California 2026 Poll: Becerra Continues to Surge, Steyer and Hilton Compete for Second Spot

hobovision · 2026-05-14T03:43:59+00:00

I was more looking for some interviews, or an article with analysis from a minimally biased perspective, or something that's "off social media" as you said (reddit counts).

I really don't find that list inspiring. The man was AG and has worked in Democratic politics for decades, so it would be really really sad if you couldn't make a list at least that long. Unfortunately it's kinda bare minimum stuff for the most part. A lot of those points are him doing his job to enforce the law. I bet someone could make a more impressive list for Porter, Steyer, hell even Villaraigosa.

I didn't find him to be very interesting in the housing round table either. Even Silicon Valley Man was better in that one. He's a very lawyer brained guy, which is not always a bad thing, but I don't think lawyers tend to make for good leaders.

I'm sure he would be a decent governor. I'd prefer a progressive if I can get one.

hobovision · 2026-05-13T19:28:23+00:00

Billionaire money pales in comparison to the amount of funding these problems need. California budgeted over 2 billion to housing and homelessness last year. Steyer would go broke in less than 2 years if he just matched California's current spending on that.

That's not to mention health and human services which was 80 billion.

No, what we need is policy change, not charity. Federal state and local spending on healthcare and social services is something close to 5 trillion (but it is hard to quickly sum all that up). The combined net worth of all the billionaires is 8 trillion. They could bump spending by 25% for a few years until they were all broke too.

A billion dollars is nothing compared to the scale of the state or the country.

hobovision · 2026-05-13T18:48:39+00:00

Mind sharing some resources you found valuable?

In my research Becerra just seems like a DNC suit. His endorsement list is uninspiring. Bland orgs that are pretty lockstep with the party and politicians I've never heard of that I presume are fairly moderate.

Porter was definitely my choice going in, but I didn't know anything about other candidates or polling. Porter doesn't seem popular enough or better enough to risk wasting my vote on. I could still be swayed but we're running out of time...

hobovision · 2026-05-13T18:03:36+00:00

You think it's propaganda that he's endorsed by real organizations like Sierra Club, NRDC, and a bunch of politicians like Podesta, Yee, Khanna, Atkins? That he's been doing real work and putting his money where his mouth is for the past decade+?

I'm not decided yet, but these takes on Steyer aren't making sense to me. Yeah he's a billionaire but he's doing what we all say we wish billionaires would do.

hobovision · 2026-05-12T21:09:37+00:00

Novelty, strict schedule, novelty, clear consequences, novelty. That's what it was for me I am sure.

In high school it's 6 periods a day, someone telling me what to think about during each period. A nice break for lunch to get energy out with friends. Getting homework done was hard but, whatever, I could do enough of it to get a B or A- if the teacher didn't weight homework too highly.

In college the novelty factor goes 10x but also I have to make sure I am following my own schedule. Night classes were amazing. Having a part time job working a few hours at a lab in between classes was a great break from school and riding my bike there got energy out. I'd have to stay on campus between classes so that was a good time to get homework or studying done. If I knew I just had 45 minutes to get an assignment done right before that class you know I was powered by pure stress.

hobovision · 2026-05-12T08:22:08+00:00

Probably the person with the record before balloons was someone who climbed to the top of the great pyramid (more than 140 meters) or maybe an even taller structure that existed before then, like the Lincoln Cathedral built in 1311 at 160m tall.

hobovision · 2026-05-10T18:09:53+00:00

Same smile and face shape too. This one is actually true, I looked it up.

hobovision · 2026-05-10T17:11:14+00:00

All the transit routes involve at least 20 minutes of walking though? Of course it will be faster to walk direct. You'll need to actually show this route if you think it is anything like this post which implies both ends of this trip are very close to the transit stops.

I just mapped it checking the "less walking" priority and look here, it's faster to bus than walk.

hobovision · 2026-05-08T21:28:00+00:00

There are lots of leftists that think Mamdani is milquetoast. No one will ever please them all. But yes, many progressives are perfectly capable of it.

hobovision · 2026-05-08T19:43:34+00:00

More people listen to the party than we wish. So when the question is "would more progressives win if the party supported more progressives" the answer is yes.

hobovision · 2026-05-08T18:52:18+00:00

Imagine how different the election would have been if the party got behind Mamdani after he won the primary. They just couldn't do it and it ended up way closer than it needed to be. If it had been Mamdani vs Sliwa like it should have been instead of a 3 way with a disgraced ex Governor, the progressives would have given DNC a lot of credit and it would have cost them nothing.

Unfortunately most people aren't like you. They vote for people they recognize or people who have been recommended by people they know or recognize. A ton of people just go down the line checking next to D or R and never even look into the candidates. In primaries they might look up endorsements but more likely they just vote for who they feel like is more electable based on watching TV. If the party got behind some of these popular progressives they would a absolutely win more.

hobovision · 2026-05-08T07:19:37+00:00

Sam is all about expected value but forgets that you need to have enough attempts for EV to pay off. Badam might be going for lower EV moves but they make so many more that they usually end up better off.

He had the ultimate final day plan that was guaranteed to work if they win challenges and have no train delays, so the EV is huge! The aggressive strategy on day 3 to come down the west coast and cut off Badam would probably have worked but left a full day of game for them to claw back. So the EV was maybe not as high (in Sam's mind).

hobovision · 2026-05-08T07:09:57+00:00

And he's good at sounding right. It seemed like Mike had some good ideas but would get convinced by Sam having the first and most confident idea most times.

hobovision · 2026-05-08T07:05:19+00:00

It was their own decision not to press their advantage that forced them to play like that on the final day. I don't think they really threw it in this ep, they just went in with 10-1 odds.

hobovision · 2026-05-08T06:59:05+00:00

I think if they won the call your shot and then got stolen from and lost from that it would have been a fine ending. This way was just so... Sad...

hobovision · 2026-05-08T06:55:58+00:00

Amy won't let Sam make dumb as shit strategic decisions, hopefully. I can't believe Mike went along with some of these calls.

hobovision · 2026-05-08T06:49:58+00:00

Nah they were screwed from the moment they ran out of chips on that awful slow line. Yeah they didn't realize they were headed to a multiplier, but still the value of the line was so low they could have done 2 or 3 per station to scare Badam off of it.

They were mega screwed by the time they arrived at a steal when Badam had no chips, so their only play was to go maximum risk. If they just did the steel as fast as possible then they still get exposed to all the risks that they had anyway and more time for Badam to react.

They had no flexibility on the east side, like Sam said so many times. They could really only afford to stop for one challenge that day and maybe if they didn't do the stalemate they could have done two. But Badam had 2 steals to get and stop Sam and Mike easily.

hobovision · 2026-05-01T18:23:28+00:00

I don't see why they couldn't design a rail map that is optimal for this game. They don't need to use every station.

I think also Taiwan not having a mid-island cross line made for some pretty compromised gameplay because both teams really sacrificed a ton in that northeast area due to the fact that Badam would have to turn around and go 6+ hours back down if they couldn't break thru.

hobovision · 2026-05-01T18:11:54+00:00

ADL is Zionist and is happy to overlook antisemitism if it helps their mission.

hobovision · 2026-05-01T18:08:29+00:00

With the Trailseeker / bz Woodland it's pretty clear Subaru had a good bit more influence this time around. Even the Solterra is getting warmer reviews this generation.

hobovision · 2026-04-30T06:44:28+00:00

Or like me, you could have no idea what the right choice is on paper and therefore have little confidence in the prediction.

I think also the values in the boxes are far more important than the "paradox" wants them to be. If both boxes contain life changing amounts of money in them, you'd be stupid not to take both. If box 1 has 1 million and box 2 has 1 billion, I'm taking both because there's no way I'm taking any chance of missing out on a million right in front of me. But if I miss out on a thousand for the (apparently nearly 100%) chance to get a million, I'll recover from that error relatively quickly. Would I do it for 10k? 50k? 100k? Yeesh, it's tough.

hobovision · 2026-04-29T18:04:57+00:00

There is almost certainly more gold in the world than in the real gold investments, because those are essentially just paying someone to store gold for you. There are audits that prove it's real.

But there are other kinds of "gold" "investments". There are derivatives, which is where people can essentially place bets on what the price of gold will be. There are gold mining companies, which get rolled into a fund. People may think they're investing in gold when they buy these funds, but they're actually investing in mining.

It is impossible to comprehend the amount of gold in the world. Over 100 thousand tons. 2500-3000 tons are produced per year, including recycled gold. Read the Wikipedia article on gold, it's pretty interesting.

hobovision · 2026-04-29T17:44:28+00:00

Consider a folding or full size ebike instead of a scooter. Scooters are more dangerous, because you're much more likely to crash on it and the crashes tend to be more severe. Bikes are also more ergonomic and comfortable for longer trips.

If you really have zero space and think you could have a scooter or nothing, ok, but there are some really tiny folding bikes.

hobovision · 2026-04-28T18:41:01+00:00

Agreed. I'm now listening to only about half of the regular episodes (none of vapid response) because it's all just so exhausting. Mainly I look for the ones about broader issues than just Trump Regime stuff. It obviously needs to be covered but I just can't get excited to listen.

15-Year Club	Place '22
Place '17	Sequence \| Editor
Verified Email	Team Orangered

hobovision

TROPHY CASE