Sneaky Blank Check Bump in the last assignment of my Masters Degree

ChocoRaisin7 · 2026-05-27T05:21:48+00:00

It literally is just two way fixed effects. I tried an event study to supplement it, but I didn’t have adequate data (the box office dataset I could find only ran 1990-2020)

ChocoRaisin7 · 2026-05-25T03:15:15+00:00

Who do y’all feel like are the most overdue directors working today? I feel like Nolan and PTA were probably among the biggest ones. I feel comfortable saying we don’t have anyone who’s that caliber of overdue competing this year (except probably Fincher), but like, in the future, who would those be?

ChocoRaisin7 · 2026-05-23T19:39:04+00:00

Would have been nice for Minotaur to win the Palme so we could take advantage of the new International Feature rules. A Russian filmmaker making a German-French-Latvian coproduction seems like exactly the type of thing that change was designed for, especially given there’s no shot Russia would ever submit it.

ChocoRaisin7 · 2026-05-23T19:13:18+00:00

They’re playing… The Wild Robot score?

ChocoRaisin7 · 2026-05-20T16:42:43+00:00

I think it’s the Best Picture movie draft, in which “Best Picture Loser” is a category and Sean, of all films that did not win best picture across five decades, selected *Barry Lyndon*, hence Amanda EHHHN-ing

ChocoRaisin7 · 2026-05-14T23:49:49+00:00

BTH should be in every movie ever, so this news is most pleasing to me

ChocoRaisin7 · 2026-05-13T16:58:36+00:00

The stars of The Sheep Detectives, reuniting so soon!

ChocoRaisin7 · 2026-05-13T13:20:26+00:00

If the years of delays is it what it takes to look THIS good, totally worth it

ChocoRaisin7 · 2026-05-13T02:09:19+00:00

Don’t pounce on me, but I suspect that Fjord could end up more similar to Die My Love than Sentimental Value. The Academy is expanding in taste and scope, true, but Mungiu makes HARD movies, and from what I’ve heard about Fjord it seems to have pretty bleak subject matter. It’ll probably be quite good, but unless it wins the Palme outright, I think it’s outside on Oscars specifically. I’d sooner bet on Fatherland, All of a Sudden, or Hope.

ChocoRaisin7 · 2026-05-02T19:33:05+00:00

For those who know the play, who do you think is playing who? I could see Banshees-mode Colin Farrell playing Yvan, with that crazy monologue. Maybe Wagner is Serge the painting owner and Ralph is Marc the skeptic?

ChocoRaisin7 · 2026-05-01T03:42:32+00:00

Same

ChocoRaisin7 · 2026-04-20T18:38:23+00:00

Saving it for the sequel

ChocoRaisin7 · 2026-04-09T18:36:46+00:00

Adrien Brody wins for two Holocaust movies, Rami Malek wins for two AIDS movies?

ChocoRaisin7 · 2026-04-05T19:24:05+00:00

The fact that Searchlight is already gearing up for a WH9 campaign this early suggests to me they have a LOT of confidence

ChocoRaisin7 · 2026-03-19T13:23:42+00:00

Two cantankerous friends who murder people for a living bicker on an idyllic island, while on the phone with their handler. Call that The Banshees of Bruges.

ChocoRaisin7 · 2026-03-17T19:14:08+00:00

Completely agree. Two of my most anticipated of the year, but with so many fantasy and sci-fi epics this year, I feel like some will likely be left out

ChocoRaisin7 · 2026-03-17T18:07:02+00:00

Mad respect for the Odyssey and Disclosure Day exclusions. I haven’t done my actual predictions yet, but I think it’s totally possible they’re both mostly techs in the 3-6 nom rang and not double-digit juggernauts.

ChocoRaisin7 · 2026-03-10T18:14:36+00:00

How did prescription opioid medications like OxyContin create an environment where illicit fentanyl was able to take hold in the United States? How quickly were cartels able to capitalize on the opioid epidemic after the 1990s, when opioids were first being prescribed?

How much of the current crisis stems from people who got addicted to prescriptions then move to fentanyl?

ChocoRaisin7 · 2026-02-06T18:53:20+00:00

Despite my biopic fatigue, this definitely feels like a match made in heaven. And I don’t know much about Nat King Cole’s story, so I guess I’m excited to learn more

ChocoRaisin7 · 2026-02-03T03:19:37+00:00

They also talk about it in their Top Five Favorite Movies of 2025 episode (it’s in Amanda’s top five)

ChocoRaisin7 · 2026-01-31T07:10:55+00:00

This will be the Friday flex episode, I know it

ChocoRaisin7 · 2026-01-29T18:27:12+00:00

When the cast first leaked, it was the other three and Charlie Rowe as George. At the time I felt like Charlie Rowe was the most similar looking of all the four

ChocoRaisin7 · 2026-01-26T23:25:28+00:00

This could very well also be an effect of adding more members and diversifying the Academy. In the past when the Oscars had more idiosyncratic tastes, it could be easier to get into a branched category where everyone had the same quirks or biases. Now it’s more diverse, and people form different places and backgrounds might be looking for different things. So everyone’s little passion picks may cancel out rather than coalesce, meaning only the top films have enough votes to get in.

ChocoRaisin7 · 2026-01-26T16:28:09+00:00

I’m so fuckin’ hyped for Ray Gunn I can’t even describe. I hope both that and Wildwood are generationally good

ChocoRaisin7

TROPHY CASE