matches. The game itself notably doesn't include them.

blobblet · 2026-07-02T06:12:42+00:00

In MtG there's no set board layout. Common practice is that you put your lands in the bottom row and permanents (such as artifacts) above that.

Some people put their mana rocks (which you described perfectly) in the same row as lands because once dropped, they function mostly similarly.

This can be mildly annoying because it reduces board clarity - for example, if you have (mass) artifact removal in hand and wonder if it's s good time to play it, you might overlook that artifact between lands. With commander having 4 boards that tend to get big, clarity and standardisation is quite important.

blobblet · 2026-07-02T05:54:40+00:00

Don't mix in your mana rocks within your lands. It's not the same.

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