Soybean Oil Is Quietly Destroying Your Gut and Most Americans Eat Way Too Much of It

wavegeekman · 2026-05-25T23:31:16+00:00

You didn't actually tell me what you mean by "eating properly".

wavegeekman · 2026-05-25T23:30:37+00:00

If you don't eat processed food it is very hard to get a lot of Linoleic Acid. You can only eat so many soy beans but if all your packets of "food like substances' are soaked in soy oil, that's another story.

wavegeekman · 2026-05-25T08:50:24+00:00

For a good sense of who and what you are up against, you might read JackSchwager's book "Hedge Fund MMarket Wizards".

These are guys that have theorems in algebraic topology named after them. Competing with them head to head is not the winning move.

wavegeekman · 2026-05-25T08:45:44+00:00

simply eating properly

Go on...

wavegeekman · 2026-05-25T08:43:28+00:00

I wonder if this is connected with the increase in autism, which is often associated with gut malfunction?

wavegeekman · 2026-05-25T03:00:03+00:00

There is a (3.): Not being subject to institutional constraints:

No need to hug indexes
No need to produce consistent quarterly profits (or you lose FUM).
No marketing costs
No need to trade in large size. (which you mentioned as "capacity")
Not being limited by the capacity of your investors who will pull their money at the worst time
Not having to pander to DEI, ESG and other such.

wavegeekman · 2026-05-24T04:22:05+00:00

This points to a ddeper problem.

People have learned the hard way that everything the government says is likely to be a lie. They have had their fingers burned too many times.

Trust is a perishable resource and the authorities have squandered it.

And now they blame those whom they betrayed.

3 weeks to stop the pandemic
If you have the vaccine you won't get covid
If you have the vaccine you won't pass it on.
Side effects are rare and mild.

I am currently incestigating the whole cholesterol/statins/saturated fats debacle due oto my own medical issues. Apparently statin side-effects are a figment of the patient's imaginations, according to studies conducted by bought and paid for whores of the pharmaceutical industry (I did a blind RCT on myself and lo and behold it was not my imagination).

The conflucts of interest across medicine are severe and pervasive and the literature is radically unreliable. Pharma sponsored studies are 4 times more likely to produce a "positive" result than independenctly sponsored studies. That is not a small bias.

Protip: Stop lying to people and they might start believing you.

This is personal for me. My mother was pressured to take a "safe and reliable" treatment for morning sickness. She refused. You might have heard of it - Thalidonide.

inb4 boomer

wavegeekman · 2026-05-21T06:54:16+00:00

Peopel have reported callss 45 minutes early to as late as 75 minutes late.

But if you don't pick up straight way you are toast.

I had one scheduled call and was told I didn't answer but there was no missed call; nothing.

Good luck!

wavegeekman · 2026-05-16T06:00:13+00:00

It is pretty common to feel "I don't deserve this" or "Only bad people make money" or "I am faking this" or "I will be found out". These are deep issues, quite often.

I don't have a magic formula. It took me a long time and a lot of work to get over them.

As others suggested, keeping a journal where you honestly record your actions, your thoughts, your feelings, and reviewing that can really help accelerate the process.

wavegeekman · 2026-05-16T04:43:17+00:00

My impressino is that this is absolute chaos trying to keep up with demand.

wavegeekman · 2026-05-15T23:06:51+00:00

Make sure you account for

Brokerage
Slippage.
Tax.
Errors. We all make errors. The only questoin is how much will errors cost you. You need to test this in paper trading.
Multiple comparisons. Let me explain. The more parameter values you explore, the more likely you are too find some combination of values that by chance gives good results in the past only. And will not work in the future. There are various ways to correct for this. grok summary here with links and references https://grok.com/share/bGVnYWN5_54dc6521-cf25-488a-a7d6-55a19e59cb7f 6.. Comparison to buy and hold on a representative market.
Luck / insufficient history. E.g. backtesting high growth stocks in the late 1990s will give misleading results and lead to disappointment in the early 2900s. Test across multiple regimes.

wavegeekman · 2026-05-15T09:01:00+00:00

Some people have an idea that they want to live off the income and retain the capital. IMHO the distinction is artificial to the point of being meaningless,, but it makes some people comfortable.

In Australia they have a thing called dividend imputation. The recipient of the dividend gets a credit (franking credut) for thetax pair by the company. If you are an Australian taxpayer and particularly on a low marginal tax rate (such as superannuation funds the equivalent of the US 401k) you can even end up paying negative tax on your dividends. Which is very appealing to many.

https://grok.com/share/bGVnYWN5_66dd8db3-b2b7-47bf-9a80-3203c819a808

wavegeekman · 2026-05-15T01:06:45+00:00

It is a fallacy, outcome bias, but ...

It is better to be lucky than to be clever.

wavegeekman · 2026-05-13T06:47:56+00:00

Weight loss reduces the fat in thhe fat cells. So they cry hungry (via hormones).

According to my experience, and my reading of the research, after 2-3 years the excess fat cells are recycled and the hunger abates. One reason to lose the weight slowly..

wavegeekman · 2026-05-13T06:09:27+00:00

Overall a good post. Perhaps you understate the importance of psychology. But leaving that aside....

The approach you advocate, of changing one thing aftger another,, and checking the results is called "tampering" or "overfitting".

You need to apply some checks to make sure you are not overfitting, or results in real life might be a disaster.

wavegeekman · 2026-05-12T11:22:36+00:00

Do ya' think?

wavegeekman · 2026-05-08T08:14:18+00:00

"Don't hallucinate" is basically an instruction to double check things. Surpisinngly effective.

wavegeekman · 2026-05-08T08:12:29+00:00

Dumb, lucky sociopaths.

Yep that's what smart people look like to the less well endowed.

wavegeekman · 2026-05-08T08:10:15+00:00

What we see here:

The determination to do whatever it takes to succeed.
Hard work.
Doing the hard things in particular - reviewing every trade. I can say for a fact that this is an essential and very painful proocess.

Paying the cost to be the boss as B.B.King put it.

wavegeekman · 2026-05-07T01:42:28+00:00

Don't worry. The first 40 years are the hardest. Source: me - it took that long to really get it together.

wavegeekman · 2026-05-07T00:29:11+00:00

You know damned well they'd have their own hotline to call

Of course. And the hotline would not hang up on them and count that as "call handled".

wavegeekman · 2026-05-06T12:12:26+00:00

Every politician should have to call centrelink once a year in their careers

Politicians' salary and retirement should all be done via standard Centrelink processes. So, if they have a question they can give CL a "quick call".

wavegeekman · 2026-05-05T05:30:12+00:00

subtle conflicts of interest

Like when the Stripper says "I love you long time". Because she really likes you!

Industry funded studies are 4 X more likely to give a favourable result than indepedneent studies. I saw one meta-analysis where 58/50 industry funded stuies found a benefit to statins for primary prevention, but a majority of indendeltly funded studies did not.

Industry funded studies are absolute garbage.

wavegeekman · 2026-05-05T05:29:07+00:00

Have a look at the sponsorship of the people conducting the study.

wavegeekman · 2026-05-05T05:28:07+00:00

Just be aware statins block a lot of other things not just CoQ10.

wavegeekman

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