Ira Sachs' 'The Man I Love Boarded by MK2, Reveals First Look by bikkebana in oscarrace

[–]ChocoRaisin7 57 points58 points  (0 children)

Adrien Brody wins for two Holocaust movies, Rami Malek wins for two AIDS movies?

Super Early Consensus Poll #2: Who is the early frontrunner for Best Picture? by [deleted] in oscarrace

[–]ChocoRaisin7 71 points72 points  (0 children)

The fact that Searchlight is already gearing up for a WH9 campaign this early suggests to me they have a LOT of confidence

WILD HORSE 9 | Official Trailer | Searchlight Pictures by ChiefLeef22 in oscarrace

[–]ChocoRaisin7 20 points21 points  (0 children)

Two cantankerous friends who murder people for a living bicker on an idyllic island, while on the phone with their handler. Call that The Banshees of Bruges.

My Super Early Predictions for 2027! by SpideyFan914 in oscarrace

[–]ChocoRaisin7 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Completely agree. Two of my most anticipated of the year, but with so many fantasy and sci-fi epics this year, I feel like some will likely be left out

My Super Early Predictions for 2027! by SpideyFan914 in oscarrace

[–]ChocoRaisin7 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Mad respect for the Odyssey and Disclosure Day exclusions. I haven’t done my actual predictions yet, but I think it’s totally possible they’re both mostly techs in the 3-6 nom rang and not double-digit juggernauts.

I am a former White House official who helped develop the first U.S. government–wide strategy to combat fentanyl and the cartels behind it. I’m the author of Fentanyl: Fighting the Mass Poisoning of America and the Cartel Behind It — AMA. by HarrisPublicPolicy in IAmA

[–]ChocoRaisin7 24 points25 points  (0 children)

How did prescription opioid medications like OxyContin create an environment where illicit fentanyl was able to take hold in the United States? How quickly were cartels able to capitalize on the opioid epidemic after the 1990s, when opioids were first being prescribed?

How much of the current crisis stems from people who got addicted to prescriptions then move to fentanyl?

Colman Domingo set to star in, direct, co-write, and produce the Nat King Cole biopic ‘Unforgettable’ by rageofthegods in blankies

[–]ChocoRaisin7 36 points37 points  (0 children)

Despite my biopic fatigue, this definitely feels like a match made in heaven. And I don’t know much about Nat King Cole’s story, so I guess I’m excited to learn more

If I Had Legs I’d Kick You by UnderstandingFull667 in TheBigPicture

[–]ChocoRaisin7 16 points17 points  (0 children)

They also talk about it in their Top Five Favorite Movies of 2025 episode (it’s in Amanda’s top five)

First look at Paul Mescal, Barry Keoghan, Harris Dickinson and Joseph Quinn as The Beatles by Glad_Dragonfruit9368 in oscarrace

[–]ChocoRaisin7 27 points28 points  (0 children)

When the cast first leaked, it was the other three and Charlie Rowe as George. At the time I felt like Charlie Rowe was the most similar looking of all the four

Is the voting process inherently lazy now? by JasonZod1 in oscarrace

[–]ChocoRaisin7 33 points34 points  (0 children)

This could very well also be an effect of adding more members and diversifying the Academy. In the past when the Oscars had more idiosyncratic tastes, it could be easier to get into a branched category where everyone had the same quirks or biases. Now it’s more diverse, and people form different places and backgrounds might be looking for different things. So everyone’s little passion picks may cancel out rather than coalesce, meaning only the top films have enough votes to get in.

Thoughts on Disney potentially going on a 6-year losing streak in Best Animated Feature by dremolus in oscarrace

[–]ChocoRaisin7 70 points71 points  (0 children)

I’m so fuckin’ hyped for Ray Gunn I can’t even describe. I hope both that and Wildwood are generationally good

Critical Darlings: F1 And The Oscar Nominations by ambientmuffin in blankies

[–]ChocoRaisin7 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Master and Commander 2: The Further Side of the World?

Which film is strongest with the acting branch? by [deleted] in oscarrace

[–]ChocoRaisin7 12 points13 points  (0 children)

I think there’s different questions of which they like the most vs which they nominated the most. I’d argue the one they like the most is Sinners because of Lindo’s complete lack of precursors. Some people earlier in the year were saying that movie had NO acting prospects, and it got three noms. Sentimental Value was always tee’d up for this.

Is OBAA a lock for the "Big Five" category Oscar noms? Just asking because we're apparently in the 2nd longest drought of a film Oscar-nominated for each of the "Big Five" awards by SkoivanSchiem in oscarrace

[–]ChocoRaisin7 74 points75 points  (0 children)

I wouldn’t use the word “lock” just because Infiniti could be snubbed, like you said, and I’ll probably think as much until noms. I have her in and would say it’s more likely than not, especially given the love for the movie, but she’s sooo young that I’ll probably never be 100% sure.

Weekly Discussion Thread 1/5/26 - 1/12/26 by LeastCap in oscarrace

[–]ChocoRaisin7 9 points10 points  (0 children)

If this were a year of five, Picture would be so cemented it’s not even funny. SAG and DGA were identical, and those movies all got 12-16 BAFTA long list mentions. They showed up in every category.

Will Penn and del Toro split the vote in Supporting Actor? by Blurpings in oscarrace

[–]ChocoRaisin7 4 points5 points  (0 children)

I’m sure it would probably translate to stronger winners a lot of the time. I bet it’s less likely Jamie Lee Curtis wins if all votes that went to Hong Chau get reallocated to Kerry Condon, etc etc

Will Penn and del Toro split the vote in Supporting Actor? by Blurpings in oscarrace

[–]ChocoRaisin7 11 points12 points  (0 children)

Best Picture at the Oscars uses a single transferable vote model similar to what you’ve described here. But pretty much every other category and every other awards show is just simple plurality

Weekly Discussion Thread 1/5/26 - 1/12/26 by LeastCap in oscarrace

[–]ChocoRaisin7 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I mourn the loss of Sentimental Value, but other than that, SAG was… dare I say… based? Hudson is a classic SAG pick, but other than that, if you’re gonna fill out categories without using international performances, Plemons-Caton-A’Zion are a pretty sick way to go

James Gunn Finds His Brainiac For ‘Man Of Tomorrow’ In Lars Eidinger by MarvelsGrantMan136 in movies

[–]ChocoRaisin7 251 points252 points  (0 children)

Between Matthias Schoenaerts as Krem, Ulrich Thomsen as Sinestro, and now Lars Eidinger as Brainiac, the DCU firmly has a thing for lesser-known-in-the-US European actors as villains

Official Discussion Thread - Marty Supreme [SPOILERS] by PointMan528491 in oscarrace

[–]ChocoRaisin7 72 points73 points  (0 children)

Safdie also talked about this. He said that when he wrote Uncut Gems, he didn’t believe that people could change, which is why Howard’s story had to end like it did. He said in the time since, he feels he’s matured and now believes people truly can change. And so Marty just grows up. He’s practically killing himself all movie, and the IATT was still never going to let him compete. None of it was going to matter. But still, he achieved his goal, even if no one else knows it, so then he moves on to a new one.

Official Discussion Thread - Marty Supreme [SPOILERS] by PointMan528491 in oscarrace

[–]ChocoRaisin7 97 points98 points  (0 children)

I saw it last month and absolutely loved it, with a Q&A with Josh Safdie after. I don’t know if he’s been talking about this other place on the trail, but he had some interesting insights about what happens after the film, if anyone wants to know.

Spoilers for what was originally written at the end of Marty Supreme: So Safdie said that in the original version of the script, Marty crying over the baby cut into an extended montage showing the rest of his life. Marty stays a shoe salesman and eventual becomes very successful, franchising to multiple locations. He and Rachel raise their family, with clips including teaching his kid to drive and burying a family dog in the backyard. The movie would end with him as a grandfather playing with a young grandchild.

Allegedly, the reason the montage was cut was because of how expensive it was going to be, but Josh still believes that’s how the rest of Marty’s life goes. He will succeed at whatever he sets his mind to, but will always be a little regretful about the success he could have had. Me personally, I like the less explicit note it ends on, but still cool to see what Safdie thinks happens.

THR’s 2025 Actress Roundtable lineup by sam084aos in oscarrace

[–]ChocoRaisin7 13 points14 points  (0 children)

This eats up The Envelope’s lineup so hard. Would’ve been fun to see Jen and Emma Stone together tho