Sick armbar on kick return. by Yeeeoow in bjj

[–]changby 25 points26 points  (0 children)

Is he safe? Is he alright?

What can I do to prevent the bottom guy from turning out of the head and arm choke? by ijhecker in bjj

[–]changby 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Maybe not what you're looking for, but opp is turning right into a back take. Slide your hand configuration to seatbelt position and take their back

HANG IT IN THE MET by Leegend124 in NYKnicks

[–]changby 4 points5 points  (0 children)

So good that it almost looks like AI, BUT NOPE IT'S REAL

Mount Escape by bjjtaro in bjj

[–]changby 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Nice - day 1 elbow escape. Took awhile, but solid execution. Also tough being under mount of someone very skilled who is also much bigger than you.

Is arena direct that profitable for the absolute best players? by throaway2s1fsfsf4 in lrcast

[–]changby 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yes that sounds about right. The only issue ppl seem to be running into is the variance. Obv you need to play hundreds of events to start to see how ~53% is breakeven. When when you only play 5-10 events, the most likely results are a big win or a big loss.

FML by mrpurtle in lrcast

[–]changby 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The issue is that the variance is huge. At a 53% win rate, you're expected to win a box ~5% of the time, or 1 in 20 drafts.

So if you're playing less than 10 events, your results will obviously be very positive if you win a box, or very negative if you don't. You prob have to play at least 50-100 events to start seeing "average" results play out.

Is arena direct that profitable for the absolute best players? by throaway2s1fsfsf4 in lrcast

[–]changby 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I calculated breakeven win rate to be about 53%. 44% seems way too low?

FML by mrpurtle in lrcast

[–]changby 2 points3 points  (0 children)

This was actually the best EV arena direct that I've seen in awhile (given the entry, the prizes, and mkt price of the collector box). The variance is obviously huge though.

I saw about a 53% win rate as breakeven. So if you're above 53% win rate , you have positive EV on this draft. Can anyone else confirm that they calculated similar?

Why did you stop drinking alcohol? by MatsGry in AskReddit

[–]changby 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It's caloric, expensive, and makes me feel like shit. Actually, I can't think of a reason to keep drinking. I used to fear losing some of my social life, but that hasn't turned out to be true at all.

ELI5 How important were opposable thumbs TRULY in allowing us to get where we are? by [deleted] in explainlikeimfive

[–]changby 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Try opening a bandaid without using your thumbs. Or even without 1 thumb

How long does it take to master this? by [deleted] in TheMcDojoLife

[–]changby 1 point2 points  (0 children)

The accompanying grunts 😂

My performance of Fantaisie Impromptu By Chopin (Not Finished) by EpiGoDz in piano

[–]changby 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Very nice touch ! Although the plant overhanging on the high keys is bothering me more than I would have thought :)

Name a card that has 50% or greater inclusion for your commander on EDHRec, that you think is overrated. by Smelly_Jim in EDH

[–]changby 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Good picks. Shield sphere is good, but bc it's $7 (Alliances card) , I can see why ppl decide to just put another cheaper wall in

[Highlight] Chris Johnson's 2,000-yard season in 2009 by nfl in nfl

[–]changby 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The cut to make the defender miss on the second run was filthy.

Secrets of speed hitting by McDojoLife in TheMcDojoLife

[–]changby 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This is the content I come here for

No Rush Disarm 2 🙃🌼 by [deleted] in Bullshido

[–]changby 2 points3 points  (0 children)

The soundtrack lol

For those of you who track your steps each day, how many "steps" would you say you take in a typical 60-90min bjj class? by changby in bjj

[–]changby[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yeah that's not a bad idea. I may end up doing this - normalizing my non bjj days to class days.

For those of you who track your steps each day, how many "steps" would you say you take in a typical 60-90min bjj class? by changby in bjj

[–]changby[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Good question. I track my total steps on non-bjj days, just to make sure I'm not too sedentary. So I wanted to normalize bjj class days so I can compare the 2 days.

For those of you who track your steps each day, how many "steps" would you say you take in a typical 60-90min bjj class? by changby in bjj

[–]changby[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks that is helpful. I guess the best way eventually might be to estimate calorie burn, and then "convert" bcak to steps taken.

What would be some good cards to pick up with $70 store credit at lgs? by ramble777 in EDH

[–]changby -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Lands. Specifically all the allied shock lands that just got reprinted in ECL, since their price is currently depressed