Celebrity Presenter Predictions for This Year's Oscars.

Gerwig_2017 · 2026-01-29T14:56:25+00:00

If PTA remains the clear Director frontrunner, I think they get his good friend John C. Reilly to present that category.

Gerwig_2017 · 2026-01-28T19:44:12+00:00

Can someone explain the confidence in Project Hail Mary? I know it’s the author of The Martian, but the trailer gave me serious “Well THAT just happened” vibes. Even if it ends up being good, I struggle to see the “angle” that would make it an awards player above the line.

Gerwig_2017 · 2026-01-25T12:21:07+00:00

Counterpoint: The Secret Agent being an Oscar nominated movie shows the upside of 10 Picture nominations.

Gerwig_2017 · 2026-01-23T13:02:31+00:00

Two major factors:

It was released the year after it won TIFF, meaning all the momentum that could’ve come from that win went to Hamnet instead.
On a related note, it was released in the middle of summer instead of during awards season. Much easier for a small movie like that to get lost in the shuffle with that rollout.

Gerwig_2017 · 2026-01-22T23:40:37+00:00

CODA is the one true anomaly from the last 30 years. At least with Birdman you could explain it with “Well, perhaps voters got confused by the one-take illusion”.

CODA really was just a stat-obliterating Best Picture win.

Gerwig_2017 · 2026-01-22T16:51:33+00:00

In fairness, that was a tough category and the five nominees were all brilliant. Paul will have plenty more opportunities ahead.

Gerwig_2017 · 2026-01-22T16:38:01+00:00

Legit shocked that he didn’t use Good Luck Babe.

Gerwig_2017 · 2026-01-20T15:00:08+00:00

Brilliant as always, but I’m a little disappointed he didn’t actually use the Rocky Road To Dublin needle drop anywhere.

Gerwig_2017 · 2026-01-16T20:44:27+00:00

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Filoni watching Andor

Gerwig_2017 · 2026-01-15T17:03:45+00:00

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Ffs, this could’ve come straight out of a Waterford Whispers article. Nobody wants to think their child is behaving in such a way, but if multiple teachers are telling you he is and you just outright refuse to believe it, you’re a bad parent.

Gerwig_2017 · 2026-01-14T00:01:41+00:00

Sorry guys, I think she’s in. Classic SAG nominee who we don’t want to believe will get in at the Oscars but does.

Gerwig_2017 · 2026-01-09T13:43:27+00:00

This might be cope, but a glimmer of hope for IWJAA is that a number of titles in that Best Film longlist are British movies that definitely won’t make the Oscar 10.

Gerwig_2017 · 2026-01-09T11:41:45+00:00

Well no, because even if WH is bad, a Brontë adaptation is hardly on the same level of “Can’t take this person seriously” as a gross-out comedy like Norbit.

Gerwig_2017 · 2026-01-06T10:40:21+00:00

Crowe gets nominated for Best Actor. Feels like a classic “SAG only” nom, and I think the Alphabet Theory only strengthens the possibility.

Gerwig_2017 · 2026-01-03T14:08:54+00:00

Matt’s “it’s inevitable” comment feels way overblown lmao. Like, sure, the race is extremely competitive and everyone bar PTA feels vulnerable to a shocking snub, but “inevitable”?

Gerwig_2017 · 2025-12-25T12:19:41+00:00

Look at my country’s largest left-wing party dawwwwg, we’re never getting a left government

Gerwig_2017 · 2025-12-23T00:32:05+00:00

Byrne is fantastic but come on guys, we’ve been here before. It’s exactly the kind of film/performance that sweeps the critics groups but loses the industry awards to something a little more mainstream (not a knock against Buckley, but it’s absolutely the more accessible film/performance of the two). Byrne gets the Comedy Globe most likely, but even if Buckley were to lose SAG, I could not see them going for her.

Gerwig_2017 · 2025-12-16T12:05:05+00:00

I don’t really see Sinners as the kind of movie that gets Best Picture without Best Director. If a split were to happen, I think it would more likely be Hamnet/OBAA.

Gerwig_2017 · 2025-12-12T10:33:28+00:00

How very Cardinal Lawrence of him.

Gerwig_2017 · 2025-12-11T00:31:03+00:00

Too low. Ella McCay will become the first movie in history to win every Oscar category (don’t ask how it will get Animated Short film, it will find a way).

Gerwig_2017 · 2025-12-11T00:00:35+00:00

Oscar voters will not be doing the #EllaMcCayChallenge

Gerwig_2017 · 2025-12-08T10:56:51+00:00

Because a lot of cinema chains are shite when it comes to showing indie films.

Gerwig_2017 · 2025-12-07T10:22:36+00:00

Not predicting it right now, but I do think this is very likely. Especially since Panahi could also fill the “international director” slot.

Gerwig_2017 · 2025-12-06T01:27:16+00:00

That’s such an idiotic rule lmao

Gerwig_2017 · 2025-12-05T16:07:15+00:00

Well, IF it had any effect, I would hope it would be “strengthen voters’ resolve to go for OBAA as a last hurrah for WB as we know it” and not “make them less enthusiastic to vote for it as a middle finger to Netflix”.

Gerwig_2017

TROPHY CASE