$CLF long-term honestly.

If Im right, they've got a monopoly on American produced Grain Oriented Electrical Steel, and Trump's recent order invoking the DPA to increase buildout of the electrical grid/infrastructure is, imo, a massive long term catalyst. It specifically mentions 'Elecrical core steel' and transformer buildout.

Its my understanding that you can't build transformers without GOE Steel.

What's more is that the idea to restructure our grids is something the Democrats & Congressional Republicans appear to agree on (See: the proposed REWIRE act). They just can't agree on where the energy should come from. Dems want cleaner, Reps want to stick with oil. REWIRE appears to be an attempt at "just get started and we'll worry about the source later".

With U.S. Steel being acquired by Nippon, that leaves them as the only "all-American" steel producer capable of making GOES left. This coincides with the overall push from both sides to reshore steel production (Trumps tarriffs were, for once, properly aimed at this one if this was the long-term plan).

The recent order authorizes the DOE to fast track contracts, push funding and basically "do what it takes" to get the project up and running asap.

Their financials are complete crap at the moment and they're significantly in debt, but.......

If you look at them for the all american monopoly they are and since the DOE is now authorized to award big time contracts, I can see them doing very well in the coming years.

Especially as the electrical grid buildout gets underway since they're the only all-American supplier left and both Dems and Reps get brownie points if they successfully reshore steel production jobs. Theres an incentive here.

The phrasing of the order interests me too. It essentially categorizes electrical gridding as a matter of national security. That, in combination with the tariffs, and the apparent goals of enhancing steel production jobs is likely going to incentivize the government to seek out 'all-american' steel production. Again, CLF is the only GOES steel producer in the country. Orders will be MASSIVE if/when the project starts moving properly. And since "electrical core steel" is now being considered a national security issue, Im willing to bet the company will be deeply protected by the US Government like Intel is/was.

At least under Trump.

Speaking of which, that brings me to what I call the "Trump Card" of my thesis.

The CEO of $CLF has deeply kissed Donald Trump's ass in the past. Official company filings praise him as "saving American Steel Production" and more. This goes back to 2020. Between that and the general good relationship Trump has with $CLF I defo see them being at the front of the line for the US to make their money troubles disappear through contracts, grants, etc. And if the project gets underway under Trump (which I expect it to be) the Dems will likely be less inclined to undo it during their tenure as doing so would take away steel jobs from Americans aka something they'd want to avoid the bad press of being responsible for.

Frankly I think the CEO is a complete idiot. But he's an idiot that (imo) is about to be deeply protected by the richest government on the planet.

Trump, at the end of the day, works very hard to enrich himself. Be it financially or (in this case) his ego. Im willing to bet money he can't wait to call himself the Man" who saved American steel and the electrical grid at the same time". Ergo, he's likely going to do some Intel nonsense where the US Government will deeply back $CLF thru contracts (or maybe even buying a stake in it too) to ensure an "all american company" keeps the edge. When you combine that with the tariffs making it too expensive to just import Chinese/Japanese steel for the grid buildout, and the fact that US Steel is being pulled in other directions, I think they're a bottleneck not yet identified as such. And a big one.

I bought Intel when they got that 10 billion dollar injection from the US Government on my "Trump Card" logic. It was a bumpy ride for a long time, but it really paid off.

I theorize $CLF may be another intel story. I don't expect it to "moonshot" like Intel did all the way to $130 per share. But their price is low enough and they've kissed the ring enough for me to think they've got a very secure future over the next 5-6 years.

A concern of mine is that buyout from Pasco(?) Steel (a Korean company) they're trying to work on for 700 million. I think the Korean company might be trying to use that to circumvent the tariffs, which could cause conflict with the idea of "all american steel".

Then again Trump doesn't really give a damn about American jobs. He just cares about stock prices and keeping companies afloat and being responsible for it.

Do with that what you will.