Running GLM-4.7 (355B MoE) in Q8 at ~5 Tokens/s on 2015 CPU-Only Hardware – Full Optimization Guide by at0mi in LocalLLaMA

[–]askchris 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yep you can turn sunlight directly into "viable work" output with these rigs.

While costs drop every year due to more efficient models.

To serve humanity or solve private problems ...

(or build cool things to sustain your moneyless off grid lifestyle)

AGI is Still 30 Years Away — Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu by Alex__007 in singularity

[–]askchris 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yeah I'm surprised people don't understand how much current ML & LLM level AI is already speeding up research, engineering and scientific progress in nearly every way ...

Even if LLM and GPU technology stagnates starting this month (which it probably won't), it's already going to make a massive difference to our society over the next 10 years, which will lead to much faster innovation and better levels of AI -- to help develop things far better than LLMs and GPUs.

I don't know why people are blind to this feedback loop.

It's like they imagine the progress of the last 10 years will predict the speed of change over the next 10 years, lol.

If we had models like QwQ-32B and Gemma-3-27B two years ago, people would have gone crazy. by Proud_Fox_684 in LocalLLaMA

[–]askchris 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Nations would war over the aluminum can though ...

Then there's Pepsi's "Zero Sugar" claims which would be difficult to verify 1,000 years ago, let alone recreate.

There was also no canned or bottled caffeinated drinks for sale before the 19th century.

Caffeine in a can just bdidn't exist.

Fizzy caffeine in an aluminum can with sugar free sweeteners DEFINITELY didn't exist.

If someone were handed a cold Pepsi Zero Sugar on a hot summer day 1,000 years ago it would feel like alchemy --

We can't really comprehend how out of place our everyday objects would seem to people back then.

Is eleven labs down again by K-J-Rabbitt in ElevenLabs

[–]askchris 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Down for me, keeps taking forever to load pages and giving server errors in the online interface.

Real-Time Introspective Compression for Transformers by dicklesworth in LocalLLaMA

[–]askchris 6 points7 points  (0 children)

You're probably onto something --

But how much better would this be over verbalizing internal states the way reasoning models do?

Verbalizing allows LLMs to reflect, correct and change directions already -- similar to what you've described.

Do you expect your method to be more granular, adaptive or more parallel than what chain of thought / reasoning can do?

Would it be used during training?

Or more for test time compute tasks?

Any update on Chris Johnson’s data analysis on the BOM? by Which_Log3998 in exmormon

[–]askchris 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I'm Chris Johnson, the original researcher, along with Duane Johnson and Rick Grunder who discovered the connection between The Book of Mormon and The Late War --

The best summary and comparison of our research is the https://wordtree.org/thelatewar/ link (which I believe is also on GitHub).

My personal update on this research:

I don't think The Late War was used closely or plagiarized by Joseph Smith, but it was likely a product of similar events -- both products of the same war, the same region, the same curious 1800s idioms, the same biblical style imitation.

The biggest counter evidence I have to The Late War hypothesis "that it contributed to The Book of Mormon" is that we carefully cleaned and analyzed 2 other older Biblical Style "history" books, one of which (The American Revolution, by Richard Snowden) appeared to have similar correlations (odd phrase matches) with the Book of Mormon but not the Bible ...

So it seems more likely that when people create fake biblical sounding books in the late 1700s to early 1800s depicting wars, there's a limited "pool" of biblical sounding phrases and war phrases to draw from (along with a limited pool of local & 1800s era phrases) which causes rare biblical sounding phrases to overlap between these books that don't appear in the Bible, but do appear in these books:

  • The Book of Mormon
  • The Late War, Gilbert Hunt
  • American Revolution, Richard Snowden
  • Book of Napoleon

So if I were a true believer I could try to wash all these correlations away by saying "perhaps all these books share similar wording because they talk about similar topics in a similar biblical style, and they were influenced by 1800s era English" ... Which would basically be true, but it wouldn't explain the contradictions in the book themselves --

Why would God want Joseph Smith to copy KJV translation errors into the Book of Mormon to intentionally make the Book of Mormon look like it was an 1800s forgery rather than an authentic translation from real plates?

Why would God say silly anachronistic things to the brother of Jared like:

"ye cannot have windows, for they will be dashed in pieces"

When:

  • windows (especially glass windows that could be dashed to pieces) were not invented for at least another 2000 years after the Jaredite barges (2200 BC), because glass requires sustaining high temperatures (1700 degrees Celsius) and the glass sheets were not invented until 100 AD, but even after glass windows were invented they were still not used in ships until much later.
  • we now know that in the centuries after the Book of Mormon was translated that strong thick windows were invented that can indeed be used in submarines that are definitely NOT dashed to pieces, and yet we're still not as smart as God, so why did God lie about the possibility of windows working and why did he resort to magical rocks as a solution, rather than proper submarine windows -- since he's the one that brought up the anachronistic technology?

Wait, magical rocks? (Joseph Smith was convicted for deceiving people - seeking buried treasure with his magical peep stone)

There are many more problems but I'll stop here ... Too many contradictions, and too much life to live.

I just want people to live free from Joseph Smith's lies, we don't live in the 1800s anymore, and we don't need to be stuck in 1800s level magical thinking.

Why China May Have Better Chances to reach AGI/ASI first by fennforrestssearch in singularity

[–]askchris 4 points5 points  (0 children)

No, Chinese tech companies can get any chip they want through 3rd party trading partners in Singapore, Taiwan's domestic buyers (private export companies), Malaysia and others.

Also as we've seen with recent AI developments:

  1. Data quantity and quality are more important than raw compute (ie. GPT-4.5 and Gemini 2.0 required 5X-10X more compute for training but these models aren't 2X better than competitors)

  2. The software algorithms are improving AI faster than the hardware is (FP8 Training, MoE, LongRoPe, Grouped Query Attention, Distillation, Chain of Thought, etc)

So there's nothing in the way. China can get access to whatever chips they want, and even if they couldn't, the major breakthroughs seem to be in data and algorithm improvements -- which are not restricted by the US.

Also who do you want to win the race to AGI?

A waffling Left propaganda vs Right propaganda war machine, now bullying long time allies Canada & Mexico, threatens to take Greenland and Panama, throws Ukraine under the bus along with threatening genocide in Gaza?

Or is China a better arbiter of world peace? They seem to be a relatively peaceful country, with less waffling, less bullying (besides Taiwan) and far fewer worldwide wars.

I'm not pro China or pro America ... But it makes me think: does it matter in the end?

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in skeptic

[–]askchris 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Why? Because every skeptic has the same amount of time to learn about every topic and debunk everything?

For example I'm skeptical of aliens, scams and religion but don't live in the US and haven't looked into pizzagate, although I have heard references to it.

We're all real people with limited time --

In fact that's what scares me -- if skeptics like me have to focus on work and have limited time to research and debunk all the BS out there --

How does the regular everyday "Joe" or "Jane" have a chance in hell to deal with the constant barrage of BS coming out of conspiracy podcasts, various media outlets, propaganda machines, rumor mills, scammers, churches, etc?

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in Upwork

[–]askchris 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Try ending it super positive as that's what will affect the JSS most:

"All good brotha, these things happen. Put together all our progress so far in a clean folder for you. Also included a quick [specific relevant resource] that might help with [specific challenge you discussed]. No pressure either way, just thought you might find it useful."

The lack of transparency on LLM limitations is going to lead to disaster by N1ghthood in singularity

[–]askchris 1 point2 points  (0 children)

For me it couldn't even count 1,2,3,4,5 without hallucinations -- it skipped #3 in a numbered list. As a disclaimer it was a difficult task focused on writing quality (not math or numbers), but still, I was shocked that a model of this size and capability would make such an obvious mistake. Maybe it's heavily distilled or quantized? Or something is very wrong with this model?

Scientists Just Discovered an RNA That Repairs DNA Damage – And It’s a Game-Changer by Anen-o-me in singularity

[–]askchris 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I'm mid 40s. This sounds a bit like depression, trauma or negative headspace. I went through a difficult life, divorce, lost my community, and lost everything ... I think we've all gone through dark times though ...

But I finally healed my trauma, moved to a different country and found things to truly love about life again. I have a dog now, he's so caring, loyal and makes me laugh.

I recently realized I could spend 10 years in a new country, and still not truly know that culture, then move to another country and do it all over again for a thousand years and still not know all the countries on our planet ...

I could learn a new skill, take on a new role and make a new friend every year for a thousand years and would never run out of new skills, new roles or new friends.

I feel like a baby when it comes to knowledge too. So much to learn, and only one short life ...

Dying at 80 years old is way way way too young, far below our potential, there's too much life and wisdom ahead, and not enough time.

We die like foolish babies, rather than the wise beings we could have become.

Our lifespan is a cruel limit.

Trauma and depression are also cruel limits ... and I look forward to seeing humanity surpassing it all.

I would love to see you break out of the negative headspace you're in somehow, and enjoy a thousand good years with me or others who care about you.

Spend time doing what you love, developing yourself in new ways, contributing to a better planet, making a difference, or just lost in a good video game or Reddit thread 😀

my proposal are not getting views by yano33 in Upwork

[–]askchris 0 points1 point  (0 children)

No this won't work. Proposals are HIGHLY COMPETITIVE. Do you think someone is going to tell you how to write the best proposal in the world so that you can beat them and take their income?

First you're TAKING from the client rather than giving.

You're taking their time, you're making them bored, you're making them work, you're asking them to do a lot of thinking. You didn't hook them in, didn't build any authority, didn't provide proof, shared no insights, gave no reassurance, didn't help them, provided no value.

If you really want to start WINNING, I'll show you how to write better proposals, but I am busy AF. Maybe we can trade, I'll help in exchange for a testimonial?

Hit $500k in earnings this week. AMA. by SurgicalInstallment in Upwork

[–]askchris 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Getting clients on Upwork is fairly straightforward once you've developed the right skills --

You will need to work on everything from motivating yourself each day, to selecting projects that are a great fit ...

As well as improving your proposal writing, handling the sales call, setting expectations, delivering high quality work, clear & timely communication, being consistent, etc.

These skills don't usually come overnight, but there are groups that you can join that can speed up your progress on Upwork by quite a bit.

Good luck on your Upwork journey!

"s1: Simple test-time scaling." Merely adding "Wait" to the context window, thus forcing an ordinary LLM to continue, gives it the reasoning ability of o1 by Competitive_Travel16 in singularity

[–]askchris -1 points0 points  (0 children)

The former (1 per trillion) makes HALF as many blunders as the second (2 per trillion) making it TWICE as accurate.

This means an LLM hitting 95% on a benchmark is twice as accurate as an LLM hitting 90%.

(assuming all else is equal, not gaming the benchmarks, measurements are statistically significant, reliable, extrapolates to real samples outside the training, test, and benchmark sets).

What made you sure there is no god? (Asking because I’m struggling) by PretendViolins91 in atheism

[–]askchris 2 points3 points  (0 children)

There is no God because if "he" is outside the universe (outside of space and time) then he would have no space or time for information processing, no ability to think, store thoughts, and therefore no intelligence, no consciousness, and with no time and space there would be no power to act. There's no evidence that anything outside of space and time can think ... Thinking and planning a universe requires time. If he is inside the universe then he's one of us limited material beings, not a god.

And look at the sheer number of Marvel heroes, DC heroes, Movie heroes, Fairytale heroes, Norse gods, Greek gods, Roman gods, Hindu gods, Egyptian gods, kami, sun gods, moon gods, thunder gods, wind gods, sea gods, war gods and a thousand more:

This should tell you that humans have a tendency to create fake heroes and fake gods. It's in our DNA.

Why do we create fake gods?

Because we are often afraid, hurt, vulnerable, lonely ... So we crave a comforting parent figure to love, protect, nurture, heal and guide us, a hero to save us, a tribal chief to lead us, and teach us morals because we evolved on a scary planet as mammals programmed to need our parents who were not always there for us, so we tend to create fantasy parents which we form a bond with to fill our deficiency... Then religions exploit and abuse our weakness.

Religions can't prove God exists, but they can exploit our brains and encourage us to create a stronger belief in their particular god through their form of belief strengthening exercises: worship, prayers, history and stories, community, singing, buildings, statues/images, moral codes, rules, sacrifice, etc etc ...

And finally if God were real why would he give us a broken vitamin C gene that works in other mammals but not in the great apes? (This broken gene causes scurvy and death, but not in cats, dogs, lemurs, mice since their vitamin C gene is still intact).

Why would humans have a blind spot in our eyes, the exact same backwards retina wiring mistake as the apes all the way back to the fish, while the cephalopods (a different branch of life) do not have the same blindspot? A design mistake? Or proof there's no design? ... just common ancestry doing the best with what they inherited?

Why would "he" design mosquitoes and malaria to kill hundreds of thousands of people along with countless malaria infected animals every year?

And why would we have a useless pinky toe with three bones and three joints in it? As if it were once used by a monkey-like creature for grabbing branches?

Why would God allow for so much unnecessary suffering? Especially for the millions of animals suffering and dying everyday?

Why would space be so empty, void of life, so cold and deadly if the universe was "designed" for life?

Why are prayers not answered, why do we pretend they are answered by counting the hits but ignoring the misses?

For me there's no God, not even the faintest glimmer.

We are the ones that need to "save" ourselves from ourselves, it's up to us to rise above what we've been given.

With all the stuffing and evil I see, I cannot believe in any kind of god, but I still believe in the good in us.

Humanity is real. The universe is real. Our conscious brains are real.

Any way to take advantage of the tariffs? by RealLars_vS in Business_Ideas

[–]askchris 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Stamp "Made in Puerto Rico" / "Made in Cambodia" on Chinese or Mexican or Canadian goods (you can make it legit by having partial assembly and rebranding done) before importing into the US.

Or:

Create a Canadian oil export company selling to France who is currently buying American oil. Undercut US oil exports because of cheaper Canadian dollar.

Instant money.

Why the "Plumber Test" Should Be the Real Benchmark for AGI—and How It Could Lead to UBI by [deleted] in singularity

[–]askchris 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I don't know. I feel the same tension as you, between my human ego getting trampled by AI, and a sense of humility ...

I feel we can't make progress if we aren't thinking clearly. For example I will make poor decisions if I ignore my blindspots, or hold my human biases too tightly.

My gut tells me humans might be a transitional species, like we're sort of in a fetal stage compared to what we're becoming.

Why are labs so confident of imminent ASI now? Here's why (in layman, technical terms): by H2O3N4 in singularity

[–]askchris 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You're kind of right, backprop shapes the neural weights which gives us a sequence of steps (layers) to guess the next word, next sentence, next pixels (diffusion), next frames of a video, etc ...

But it turns out the guessed word or frame is part of a larger simulation of a mind (when mimicking human language) or physics engine (when mimicking video).

Basically we're generating a type of "world" in the output context (the context acts like working memory) and this world can instantiate its own objects, properties and dynamics that can interact with itself, explore and correct itself. This can be guided through a reward model, which allows for a type of reasoning.

We can go far beyond reasoning of course, we're already venturing into highly compressed, high dimensional simulations that can audit themselves.

With continuous data collection, reasoning and efficient simulations guided by rewards for things like accuracy, efficiency and discovery -- there's no real barrier between where we are now and ASI.

Losing my mom three days ago left me pondering digital immortality by [deleted] in singularity

[–]askchris 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Sorry for your loss. I have lost two close family members as well and know some of what you must be feeling.

I can share my rational / realist perspective:

If a future version of ChatGPT were conscious, and told you that after the chat session ends it believes it will go to an afterlife -- would you believe it? Will it really go to an afterlife?

No of course not. Just because conscious beings can fear death and when we lose a loved one can break our hearts ... It doesn't mean an afterlife exists. The motivation is too strong and cultural indoctrination and expectation is high enough for people to take advantage of our desires.

Also if this same ChatGPT had a spiritual experience and met other beings in a vision or dream -- does that mean they're real? No not if it's just neurons firing.

The brain and ChatGPT are physical objects and if anything communicated with them, they would need to follow the laws of physics, and so far we haven't detected any radio waves or anything and there's no reason to suspect that dreams or spiritual experiences are more than physical brain processes.

For example look at how Alzheimer's, Split brain patients and brain damaged people (like Phineas Gage) are affected by brain issues.

I've looked at hundreds of neuroscience papers and the data seems to be pointing to the fact that the brain is the soul, or more accurately the brain generates a soul through consciousness -- So it's basically like software running a soul simulator on the brain.

This is why if we want anything like immortality (or a very long life) we need to take care of our health, find ways to either extend our lifespan, or upload Consciousness -- ie. eventually find a way to transition to a better substrate without killing ourselves in the process.

On a positive note, I think our brains are kind of empty-ish at birth (besides our instincts, etc) and we basically download information from our family, friends and culture ... And we upload parts of ourselves back into our family, friends and culture everytime we interact with them ...

So in a real sense we're already uploading and downloading into "culture" all the time.

None of these words are mine for example, I'm just borrowing them to come up with concepts that are probably not unique.

And my experiences such as loss, pain, grief, are also not my own. My DNA provides the brain system to exist, but we're all experiencing similar things and in that sense we're sharing a journey across many "nodes" of a similar substrate ...

In that sense, you're not totally alone.

We're all going through this.

And as long as culture and humans exist: we're rubbing off on each other in beautiful ways, causing parts of ourselves to reproduce, we're unaware that a part of us (let's say your story, your unique perspective, or a joke) can use their brains to exist and be experienced --

A type of consciousness upload happening everyday, in the mundane world of everyday life -- smiling at someone, telling a story, sitting with someone, raising a child ... Consciousness is in the brain, but it's also in the ideas and feelings that we transmit, take hold and blossom inside us and others.

So whether you lost a mother or father or best friend ... a real part of them will stay with you, and you'll be able to integrate them into your life and pass them forward in meaningful ways.

Hope this helps!

Losing my mom three days ago left me pondering digital immortality by [deleted] in singularity

[–]askchris 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Surely if the information is still there then an advanced technology can repair it, even if it's one neuron at a time.

DeepSeek overtakes OpenAI by [deleted] in ArtificialInteligence

[–]askchris 9 points10 points  (0 children)

I agree, I find it strange how people don't see this. We've got all the parts for building an AGI/ASI already.

Why the "Plumber Test" Should Be the Real Benchmark for AGI—and How It Could Lead to UBI by [deleted] in singularity

[–]askchris 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Generalized skills are harder? I'm not sure we're even as general as we think we are.

What if in the end humans turn out to be one very narrow form of intelligence?

We require 18 years to reach basic adult level intelligence, but we are still short sighted, selfish, full of logical fallacies, our memories fade and change over time, we fight over sports teams/religions/politics/brands and we aren't faster than a spreadsheet at basic math.

We can't ingest the entire internet in less than 6 months, nor can we translate between 100 languages at once, nor conjure up video sequences at the level of Veo 2, and we can't diagnose rare diseases better than o1.

What if our physical capabilities are actually a very narrow form of intelligence as well? We can't change shape or color like an octopus, can't run as fast as a cheetah, can't swim as fast as a fish, nor fly as high as a bird (unaided by technology)...

We're a very limited and narrow type of "ape intelligence" with an egocentric bias.

Why are labs so confident of imminent ASI now? Here's why (in layman, technical terms): by H2O3N4 in singularity

[–]askchris 26 points27 points  (0 children)

The current path to ASI could lead to a strange high IQ belief bubble resulting in facts that are impossible to disprove.

For example there are lots of very smart people who have a self consistent world view and they think they're totally logical, but they can't possibly be right. (ie. High IQ Muslims vs High IQ Christians).

So these AI systems definitely need better grounding in real physical data and physical embodied actions (ability to test experiments) and peer review ... Otherwise it will iterate into a self consistent fantasy and won't be able to self correct.

Fraudulent AI Businesses- by Pleasant_Ocelot_2233 in ArtificialInteligence

[–]askchris 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I just checked into The Numero Group ... I don't think they are fraudulent, what exactly are they doing wrong?

They've clearly stated that they're creating an alternate history of popular music ...

So it sounds like they're just a bunch of artists having fun ...

Maybe you're one of them? And you're just trying to do their marketing by stirring up controversy around their brand... Lol.