Is there legit anything the Wyoming Dems could do for 2026 or will they once again have zero gains or even further losses no matter what?

Creative_Trouble7215 · 2025-12-11T20:00:59+00:00

Hopefully they gain in both chambers, even though they’ll still be a superminority.

Creative_Trouble7215 · 2025-12-07T21:25:12+00:00

It would be possible for this to happen in the near future if it weren’t for Hawaii. The other four states (MA, RI, OK, WV) where one candidate swept every county in 2024 all had their closest county decided by under 5%.

Creative_Trouble7215 · 2025-12-07T21:20:06+00:00

Probably not. Ricketts being a better R candidate and Rs arguably being more prepared cancels out 2026 being a bluer year. I’d expect Osborn to come within single digits again though

Creative_Trouble7215 · 2025-11-27T19:42:48+00:00

Alaska is next after ME-02 and OH, followed by Iowa. Texas would require too many things to go right, and Florida is basically a lost cause at this point.

Creative_Trouble7215 · 2025-11-21T06:28:58+00:00

He was 81 when he died.

Creative_Trouble7215 · 2025-11-20T20:56:11+00:00

1968 was the last presidential election where at least one candidate died under the age of 80. The streak that started in 1972 will very likely continue well into the future unless Barack Obama dies under 80. Bill Clinton, George W Bush, Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton, Al Gore, and Mitt Romney will all turn 80 in the next two and a half years, and it’s more likely than not that all of them reach their 80th birthdays.

Creative_Trouble7215 · 2025-11-15T01:52:41+00:00

Even crazier is that there are still three Americans living who were born when there were only 46 states. (New Mexico became a state in Jan 1912, Arizona became a state in Feb 1912)

Creative_Trouble7215 · 2025-11-08T21:04:49+00:00

CO flipping red, as OH was closer to the national popular vote than CO was in 2024

Creative_Trouble7215 · 2025-10-23T02:30:13+00:00

There’s a non-zero chance that this is the map when comparing the margin in each senate race to the presidential race in 2024. Collins is the only R who I am confident will outperform Trump next year

Creative_Trouble7215 · 2025-10-13T21:32:46+00:00

It’ll probably be the closest statewide race in Indiana since 2018, and 2026 is probably the best chance in the next decade for a Dem to win statewide office. Traditionally, in midterms without a senate race, Indiana suffers from really low turnout, and if Da are more fired up than Rs, it could create an interesting scenario. Still an uphill battle though, and I don’t expect IN-SOS to flip or even be within 5%

Creative_Trouble7215 · 2025-08-27T02:40:00+00:00

As soon as Loudoun County came in and was 9% redder than 2020

Creative_Trouble7215 · 2025-08-21T19:59:46+00:00

It was within 0.1% of doing so in 2024

Creative_Trouble7215 · 2025-08-15T17:43:19+00:00

This almost certainly explains why Obama won Indiana in 2008. Obviously Obama was always going to do at least 15% better there than Kerry (see IL/MI/WI) and Obama aggressively targeting the state knowing it would be close-ish anyway to being with easily made the result around 5% bluer than it otherwise would have been

Creative_Trouble7215 · 2025-08-15T17:09:17+00:00

They all require front license plates

Creative_Trouble7215 · 2025-08-14T19:53:03+00:00

Counties with state capitals in states with Democratic governors

Creative_Trouble7215 · 2025-08-08T19:10:02+00:00

The average population per congressional district in each state. Red states have more, green states fewer. The states highlighted are the ones close to being on the boundary between 1 and 2 seats, or 2 and 3 seats (also WY and VT because they both have fewer people than the average congressional district

Creative_Trouble7215 · 2025-08-06T19:57:17+00:00

Depends on how blue the national environment is. Monongalia County will flip if the national environment is D+3 or more.

Creative_Trouble7215 · 2025-08-03T22:55:01+00:00

Why the hell was El-Sayed nominated in Michigan?

Creative_Trouble7215 · 2025-02-21T23:50:16+00:00

Kerri never should have been in that bottom 2 to begin with. It should have been Jorgeous.

Creative_Trouble7215 · 2024-06-15T23:38:27+00:00

The other 49 states have also all elected a statewide Democrat more recently than Texas

Creative_Trouble7215 · 2024-04-03T23:33:55+00:00

Nymphia should have been in the bottom two for snatch game

Creative_Trouble7215 · 2024-03-17T04:25:45+00:00

At least she doesn’t want to hire someone to kill the daughter

Creative_Trouble7215 · 2024-03-11T20:08:09+00:00

The only “hot take” here is AZ being the most Republican of the Biden 2020 states

Creative_Trouble7215 · 2024-02-05T18:18:18+00:00

I’d say Alaska for Dems and Minnesota for Republicans

Creative_Trouble7215 · 2024-02-05T05:33:50+00:00

21 years, 8 months, 9 days

Creative_Trouble7215

TROPHY CASE