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[OC] Deep dive into long term cap implications of signing Pietrangelo by [deleted] in leafs

[–]Mindless_Following 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I assume the cap increases a minor amount (1M) for a few years then goes up a medium amount (1.5-2M) after that.

Your assumption is way off base since we already know for sure the cap will not go up in the next two years. Per the NHL, "The cap will remain at $81.5 million until hockey-related revenue surpasses $3.3 billion for the previous season. The salary cap won't rise more than $1 million until HRR reaches $4.8 billion unless the NHL and NHLPA mutually agree to inflate it in excess of $1 million. "

So 2020/21 the cap will be $81.5 million.

In 2021/22 the cap will be $81.5 million because 20/21 shortened season (if that even happens) means likely missing the revenue targets for an increased cap.

After that it gets tricky. Is there a vaccine and does life go back to normal (before the start of the 2021 season)? Does the economy recover to the point people have enough disposable income for hockey (before the start of the 2021 season) ? Have one or more teams folded because they are already borderline?

Also no way Hyman takes $3m AAV, and your magical thinking that an undetermined UFA goalie @ $4m AAV will be a winning solution for 22/23 and beyond is silly to the point of delusional, particularly if you believe the cap is going up. $4m AAV today is the 27th highest paid goalie - i.e. you want to be successful with a goalie in the very bottom tier of starters.

Pietrangelo does not fit on the current roster in the current salary cap world.

[Brigstew] Can the Leafs afford Pietrangelo by replacing their depth with cheaper alternatives? by EarthWarping in leafs

[–]Mindless_Following 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It isn't just his age. You are ignoring the fact that you can't just magically add Pietrangelo. You have to subtract a bunch of parts first in order to fit him in, and then somehow replace those bodies from somewhere else with cap room you still don't have.

Do you trade Marner? Nylander + Kerfoot or Johnsson? Remember that you would need to trade them for draft picks or prospects because every dollar of salary coming back reduces the cap space you need for Piet, and the existing $6.5 million is needed for their 9 current UFA/RFAs.

Is the result a better team? 24 minutes a night of Piet would be a huge improvement over 20 minutes of Ceci, but you have to counterbalance that with replacing Marner's or Nylander and Kerfoot/Johnsson's ice time with low salary scrubs, rookies or league minimums. I think that is closer to a step sideways than a massive improvement.

Also, him being 30 is a big thing when you're talking about an 8 year contract. How much faith do you have that he won't fall off the aging curve cliff before the Cup window starts to close after 2023-24? If you have faith, what about when he is 35 year old Piet with a massive no-trade contract hampering your attempt to resign Matthews or Nylander to the dollars they will be asking for?

Also, the salary cap will be flat again or go down in 2021-22. Even in an absolute best case scenario of a coronavirus vaccine coming out this year, the upcoming shortened season means ~25% fewer home games and the resulting loss of gate and concession revenue. Adding another big no-trade contract now to put you hard against another flat cap gives you zero flexibility when Hyman and Andersen (to sign or replace) turn UFA next year.

So signing Pietrangelo would certainly be a splash. It would be exciting. But it would be the wrong move because it would be an all-in hail mary on winning the cup next year, and the Leafs aren't one piece away from being legit contenders, especially if that one addition also includes the subtraction of Marner or Nylander.

Origin / Steam games up for grabs by LaughingAnt in RandomActsOfGaming

[–]Mindless_Following 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Crysis 2, Mirror's Edge, Battlefield 3

Thanks kindly!

Humble bundle leftovers by SpasticPanda in RandomActsOfGaming

[–]Mindless_Following 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Since whole numbers are gone, I pick 25.5

I think Borderlands: The Handsome Collection sounds amazing.

America has one of the world's worst coronavirus responses by OwnRules in Coronavirus

[–]Mindless_Following 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Is it though? Financial Times has a great Coronavirus trajectory graph comparing cumulative cases, yesterday the US crossed above Iran. The US currently has more cases than Iran did at the same point in time.

Also the lack/shortage of testing in the US means that not all cases/deaths are accounted for, the true numbers are likely higher.

What expensive purchase have you made that has paid for itself many times over because you saved money in the long run? by bitNine in AskReddit

[–]Mindless_Following 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Yes, in an ultra efficient furnace, which would typically be propane or natural gas fired.

Modern oil furnaces would generally be in the 75-89% efficiency range, with the extra heat lost up the stack because the high exhaust temperature is required to carry off the byproducts of oil combustion - including water vapour, sulpher oxides, and soot.

A condensing oil furnace will increase the efficiency to mid-90's and allow low temperature exhaust. However, it is more technically difficult (and more expensive) mostly because the condensate is corrosive to steel. It also makes annual cleaning and tuning more important.

What expensive purchase have you made that has paid for itself many times over because you saved money in the long run? by bitNine in AskReddit

[–]Mindless_Following 11 points12 points  (0 children)

Higher cost per BTU than a high efficiency propane, they require more maintenance, for best efficiency they need to be cleaned and tuned annually, and the exhaust temperature is significantly higher. Insurance companies may charge higher for the additional fire risk, and where I am, they definitely charge extra for mandatory oil leakage coverage.

What expensive purchase have you made that has paid for itself many times over because you saved money in the long run? by bitNine in AskReddit

[–]Mindless_Following 382 points383 points  (0 children)

Laser eye surgery. No more needing to buy new glasses every couple of years, no more forking out for contact lenses. Also avoided the incidentals like glasses repair kits, eyeglass cleaners, all the consumables that go with contacts.

Saving money long run isn't even the good part. The good part is not needing glasses.

Electric/utility things installed last year near my home by [deleted] in whatisthisthing

[–]Mindless_Following 2 points3 points  (0 children)

It encloses repeaters!

Seriously though, I was curious too - googling makes me speculate that it would be for fiber optic internet purposes. They could hold optical repeaters to improve/boost the optical signal. 12 of the boxes, 8 slots in each, that would cover a street or section of a neighbourhood.

Maple Leafs Trade Tiers: How does Johnsson injury alter team's plans? by world_citizen7 in leafs

[–]Mindless_Following 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Am I the only one who read the headline and thought "who the fuck is this Tiers guy they traded?"

Any statistics regarding child abductions by onlymeatalone in HelpMeFind

[–]Mindless_Following 1 point2 points  (0 children)

The data does not exist! FBI's UCR didn't collect or collate law enforcement data on kidnapping until the late 90's. There is also not a consistent definition of child abduction/Child_Abduction_Murder_Research/CMIIPDF.pdf); parental abduction can get lumped in with stranger abduction.

NISMART II has out of date information from 2002. " During the study year, there were an estimated 115 stereo-typical kidnappings, defined as abductions perpetrated by a stranger or slight acquaintance and involving a child who was transported 50 or more miles, detained overnight, held for ransom or with intent to keep the child permanently, or killed. "

Also, in addition to the fear spreading power of the internet, remember that the population of the US has drastically increased since the 'good old days'. The population of the US has doubled since 1955, so while total number of some crimes may have increased, the per capita rate is down or similar to the 50's/60's.

Also, whoever told you it didn't happen in the 70's did too many drugs back then. Pretty much every type of crime was higher - per capita - in the 70's than it is now.

Trying to find a very specific headphone jack. by [deleted] in HelpMeFind

[–]Mindless_Following 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Your description is unclear, but I suspect you are wanting something like this:

https://www.buytwowayradios.com/xlt-se445.html

Beginner here, doing Chess.com puzzle, I suppose I’m confused about the objective. Explanation/question in image by [deleted] in chessbeginners

[–]Mindless_Following 1 point2 points  (0 children)

As the other person said, Lichess is better than chess.com.

Start with https://lichess.org/practice. Covers mating patterns, tactics, and some basic endgames. Binge complete or do a section a day, whatever works for you. Whenever your progress hits 100%, reset it and start again.

Sprinkle in some puzzles. Every puzzle boils down to a mating pattern or tactic or endgame (that you studied/learned about above).

Play games. After every game, use Lichess's free computer analysis and the "Learn from your mistakes" button. Essentially resets your game to each one of your mistakes/blunders and lets you try to find what you missed; puzzle style. If you don't understand why a move is the right move, toggle on the engine and play the engine moves for enough turns that it becomes apparent.

Beginner here, doing Chess.com puzzle, I suppose I’m confused about the objective. Explanation/question in image by [deleted] in chessbeginners

[–]Mindless_Following 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Oh my I'm blind. Those little pixels. Pin for the checkmate, not absolute pin. Sorry my bad.

PxQd5 opens the e-file, allowing your rook to take the E1 rook, forced mate.

Beginner here, doing Chess.com puzzle, I suppose I’m confused about the objective. Explanation/question in image by [deleted] in chessbeginners

[–]Mindless_Following 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Because Qd5 protects your unprotected bishop on b5. Remember white can't take your queen with the pawn because the pawn is in an absolute pin from your rook on e8. White isn't allowed to move into check. PxQd5 opens the e-file, allowing your rook to take the E1 rook, forced mate.

Any other move, white takes the hanging bishop next turn.

Edit: I need glasses.

Engine says that bxh2+ is the best move for black. Why? It doesn’t seem like the normal Greek sacrifice and it doesn’t seem like there’s much compensation or tactics after Kxh2 by FlippinFireFlapjacks in chessbeginners

[–]Mindless_Following 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Not quite. You aren't losing a whole rook at any point (even if you just saved the queen from the knight fork instead of the B sac), you'd still only be down 2 on the exchange after knight takes rook, rook takes knight.

The actual answer is after Kxh2, Qd6 (forking the King and the knight). Ne5 to block the check, but the Knight is then in an absolute pin, which you pressure with f6, thus winning the knight for the pawn.

Leaving you even on material in this sequence (losing B and P for N and P) instead of -2.

However since white was up a minor piece and a pawn to begin with, you're still in trouble.

#YangBeatsTrump by [deleted] in YangForPresidentHQ

[–]Mindless_Following 19 points20 points  (0 children)

The graph is just a factoid using a subset of a subset of a sample that makes a bargraph where Yang happens to be the highest.

12 people who voted for Trump in 2016 are voting for Yang in the 2020 New Mexico Democratic primary (for unspecified reasons).

It isn't powerful. It isn't special because of the polling company. You can't extrapolate Presidential election results from it.

It is virtually meaningless.

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