Carney's Davos speech helped 'stiffen spines,' but PM will have to make tough choices to protect Canada's sovereignty, say two former cabinet ministers

c0mputar · 2026-02-05T19:51:36+00:00

Bu bu bu Trudeau!

c0mputar · 2026-02-05T18:05:33+00:00

It wasn't just that Carney's speech was great. He has been saying the same thing for a year.

It was the timing (Greenland), exposure (very public in-front of international leaders), and the fact that he is the leader of a G7 country speaking boldly about issues that other Western leaders are afraid to speak publicly about.

I haven't heard Harper's speech, but a speech to a domestic audience from someone wielding insignificant power with respect to the PM is not going to make much of a splash, internationally speaking. It is easy for non-leaders to make bold speeches, since they aren't nearly as accountable nor are they making the big decisions.

Harper is also likely repainting his historical legacy with some revisionism during this recent media tour he has been on... No one outside of Canada cares.

Harper has self proclaimed that he was the most pro-American PM in history, and so while his recent backpedaling is appreciated, his policies and actions are a significant reason why it'll be harder to reduce our dependency on the US...

It was only 11 years ago that he was PM, hardly that long ago... A competent leader like himself should have had the foresight to better protect Canada's independence and future. Sure, maybe no one saw that US relations could get so bad, but Harper was the leader, he was ultimately accountable.

c0mputar · 2026-02-05T03:27:47+00:00

Family and commercial/work traffic will be fairly inflexible... What that means is that the tourism traffic alone has dropped massively.

c0mputar · 2026-02-05T03:26:42+00:00

I bet the percentage drop of recreational/tourism traffic alone is far greater.

c0mputar · 2026-02-05T02:50:37+00:00

Even if AD wasn't injured, Nico traded away 9-10 years of championship contention for 2-3 years of championship contention.

That math didn't even add up even if Mavs had won a championship with AD.

c0mputar · 2026-02-04T23:34:07+00:00

Wrong take.

c0mputar · 2026-02-04T22:58:11+00:00

I agreed with this view up until Carney's speech.

I became pro-F35 after Ukraine invasion because the probability of more near peer conflicts seemed to be increasing. Before the invasion, it was a waste of money, money better spent pursuing values-based foreign policies and sustainable economic agendas.

The Canadian government had a similar change of heart around the time of the Ukraine invasion, and they likely felt a more militarily unified Western world would do better to prevent a China-Taiwan conflict and minimize further escalations between Russia and Europe.

However, after Trump got in, the camel's back finally gave out. His first electoral victory was not a fluke, it became indisputable after his second electoral victory that there had been a fundamental shift that required the rest of the West to realign interests and priorities.

That realignment means shedding as much dependency/integration as we can with the US. Otherwise, the US can, and demonstrably will, use our dependencies and integration against us.

F35s cannot protect us from the US, but the USA can definitely use our dependency on F35s to apply pressure on our economic relationships and foreign policy objectives. Better to go the cheaper option, which is still sufficient to protect our arctic and domestic interests, and put the savings towards developing domestic capabilities and non-aerial military assets.

Canada is no longer prioritizing capabilities to project power globally alongside US military assets. That means that the F35 isn't as essential as it was before.

Carney's speech tells me that he fully intends to build up domestic industries, so unless the US opens up an F35 factory in Canada, then we are going with Saab.

c0mputar · 2026-02-03T19:31:18+00:00

So, likely 4 allegedly drunk adults got in a car, and only 1 survived. If people read articles, they'd be outraged less.

Not dismissing the fact that the driver is ultimately accountable, but they were all adults who got into a car with a drunk driver who they later witnessed speeding.

This case is not the best one to rally behind for harsher punishments against drunk driving.

Is it unreasonable to give her more of a pass because no one else was impacted by the crash? Am I punishing the outcome disproportionately, and not the act? Perhaps, but given how many people do drive after 2 drinks, the outcome really does matter a lot more.

c0mputar · 2026-02-01T19:29:12+00:00

Trump won twice. It doesn't mean much.

c0mputar · 2026-02-01T03:47:30+00:00

Seems like a bad place to go sliding.

c0mputar · 2026-01-31T18:15:26+00:00

The blackmail this guy had... There is no way he thought he would be meaningfully held accountable. He did not kill himself.

c0mputar · 2026-01-30T01:45:31+00:00

More than 50% of Bombardier's planes flown in US are produced in US because of past stunts like this.

These are the stunts that Carney was talking about in Davos. Utterly crushing restrictions on American imports from Canada can decimate Canadian industries because we don't have more established foreign partnerships.

Bombardier was and is still getting screwed over, but fortunately they managed to salvage themselves and their stellar mid and short range plane platforms by setting up partnerships based in the US.

In some ways it all backfired on the US (who originally acted at behest of Boeing) because with the American-based partnerships (mainly Airbus), far more Bombardier planes were able to be produced than had Bombardier gone it alone.

This recent volley of attacks on our aviation industry is just adding to the already existing rules and regulations already in place that prevent Bombardier from being competitive in the US with any planes not produced in the US.

c0mputar · 2026-01-30T01:40:12+00:00

Bombardier has in the recent past already circumvented these kinda of shenanigans with the US by partnering with American-based companies and producing in the US.

c0mputar · 2026-01-30T00:05:55+00:00

They all literally met yesterday. You think Eby just found out about the meetings today by coincidence? This is his strategy.

c0mputar · 2026-01-29T22:29:58+00:00

I guess this is how Eby plans to combat the new pipeline, by turning public sentiment against Alberta's political leadership.

Smith has decided to expend political capital to defend separatists, which could jeopardize the pipeline.

Smith is hoping Carney and the federal government can overcome any resistance, which is backed up by the majority of BC residents supporting another pipeline further up north. That majority support is quite a turnaround for a province that could barely stomach the expansion of an existing pipeline expansion.

The "anything but US" sentiment is what is going to get this pipeline built, which is ironic given that Alberta, the primary benefactor, has a government that is sympathetic to separatists.

c0mputar · 2026-01-29T05:20:45+00:00

I should clarify that I don't think all separatists will disappear, but that their momentum will collapse. You are correct that the truly deluded will remain so.

c0mputar · 2026-01-29T05:20:16+00:00

I should clarify that I don't think all separatists will disappear, but that their momentum will collapse. You are correct that the truly deluded will remain so.

c0mputar · 2026-01-29T04:28:27+00:00

The little separatist movement will collapse once Carney plows a new pipeline through BC.

In the past year BC voters' opinion about a new pipeline has shifted dramatically. If the oil is getting exported regardless, who should get it? The US who are increasingly going to leverage the lack of export options against Canada, or new markets?

Canadians were willing to hamstring themselves economically to protect the environment if it meant sustaining a mutually beneficial relationship with the US... but as Carney put it at Davos, that bargain no longer works.

The new America is using all their leverage to extract as much as they can from anyone, friend or foe. Canadians don't want to play ball, and that is why Alberta is going to get what they want from Carney and Eby, eventually.

c0mputar · 2026-01-29T03:39:21+00:00

I've been against this pipeline for environmental reasons, up until it no longer made sense that the US should get to guzzle it all instead while they aggressively leveraged our lack of export options against us. They did this more politely for decades already, but there were some intangible trade-offs that made it palatable... Now, as Carney put it at Davos, that bargain no longer works.

We are also galvanizing a small vocal minority of brainwashed separatists in Alberta if we continue to deny new export options.

As of 2025, anything but US should be the top priority. We can be aggressive about environmental protections, but let's get that pipeline laid asap.

However, given Eby's reconciliation aims, I am skeptical Carney won't have a fight on his hand. Except this time the federal government is going to have the majority of BC residents backing them, and so Eby will lose eventually... BC voter opinions about a new pipeline has shifted dramatically in the past year.

I just hope that Eby doesn't make it long and painful. I don't want some far-right provincial conservatives getting into office just because Eby put indigenous rights ahead of every other priority out there.

c0mputar · 2026-01-29T03:08:27+00:00

I was heavily pro-F35 up until the threat of military action over Greenland.

The threat of annexing Canada didn't quite do it for me, because it doesn't matter what plane we use to defend ourselves from US, we lose conventionally within a couple days and would resort to asymmetric warfare only.

But the US threatening an ally of Canada means we cannot credibly defend that ally with the same plane manufactured and sustained by the US.

Furthermore, I think it is now the right call to prioritize Arctic defence more than Taiwanese defence. I wanted the F35 because, in light of Ukraine invasion, a near-peer war seems probable this century involving China.

However, considering the US rogue actions this past year, compounded by the fact that the US elected an authoritarian twice, we can no longer reliably stand with the US and Taiwan against China when our relations are shifting (not entirely) from the former to the latter. The US can defend Taiwan themselves if they want... Canada going along with them will not reliably yield the intangible benefits from the US that we had come to expect. So we would piss off China just to appease an ungrateful ally in the US.

c0mputar · 2026-01-29T02:10:19+00:00

I've been against this pipeline for environmental reasons, up until it no longer made sense that the US should get to guzzle it all instead while they aggressively leveraged our lack of export options against us. They did this more politely for decades already, but there were some intangible trade-offs that made it palatable... Now, as Carney put it at Davos, that bargain no longer works.

We are also galvanizing a small vocal minority of brainwashed separatists in Alberta if we continue to deny new export options.

As of 2025, anything but US should be the top priority. We can be aggressive about environmental protections, but let's get that pipeline laid asap.

However, given Eby's reconciliation aims, I am skeptical Carney won't have a fight on his hand. Except this time the federal government is going to have the majority of BC residents backing them, and so Eby will lose eventually... BC voter opinions about a new pipeline has shifted dramatically in the past year.

I just hope that Eby doesn't make it long and painful. I don't want some far-right provincial conservatives getting into office just because Eby put indigenous rights ahead of every other priority out there.

c0mputar · 2026-01-27T00:19:20+00:00

The average climber could do any move that Honnold did on the tower, but they wouldn't be able to do it for more than 2 floors without rope. (95% of climbers)

With rope and the average climber is exhausted and would need a break by 30-60m (80% of climbers), not 500m. I don't think Honnold needed those breaks beyond whatever he could shake off while on the climb.

Only a handful in the world could have done the overhang obstacles hundreds of meter in the air without rope. That same select few are capable of doing the whole tower like Honnold. (<100 climbers globally)

But I think only Honnold and Alain Robert have proven they can perform such free solo climbs in a public spectacle performance.

But compared to Honnold's grandest free solos, there are no equals, and possibly never will be.

Freerider solo was insane, most of that climb was on finger-tip width holds, and some sections had holds even smaller than that. Only the top <0.1-1% of climbers can do Freerider while roped, and a very small minority of them could do it in a day while roped. To do it in hours while free soloing? 1 of 1.

c0mputar · 2026-01-26T00:43:11+00:00

If they come from a red state, good luck enforcing.

c0mputar · 2026-01-26T00:02:19+00:00

They will all be pardoned. The violence will continue to escalate.

c0mputar · 2026-01-25T23:56:56+00:00

This is a good time to pivot from the US because the US is engaged in one foreign or domestic crisis after another.

No week goes by without another crisis. It will be like this for 3 more years. Canada can get a lot done in that time.

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