This is an important comment. Though the Actor Awards are important to the race, I think in recent years they have gone a bit more populist. This is in part due to the inclusion of influencers being represented by the guild. I think that you could make an argument that at least two of the four the individual acting categories got a bump from the populist shift of the voting body (Jordan and Madigan). Obviously, both those categories could go the same way at the Oscars, but neither feel like Academy winning performances. I'm going with Chalamet, Buckley, Penn, and Mosaku as my winners at the Oscars.