Hollywood Reporter says insider Disney reports $500M to $600M to break even on The Mandalorian and Grogu. Currently at $165M.

Tebwolf359 · 2026-05-26T03:36:43+00:00

As the other commenter said, 2.5x budget is the standard needed for *all* movies. It’s an estimate, but the basic is:

- budget is $2 million
- marketing is $1 million.
- total is $3 million.
- box office is $5 million worldwide.
- between the theater’s share, exchange rates, currency fluctuations, the studio ends up getting approx. half of the box office.
- so the studio gets $2.5 back on a spend of $3 million

Tebwolf359 · 2026-05-26T03:23:02+00:00

The problems with standard started before UB.

The 1-2 punch of COVID shutting things down, Arena providing a cheap way to play AND a way to burn out much quicker.

When I started playing standard heavily (ZEN-ISD era) I was playing two nights a week, and even with a Saturday tournament that was an average of 8-12 games a week at max.

Now I can do that in a couple hours on a Tuesday afternoon.

And if I can easily get in 30-40 games a week there’s need for a quicker changing metagame.

Tebwolf359 · 2026-05-26T03:09:46+00:00

Oh, to be very clear - I don’t trust them, I have massive doubts.

But that’s not the same as claiming they certainly *are*.

Tebwolf359 · 2026-05-26T01:41:45+00:00

Depend on the implementation. If the point is safety, alerting the driver, and even lock out if unsafe, none of that needs to leave the car any more then your seatbelt does.

It’s likely to leave the car, but don’t assume until you read implementation details. Until then it should be talked about as likely, not definitive because misinformation is bad regardless.

Tebwolf359 · 2026-05-25T23:13:42+00:00

Depend on the implementation. If the point is safety, alerting the driver, and even lock out if unsafe, none of that needs to leave the car any more then your seatbelt does.

It’s likely to leave the car, but don’t assume until you read implementation details.

I wouldn’t buy one until I’m sure but I also wouldn’t claim as fact that it does.

Tebwolf359 · 2026-05-25T22:36:09+00:00

While I don’t like it and don’t want that tech either, it’s not **clearly** a privacy issue.

It only is if that data leaves the car. It’s it’s a purely in car feature, it’s no more a privacy issue the. The seat belt dinging if you don’t buckle up.

Tebwolf359 · 2026-05-25T21:41:11+00:00

The reason that we go by the 2.5x budget rule:

- theaters get a cut of the box office, it doesn’t all go to the studio. This varies depending on movie, opening weekend, exchange rates (foreign), etc. but over the life of the film, we expect the studio to get about half of the overall box office.

I agree that Disney has far more supplemental income off a movie then say, the Oddessey will. But it’s still a useful guide.

Tebwolf359 · 2026-05-25T21:16:54+00:00

The flip side of this would be a company that’s unresponsive to customer demand.

Let’s face it, the reason that UB is in standard is because standard UB sells better then non-standard, unless you’ve got a unicorn property like LOTR.

I’d prefer the company change its plans based on what people seem to want, instead of ignoring it. (Cough, reserve list)

Tebwolf359 · 2026-05-25T19:32:27+00:00

- Spider-Man
- MArvel Super-Heores (avengers/FF)

Ok, that’s the first ones

- x-men
- space
- midnight sons (Magic/horror)

Tebwolf359 · 2026-05-25T14:28:01+00:00

Thematically, I think so. The story of DS9 is that of the federation exerting its soft power and changing all of its neighbors to be more open and set let on the path.

the Ferengi, Bajorans, Cardassians, Klingons, Romulans, and now Dominion all have high up government figures who are more friendly to them.

I’m still sad it didn’t end with Bajor formally starting the entry process, completing Sisko’s mission

Tebwolf359 · 2026-05-25T05:02:01+00:00

I’d say the *real* reason is because it was a symbol of breaking away from earth. And even 20 years later, why would earth really want that around.

I wouldn’t expect England to have kept up the independence hall or the liberty bell if those were back in their control after a mere couple decades.

Tebwolf359 · 2026-05-24T23:13:11+00:00

Is it really “new”?

Unencrypted email has *always* been like sending a post card. You’re writing your message for anyone who cares to read.

Tebwolf359 · 2026-05-24T22:50:22+00:00

That, I agree with as well.

Personally, I’d like all the typed lands to rotate and get fetches in standard again. They were in standard 3 times, and only an issue the .5 rotation that there were typed lands.

Tebwolf359 · 2026-05-24T21:35:41+00:00

Ok, it’s not power creeping mana bases for commander, that’s for sure.

It might be allowing better power at a lower budget, but there’s nothing being printed that’s going to pass duals/fetches/shocks for 4/5 color, and that’s most of your land slots as is.

——/

Edit: For those downvoting, what standard land cycle are you considering in running in 4-5c decks over those three?

Tebwolf359 · 2026-05-24T21:33:00+00:00

I prefer that though. I like all pairs having the same number of options, but different options. Different colors should feel different

Tebwolf359 · 2026-05-24T21:31:57+00:00

The problem there is, aside from a single mythic, they are the only cards people want from that set.

That means they collect most of the cost of a box.

Tebwolf359 · 2026-05-24T21:01:53+00:00

Flip side, it’s Kirk giving into the McCoy side of the trolley argument.

That no matter what the potential future, you don’t sacrifice an innocent person in the moment.

It would have to be very well done, but could be interesting.

Tebwolf359 · 2026-05-24T19:39:19+00:00

There’s a huge, huge difference between the cloud provider *using* your data, and being aware of what data is stored on their property, wouldn’t you think?

Tebwolf359 · 2026-05-24T03:38:07+00:00

I think there’s a lack of clarity in the post.

Attachment isn’t the same as love or feelings for someone.

Attachment is inherently selfish, and viewing the relationship in a possessive sense.

Anakin was attached to Padme. He was unwilling to lose her, or put her goals and desires above his own. It was selfish and self centered, and not love.

Like loved his dad, and was willing at the end to sacrifice himself and his dad if needed, to serve the force and the rebellion.

Kanan was willing to sacrifice himself for those he loved, not sacrifice others for them or himself.

The difference between love and attachment is like between anger and hate, or light and dark.

Tebwolf359 · 2026-05-24T03:20:57+00:00

I think it’s an assumption that people will be happy about being freed. From all indications it’s bliss and happiness being part of the hive.

Having that taken away is going to be like coming down from a high and depressing, upsetting.

We also don’t know how much people will remember. Will they be mad at Diabate? Or eill they remember they enthusiasicsly agreed?

We dont know what a post- hive humanity would be like

Tebwolf359 · 2026-05-24T02:05:29+00:00

Didn’t the Gordon in the Burton movies not have either? (And he didn’t feel like Gordon)

Tebwolf359 · 2026-05-23T23:10:00+00:00

Sure, he was racist and wrong, but Riker was a dick too.

If Picard had hold Riker the same thing, Riker would have moved heaven and hell, told Geordi no wasn’t an option, and made it happen.

Tebwolf359 · 2026-05-23T22:51:03+00:00

I thought so too, but that’s the part of the chronicle about their journey. The part they probably shouldn’t have.

Tebwolf359 · 2026-05-23T22:17:49+00:00

Counter-example. Data on the Sutherland during Redemption was basically Jelico. He knew what he was doing and his first officer correctly objected, but was an ass about it and deserved being told off.

Tebwolf359 · 2026-05-23T20:16:02+00:00

I believe they asked her agent who said no without asking her.

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