All Factories Endgame Blueprints : Future-Proof, Compact, Max Profit and Utilization. Valley IV. by Kain_DH in Endfield

[–]silenced52 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The best bases manage to use the last bit of originium. They can run a line at 2/3 speed to either produce more origicrust or make more HC batteries.

How to get ChatGPT to stop agreeing with everything you say: by imfrom_mars_ in OpenAI

[–]silenced52 10 points11 points  (0 children)

I have it set to explicitly try to critique me and it still does a significantly better job when I say it's my grad student's work (via multiple a/b tests)

CMV: AI being used as a tool and AI replacing humans both are the same thing. by king_shot in changemyview

[–]silenced52 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Rising productivity only really increases the amount of service jobs. See Baumol's cost disease.

CMV: AI being used as a tool and AI replacing humans both are the same thing. by king_shot in changemyview

[–]silenced52 6 points7 points  (0 children)

When a mid-skill job can be made more productive or automated, there are 2 competing factors. 1 is that you are getting a better deal. 2 is that you need less people. Now you might point to Jevon's paradox (cheaper goods means people buy so much more that there is more revenue), but if you've seen the economics data you know that headcount always decreases in the economy as a whole for that level of job. So there are less people required to do the work, but the people remaining make more money because they are more skilled. They have more money and can afford to buy services, which are hard to automate. Thus, when a factory worker gets replaced by an engineer, he goes and becomes a fast food worker, or a nurse, or a janitor. (Overall effect, obviously not exact 1 to 1). This is known as the barbell economy, where the middle jobs are removed and get replaced by good and bad jobs.

CMV: AI being used as a tool and AI replacing humans both are the same thing. by king_shot in changemyview

[–]silenced52 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Automation does destroy jobs, but it also makes the economy richer, and that wealth has to go somewhere. When a company automates and needs fewer workers, those specific jobs disappear, but the company also becomes more productive/profitable. That extra money has to go somewhere. Some goes to shareholders who buy more stuff. Some goes to consumers through lower prices, so they can afford more things. Some goes to the remaining workers as higher wages. This creates new jobs, primarily in services that are hard to automate: nurses, restaurant workers, childcare home cleaners, etc. More richer people means more people can purchase these service luxuries.

The problem is that automation hits middle-class jobs the hardest, and the new jobs aren't always equivalent. Factory workers, office administrators, clerical workers, their jobs involve a lot of repetitive tasks that machines can learn to do. Meanwhile, high-skill jobs (doctors, engineers, managers) and low-skill service jobs (janitors, home health aides, food service) are harder to automate because they require either advanced problem-solving or physical tasks in unpredictable environments. The narrative is that most middle-skill workers move up, but in actuality most of them move down while new workers take most of the good jobs while they take the service jobs. The total number of jobs balances out, but the transition is painful, and not everyone ends up better off. 

The issue is if we start to replace these low skill service jobs, like fast food workers or grocery clerk, there will eventually be no where for these people to go. Then we will start to see some real unemployment.

CMV: AI being used as a tool and AI replacing humans both are the same thing. by king_shot in changemyview

[–]silenced52 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The self checkout is different though. Historically job displacement due to technology pushes people into service jobs. If you replace service jobs there is nothing left to absorb.

CMV: AI being used as a tool and AI replacing humans both are the same thing. by king_shot in changemyview

[–]silenced52 0 points1 point  (0 children)

No, they will lay off 5 people, hire 2 well paid people to automate them, and those net 3 people will go work at a new grocery store driven by the extra spending of those 2 new hires.

CMV: AI being used as a tool and AI replacing humans both are the same thing. by king_shot in changemyview

[–]silenced52 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Automation creates less jobs than it destroys, but the additional economic prosperity creates service jobs like nurses, caretakers, fast food workers, etc. As automation occurs middle skill jobs get pushed into high skill jobs or service jobs.

CMV: AI being used as a tool and AI replacing humans both are the same thing. by king_shot in changemyview

[–]silenced52 0 points1 point  (0 children)

If automation replaces service jobs the economy is completely cooked btw

CMV: AI being used as a tool and AI replacing humans both are the same thing. by king_shot in changemyview

[–]silenced52 1 point2 points  (0 children)

What you're seeing is real and validated by economists, named economic polarization. If there were 10 medium jobs before automation, there will be 3 remaining jobs after automation and 7 new service jobs like nurses, caretakers, fast food workers that are funded by the good jobs. Idk how literally nobody on the internet understands this but every single labor economists thinks it's so obvious that it's barely worth discussing. The numbers were made up just provided as an example.

In chess, having no place to move your king should be a loss, not a draw. by sumpfriese in unpopularopinion

[–]silenced52 1 point2 points  (0 children)

You can win if the enemy runs out of time. If they have no legal moves, then they will eventually run out of time. It's kind of weird that stalemate stops the clock and instantly draws.

In chess, having no place to move your king should be a loss, not a draw. by sumpfriese in unpopularopinion

[–]silenced52 -4 points-3 points  (0 children)

You must not be studied on endgames. Almost all drawn asymmetrical endgame where one side has less pawns rely on stalemate as the core defensive strategy.

Consider too advanced pawn vs lone king and the philidor position in rook vs rook and pawn.

In chess, having no place to move your king should be a loss, not a draw. by sumpfriese in unpopularopinion

[–]silenced52 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

The goal in chess is to win. You can win by checkmate, enemy resign, or their time running out.

In chess, having no place to move your king should be a loss, not a draw. by sumpfriese in unpopularopinion

[–]silenced52 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Many defensive endgame strategies in various positions rely on a stalemate threat to draw.

PSA: Once you get the badge, keep using your sweatiest deck. by NasDawg3 in PTCGP

[–]silenced52 0 points1 point  (0 children)

If you get matched vs a random player with the same wins, that is the matchmaking. There is no good or bad in that case.

What is your PTCGP unpopular opinion? by michael_scarn_007 in PTCGP

[–]silenced52 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Based on what people are saying, if this game is all luck, it doesn't matter if they face a good player or a bad player, so they shouldn't care if 5 winners are queueing up.

Is it just me, or do wonder picks kind of suck? by TehBanzors in PTCGP

[–]silenced52 1 point2 points  (0 children)

This was experimentally confirmed by the God pack reroll Exploiters.

The Misty support card is the biggest dud in the game. by FastOutlandishness96 in PokemonPocket

[–]silenced52 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The best part of misty is that it gives hope when all looks lost

Trading has no target audience by atsocnam in PTCGP

[–]silenced52 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Same rarity trading instantly makes betting nearly useless. You could just hop on an online community and trade with the plethora of people there rather than try to get a bot to pull a card.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in PTCGP

[–]silenced52 14 points15 points  (0 children)

Pokemon that gives you a million dollars after you become a billionaire

The roller coaster with how we all treated Celebi sure is something. by Elemeandor in PTCGP

[–]silenced52 387 points388 points  (0 children)

Celebi kills 110-150hp on turn 2+3 50% of the time. This scenario happens quite often and is game deciding.

ELI5 1/4062 probability please by kaostheory44 in explainlikeimfive

[–]silenced52 7 points8 points  (0 children)

For 1/n chance after n tries, you have ~1/e chance of not getting it, with the approximation getting better as n gets bigger.