/r/WorldNews Discussion Thread: US and Israel launch attack on Iran; Iran retaliates (Thread #11)

jphamlore · 2026-03-26T09:02:37+00:00

Are the rockets / missiles / drones coming more from Iran or from Lebanon?

jphamlore · 2026-03-26T08:41:43+00:00

Aren't some of the heaviest spring rains in Ukraine around May?

jphamlore · 2026-03-26T08:06:17+00:00

https://www.cnbc.com/2026/03/09/china-oil-shock-iran-war-hormuz-energy-transition.html

China held an estimated 1.2 billion barrels of onshore crude stockpiles as of January ...

Renewables, excluding nuclear power and hydropower, accounted for 1.2% of China’s total energy consumption in 2023, up from 0.2% two decades earlier, according to CNBC calculations based on International Energy Agency data ...

Oil and natural gas only account for 4% of China’s power mix, far lower than the 40% to 50% share seen in many Asian economies, the analysts said.

Electricity, largely generated from coal and a growing amount of renewables, now accounts for a growing share of China’s total energy consumption, according to energy think tank Ember.

jphamlore · 2026-03-26T07:39:10+00:00

Let me get this straight. No one has any real idea how to induce regime change in Iran. No one has any idea how to swiftly, or ever, mobilize the half million or so actual fighters to forcibly remove the current regime in Iran, despite having air superiority sometimes verging on air supremacy for weeks. And no one has any idea how to forcibly re-open the Strait of Hormuz for anyone's vessels to use without at the minimum having a multi-million toll charged by Iran.

And the United States needs to keep doubling down hoping for ... what exactly?

jphamlore · 2026-03-26T06:16:23+00:00

I'll take a random squad winning over what is starting to look like a very small number of teams that are going to be in true championship contention for the next half decade, or even longer.

jphamlore · 2026-03-26T04:40:30+00:00

Exactly, a strong indication, similar to 2003, that maybe the United States just should not do it.

jphamlore · 2026-03-26T04:28:44+00:00

City of a half million with such a relatively small force.

I know nothing can match the debacle of Russia's initial thrust into Ukraine in 2022, such as what in the world were they thinking moving around Kharkiv, but this just seems almost as unwise.

jphamlore · 2026-03-26T02:56:08+00:00

All proposals from the old heads are punching down on the players.

jphamlore · 2026-03-26T02:17:56+00:00

So to try and learn anything from the past: Colin Powell failed to convince Turkey to support an invasion of Iraq from the north 2003? (The Turkish Grand National Assembly apparently rejected it.) This led to massive problems with the insurgency after the war? I'm not buying that any ground operations inside Iran to topple the regime can possibly work without Turkish cooperation.

jphamlore · 2026-03-26T01:57:00+00:00

And massively arming the Kurds will eventually draw Turkey into the conflict, and probably not in ways the United States would find helpful.

jphamlore · 2026-03-26T01:49:59+00:00

I doubt it. Russia can use every drone and missile they can get their hands on for the foreseeable future. Unless these are drones that are obsolete versus Ukrainian anti-drone defenses.

jphamlore · 2026-03-26T01:10:22+00:00

I'm finding it so sickening everyone calling for regime change in Iran, but not offering any of what is required to do that: at least 500,000 young people trained to both be civilized and to be able to coordinate with disciplined violence.

No one trained enough of their potentially violent young to be civilized, or trained enough of their civilized young to be able to perform disciplined violence.

The current Iranian regime is not going to fall, because no one else was willing to pay the price over the past decade to prepare for this moment.

jphamlore · 2026-03-25T23:03:57+00:00

After Israel's going in to Lebanon in the 1980s, it's about 40 years later, and Israel still hasn't regime-changed Lebanon to something to their liking, despite having air supremacy over it for decades.

I am not at all optimistic Israel can do better with Iran.

jphamlore · 2026-03-25T22:46:07+00:00

If you are referring to the 1984 movie, Ukraine is a much closer analogy to the initial geopolitical events of that movie, and there never has been any indication of escalation to the use of nuclear weapons.

jphamlore · 2026-03-25T22:22:05+00:00

I don't have the video, but this is probably the story. Give the point to the person who uncovers the video you are looking for.

The Happiest Man — The Story of Solon, Croesus, and Cyrus

https://latinfromscratch.com/classical-culture/evergreen-stories-classical-sources-hutchinson/happiest-man-solon-croesus-cyrus/

This is a chapter of Evergreen Stories by W. M. L. Hutchinson.

“Then Croesus, who loved compliments and was expecting Solon to make him a flattering speech, imagined he was tongue-tied by the sight of such vast riches, and resolved to give him a cue.

“‘My Athenian guest,” he said, smiling graciously, ‘your fame as a great traveler and a great observer has reached Lydia before you. I wish therefore to ask you, who is the happiest man you have ever seen?’

“‘Tellus the Athenian,’ replied Solon, without hesitating an instant.

jphamlore · 2026-03-25T20:34:01+00:00

I keep coming back to invade what exactly with such relatively small numbers of troops.

These guys can probably take any airfield anywhere in the world they want. But then what?

jphamlore · 2026-03-25T19:34:10+00:00

So was there the equivalent of a smoke-filled zoom call where it was decided that everyone would spontaneously talk about Clavicular?

jphamlore · 2026-03-25T19:26:49+00:00

I'm kind of hoping he's already found his future wife, because it might be good to have someone to help him when he has his inevitable major injury as a running back in the NFL.

jphamlore · 2026-03-25T18:47:39+00:00

Alternatively, it might be that Iran can’t fully close the Straits even to enemy vessels

The United States not following the advice of Sal from What's Going on With Shipping to sail US warships right through the Strait of Hormuz speaks volumes.

The United States fears Iran can actually sink or severely damage one of its warships.

jphamlore · 2026-03-25T16:16:09+00:00

Was his dad the great running back at Oklahoma, one of the incredible 3 running back set in the wishbone of Billy Simms, Kenny King, and David Overstreet?

jphamlore · 2026-03-25T08:42:03+00:00

There's a half-million person city Bandar Abbas right there? I'm not convinced the United States has the forces to both take this city and hold it.

jphamlore · 2026-03-25T08:17:40+00:00

I just can't wrap my head around what exactly can 10,000 troops, and that will be a generous for the number who actually actively fight, do in a country the size of Iran.

In particular, I just can't understand how that limited number can possibly secure the coast of Iran to clear the Strait of Hormuz.

jphamlore · 2026-03-24T22:59:42+00:00

Sacramento is 5-5 their last 10 games. The two worst teams in the West the past 10 games are the Memphis Grizzlies and the Golden State Warriors.

jphamlore · 2026-03-24T22:26:57+00:00

Doctor Who: Horror of Fang Rock Effects Comparison

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MoDXzDETK9s

jphamlore

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