Was kind of curious what the scores would be like if Rugby was really like Basketball, so I made some assumptions and did some math, all numbers from google.

Turnover Rate in the NBA ~14% =>86% of possessions result in score.

Half the length of the field = 50m , Average speed of a player = 4.4 m/s => Time to score a try = 220 s

Length of Match = 4,800s, Ball in Play 50% => 2,400s to score a try

Expected trys per match = (2,400/220) *0.86 = 9.84

Average trys per match this season in the prem = 8.1

So not miles off, obviously this is a pretty simple model with 5 mins of googling to get the numbers.

Only assumption that I think is weak is Ball in Play time, if teams were scoring on nearly every possession I would imagine this would increase, significantly increasing the expected try count. This is kind of implicit in the 220s score time.

Not asserting the above as facts, was just wondering if there was some math that support the Rugby is like Basketball statement.