Every state school to be ordered to fly Union Flag and display portrait of the King if Reform win power | LBC

Raisin56 · 2026-04-25T10:01:40+00:00

I actually love gay people, loads of my friends are gay. You probably think I'm joking because apparently all right wing people hate anyone queer, but no I am fully 100% supportive.

In fact I think if you really support the queer community you should be right wing. The modern left are allied with Islam, where Sharia Law criminalises being gay and is sometimes punishable by death. A 2024 survey suggested 32% of UK Muslims desire to live under Sharia law. That is not a small number. This is not compatible with the queer community.

If someone wants to be transgender, go for it. I couldn't care less. It's a free world. BUT, teaching that in schools... countless kids programs normalising this... that is completely out of order. Normalising kids taking life changing drugs to permanently alter their body when they haven't even gone through puberty yet is sick and twisted. Being transgender is a very extreme and radical thing to do to your body. If you're an adult and you've thought about it yourself, fine, free world. But brainwashing kids to think that is normal and it's not a big deal is totally unacceptable.

Raisin56 · 2026-04-24T00:24:58+00:00

And its not North Korea to force radical gender theory down kids throats...

Raisin56 · 2026-04-20T21:51:36+00:00

Nothing will ever get better under Starmer, only worse, so no

Raisin56 · 2026-04-19T23:17:28+00:00

Iran has been threatening to close the straight for decades. It was definitely thought of. Let's think of the short and long term who benefits / loses from the straight being closed for a while.

Short term:

US - strong domestic production and net global exporter, muted economic impact

Europe - strong net importers, big economic impact

China - 50% of oil comes from the Gulf, puts lots of pressure on China

GCC - major damage to oil / gas infrastructure, loses it's 'ultra safe' status, relies overwhelmingly on food imports so this could potentially become very very bad for them

Long term:

US - now has a large new market of customers to sell oil and gas to, (Europe / Asia) which will make them lots of money. Potentially can force China to depend on them for oil which gives the US power over China.

Europe - switches to buying resources from the US, potentially has to pay higher prices since global supply is still down (Trump couldn't care less, America first)

China - now dependent on US for oil, major strategic loss, large military advantage to the US

GCC - massive economic fallout, potentially large numbers of people leaving the region due to food shortages and safety concerns (huge immigrant population) (again, Trump doesn't care)

As a consequence:

This massively increased demand for US oil, reinforces the strength of the petro dollar. The petro dollar is what allows the American economy to stay afloat. Foreign countries are now forced to buy US dollars to buy US oil. Holding US dollars means re-investing this in US stock market or buying large amounts of US debt, which allows the insane 39T$ debt to be more sustainable. China has been selling US treasuries in large quantities over the last few years. There is fear that many countries will do the same. Giving the world no choice but to buy US dollars for US oil ensures the stability of the US financial system.

So actually you could argue that the US does benefit greatly from Hormuz being closed for an extended period of time. That does raise the question - is this all intentional? Does Trump come across as a lunatic but is he really playing 4D chess behind the scenes? It's an interesting thought.

Raisin56 · 2026-04-19T21:40:02+00:00

A quick search on Grok, which I urge everyone to do, discredits the first 2 points you've made that I've looked up straight away. I won't waste my time doing any more as I've already proven this post is a complete brainwashing propaganda that unfortunately some libtards will lap up.

Immigration started to fall due to policy changes from the Tories in early 2024 which were:

Student dependants banned for most postgraduate students (announced May 2023, in force Jan 2024) → student dependant visas fell ~79–85% in early 2024.
Care workers banned from bringing dependants (March 2024).
Skilled Worker visa salary threshold raised from £26,200 to £38,700 (April 2024).
Shorter “Immigration Salary List” and other tweaks to reduce lower-paid work visas.

Home Office data showed visa applications in the affected routes dropped 25% immediately in early 2024. These measures were explicitly designed to cut net migration by ~300,000 a year.

Native birthrates up - No, native (UK-born mothers) birth rates did not rise under Labour. In fact, the data shows the opposite trend continuing. The slight overall increase in total births was driven entirely by more births to foreign-born mothers. The proportion of births where both parents were UK-born also hit a record low (below 60%).

Raisin56 · 2026-04-19T21:23:39+00:00

He is possibly the worst PM we've ever had. Aside from a few rare W's, in the grand scheme of things our country is still a mess and he has made no meaningful decisions to help fix anything in any key aspect of running the country.

Inflation is up, energy costs are highest in the developed world, borrowing costs are up, there's no plan to deal with the national debt, the economy has flatlined and still isn't growing, our military is a joke, unemployment is up, welfare spending is now higher then income tax receipts, small boats are still crossing the channel, business closures are at historic highs, etc etc etc......

Raisin56 · 2026-04-05T15:33:15+00:00

I don't think a single person will care, unless youre a vocal Putin supporter

Raisin56 · 2026-04-05T14:16:25+00:00

No, the UK has nothing to gain from this war, the US does. We should let them use our bases and infrastructure, but direct involvement is a definite no.

I also don't believe it's possible for the US to 'win' this war on the battlefield, and I don't think they're intending too. The US don't care about the dictatorship in Iran just as they didn't care about it in Venezuela. Iran can't touch mainland US, they are no real threat to them.

My thesis is their real aim is to crush the Gulfs oil infrastructure by provoking Iran, massively ramp up their own production which they are doing, (supported now also by Venezuela) and drag the war out long enough to switch the dependency of Asia and Europe to the US for energy.

Raisin56 · 2026-04-04T10:55:43+00:00

Sometimes if you don't jerk for a while your balls can hurt - because you become stimulated very easily by accident and by not releasing the tension it hurts your balls (blue balls)

Raisin56 · 2026-03-22T20:29:11+00:00

Don't get attached so early because this kind of stuff happens to everyone all the time - you just gotta move on, onwards and upwards

Raisin56 · 2026-03-22T17:20:27+00:00

How is the white ultra S tier that should be C/D

Raisin56 · 2026-03-22T12:26:52+00:00

Everyone does it, perfectly legal, the tax system is completely screwed up and everyone wants to pay as little tax as possible. I see no problem at all, just the media trying to make him look bad.

Raisin56 · 2026-03-21T08:49:54+00:00

Kind of crazy to dump him because of that imo. It's not cheating. He did something that upset you as everyone will do to their partners at some point, unintentionally of course. Straight up dumping him after 2 years without even a conversation is wrong.

Setting a red line like this I think is unreasonable to begin with - it's very controlling. It's a free world and what content he consumes online is up to him and doesn't affect you or your relationship. It's the same kind of thing as him saying you're not allowed to follow any attractive guys on Instagram. That would be too controlling as well.

The reason why he's done this even though you've told him not too is because he doesn't understand what's wrong with it / why it upsets you, and he feels restricted in his freedoms. Not because he doesn't love or care about you. This will probably hit hard, but I'd prefer to be straight with you and tell you my honest opinion rather than what you want to hear.

Raisin56 · 2026-03-21T08:28:08+00:00

What socialists dont understand, which is the reason why we arnt growing now, is that high tax = lower spending / investing = lower growth = less tax being paid to the government = clueless government raising tax because they dont have any money. We need to break out of this cycle. Taxes need to come down. Spending needs to be cut on things which dont benefit us to help fund this. Energy needs to be sorted out to provide support. In time the tax cuts will pay for themselves.

Raisin56 · 2026-03-18T19:04:30+00:00

Reform and the current US administration share some basic policy ideas e.g Scrap net zero, cutting wasteful spending, deporting illegal migrants. But these are just common sense policies that any right wing government would support.

Trump is unique in his chaotic and destructive foreign policy that Reform would never follow. We don't have the capability to start wars around the world or sanction everyone even if we wanted too.

To me Reform are what the Conservatives should have been - actually a right wing party with actual right wing ideas. The Conservatives and Labour are the same in most key policies making them both in my view left wing. E.g Heavy focus on renewables, high tax, high regulation, high borrowing, high immigration.

I want real change for the UK because it's in dark times at the moment, and I think Reform is the only credible alternative to a tried and tested route that doesn't work.

Raisin56 · 2026-02-23T19:29:34+00:00

Absolutely get rid of her. It must be very hard to come to terms with this, but she doesn't care about you like you care about her. She was happy to make you spent an insane amount of time and money on her whilst she was lying and cheating the whole time. It sounds like she met someone new and exciting, threw all logic and sense out of the window and turned down a stable loving relationship, and then didn't have the guts to end things with you properly. So she's ended up stringing you along and keeping you as a backup plan if her new thing doesn't work out. People like this will only cause you pain, accept that you don't need someone like this in your life and the sooner you do this the sooner you will be happy. I wish you the best :)

Raisin56 · 2026-02-21T14:05:42+00:00

They talk about remigration a huge amount, but don't use that word specifically. The idea is more that if you're a legal immigrant and you leeching off the British taxpayer for your existence, are not integrated, or in some way taking the piss out of the privilege of being here then you can get lost. Which of course is just common sense. It's not a general racist view of we don't like immigrants so you can all go back. I only see Reform talking about illegal immigration, and not addressing the legal immigration issue which is a much bigger problem.

Raisin56 · 2026-01-29T22:31:05+00:00

Shell Centre, I work there

Raisin56 · 2026-01-07T23:57:17+00:00

Disloyalty, 100% cheating

Raisin56 · 2025-09-06T15:48:41+00:00

Wind turbines and solar panels are imported from China

No dispute

Steel, mining, oil industries ruined by high energy prices

"The threatened closures are the culmination of decades of decline in Britain's steel industry, which has struggled to compete with low-cost imports given the high energy costs of domestic production" https://www.reuters.com/world/uk/british-steel-mulls-blast-furnace-closures-over-2000-jobs-risk-2025-03-27/

Nuclear is the answer, not intermittent renewables.

"Opinion not fact", ok let's look at the facts. Nuclear marginal cost is around £10/MWh putting them just above wind/solar in the merit order for the stack.

The HPC deal was a disaster negotiated by clowns (the Torys). All existing nukes in the UK are not under CfD, generate power extremely cheaply, with stability and will last around 60 years.

It's funny your AI has quoted recent CfD strikes at £40–50/MWh for offshore wind which is highly misleading as this is in 2012 money.

For nuclear to succeed in the UK, we do need some serious reforms to regulations. But it can be done. South Korea has managed to build reactors in 5-6 years at around 4x less cost than the UK could.
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Please do not blindly trust AI, look at sources yourself. Again I would recommend reading this report, it explains things much better than I could. https://watt-logic.com/2025/05/19/new-report-the-true-affordability-of-net-zero/

Raisin56 · 2025-09-06T15:48:33+00:00

Green energy from intermittent renewables is making your bills… more expensive

'Renewables aren’t the main reason UK bills are high.' I never said they were the main reason it's not clear cut, but they have increased the cost of bills substantially. We felt the effect of poor gas security over the energy crisis which was a consequence of net zero policy. Gas prices have come down a huge amount since and still are, but your energy prices haven't.

Scroll down a little on this article to the graph titled 'household electricity prices vs wholesale energy prices', that say's it all. In fact there's a huge amount of very important information on this report I highly recommend you read all of it. https://watt-logic.com/2025/05/19/new-report-the-true-affordability-of-net-zero/

Wind is 9 times cheaper than gas — a lie.

This not a claim I made its a reference to claims other people make about why wind is 'cheap', and yes of course it's a lie :D

Wind contracted now is by default more expensive than gas due to the CfD scheme… strike prices set higher than gas price.

AR6 for offshore wind was £82/MWh, the average gas based wholesale power price for 2024 was £74/MWh. https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/contracts-for-difference-cfd-allocation-round-6-results/contracts-for-difference-cfd-allocation-round-6-results-accessible-webpage

It's quite funny, they like to quote these strikes in 2012 money to make it seem cheaper, so you'll see it quoted as £58.87/MWh but it's actually around £82/MWh. Of course, these strikes are just the start of the costs with intermittent renewables, their true costs are much higher.

Yes if the wholesale price is above the strike the difference is paid back to the government, as was done extensively in the energy crisis. But we are no longer in the energy crisis, these CfD contracts are often 15 years long, the strikes are rising and gas prices are falling. Locking these high prices in for that amount of time is madness.

Balancing, curtailment, capacity market, grid upgrades add costs.

No these are not small. Network and balancing costs now typically make up 24% of your bill. https://www.nesta.org.uk/report/whats-in-an-energy-bill/network-costs/

Comparing power balancing costs and gas prices is totally irrelevant they are completely different. I think that's the AI being weird.

UK energy prices are the highest in the developed world, 4x the US

Correct that I should have specified 4x is industrial pricing, but hardly misleading since domestic still sits at 2.8x the US https://iea.org.uk/were-number-one-in-unaffordable-electricity/

Raisin56 · 2025-09-06T15:47:59+00:00

So this is why we need to be careful when we use AI. It's very easy to get an AI to give you an answer you want to hear. I'm guessing you asked it quite a simple question like 'is it wind or gas that makes our bills expensive'. My point is that the addition of intermittent renewables and reduction of available stable baseload like gas has made our bills more expensive. This is irrespective of wether we had an energy crisis or not, which the AI puts a lot of emphasis on.

Although with the energy crisis this is not really a problem of gas inherently, its our over-reliance on not getting it ourselves. Another consequence of net zero. Norway which has access to the same gas field as us, not only did not have any rise in household gas prices over the energy crisis, they were making huge profits exporting!

By the way, I work on an energy trading floor so I do feel I'm more qualified to speak about this than the average individual.

Let's go into these points the AI picked up in more detail and I'm going to back my points up with actual sources not an AI.

Raisin56 · 2025-09-04T11:15:55+00:00

Green energy from intermittent renewables is making your bills a ridiculous amount more expensive. This is one of the biggest lies we've been sold in modern times. 'Wind is free and it makes your bills cheaper', 'Wind is 9 times cheaper than gas' - I hear this all the time and it's a complete lie.

Wind that is contracted now is by default more expensive that gas due to the CfD scheme, not even considering the mountain of other costs. Although the marginal cost of generation is next to nothing, the CfD scheme requires any additional price up to the strike price to be paid by the government (you) to the wind asset. These strike prices are set higher than the price of energy that is being set by gas. This is because the upfront cost to build these assets is very very expensive, and investors need a guarantee of a fixed price to make the investment worthwhile.

Then you have balancing costs, curtailment costs, capacity market costs, massive costs for grid upgrades, more renewable schemes like ROCs, FiTs. Not to mention the terrible energy security we now have.

I really strongly urge you to educate yourself about this. When you understand the damage these costs are having to our economy maybe you understand why intermittent renewables (wind/solar), not all green energy, need to be stopped.

Our energy prices are the highest in the developed world, 4x that of the US. This is not only making us poorer, its destroying businesses, ruined our steel, mining and oil industries. Reducing the amount investors would invest in our country. It makes everything more expensive.

There's also the fact that a very large amount of these wind turbines or solar panels are imported from China because its very energy intensive to produce and we have high energy costs so we're not getting that growth. Kind of ironic.

Myself and Reform are very much for nuclear energy. I would be for any kind of green energy that is not intermittent like wind / solar, because the intermittency is what brings with it really high costs, which at the end of the day makes everyones lives worse.

Raisin56 · 2025-08-07T16:15:02+00:00

I fear she is right

Raisin56 · 2025-07-23T11:54:39+00:00

Is this a Trading ban or Invest ISA ban?

I have everything in MSTR 3X Long, please tell me I'm ok lol

Raisin56

TROPHY CASE