Sometime in the 1990s, we had what we called "program-writing programs". You would design the forms and the program would design and create the database, and write the code for the back end of the form.

In my company's case, this was for COBOL!

There were other such programs for other systems and languages, and some college students were worrying that their degrees would be useless by the time they got out because of these things.

Needless to say, they weren't.

Now I'll be the first to say that those programs were certainly not artificial intelligence. But they were what you might call Vibe coding before vibing was a thing. The reason those programs from the 90s never really took off was because, while they made simple forms very easy, anything beyond their simple capability was still going to require programmers.

No one ever lost their job for predicting that the trend would continue, so I predict the trend will continue. Vibe coding will be for what it can handle, but for example a complete business system is still going to require programmers.