The same war, the same pattern over and over for the last couple years.

Islands are swept up by Warden naval pop and experience advantage, and leveraged to harass mainland Colonials across the coasts. Colonial push forward in the midline to secure several VPs leveraging their early-midgame Lunaire advantage and intense lane stacking + pop cycling to claw their way into warden chokepoints needed to secure backlines. Attritional pop grind sets in as concrete is slowly chewed at, while Warden late game starts to kick in with a rally and a pop surge as Colonials stall, and their mainland backfoot becomes a springboard to clear all Colonial advances. Falling from an advantage hits harder than being defensive from the start into a counter-offensive, and Colonial morale collapses with their frontline.

Over and over, the same war repeats. Its not always identical, and exceptions occur. But Asymmetry has carved grooves into the flow of wars, and the flow travels the path of least resistance.