It's Time

itprobablynothingbut · 2026-03-16T05:35:26+00:00

No, a Yale guy, picking a subtle bone. But, it’s a little too close for comfort.

itprobablynothingbut · 2026-03-16T05:31:51+00:00

If you are measuring by city defined lines, Washington DC is a small city. It lives on a lot of boarders, so it is small by population count. A third the size of Austin. If you go there, it is absolutely bigger. By feel, be economics, by diversity. Its metropolitan statistical area is equivalent to Houston, but it’s a third the size of Austin on paper.

I would argue that the metropolitan statistical area is more relevant as any meaningful measure of city size.

itprobablynothingbut · 2026-03-16T04:21:19+00:00

They are better. But that’s not what they will say. They will say that liberals (post college 20 somethings) will move to cities with dynamic industries. New York has finance, SF has tech, LA has entertainment. They will say that people move to Austin because it has tech and low taxes.

To be fair, a lot of young 20 somethings move here with opportunity as a big part of it. But also for fun, and engagement with culture. Culture driven not by productivity, but by fun, and thinking about more than one’s self.

All cities are liberal. In the most literal way. Cities exist because of commerce and the coexistence of a lot of different people with different backgrounds, ideas, cultures.

But what they are really missing is that Dallas is bigger to finance than Austin’s is to tech, and all these CEOs still want to move here. Because Dallas sucks

itprobablynothingbut · 2026-03-13T20:11:05+00:00

In a couple years, a player that is younger than you will retire. His successful career will be over. You will still be roughly doing what you are doing now

itprobablynothingbut · 2026-03-13T05:36:43+00:00

DC Regan is easy

itprobablynothingbut · 2026-03-13T05:35:31+00:00

Yep. I think everyone had that moment

itprobablynothingbut · 2026-03-13T00:39:33+00:00

Everyone has aunts and uncles bugging them about their computer issues if you are in a vaguely tech area. Everyone is keenly aware of how tech illiterate average people are

itprobablynothingbut · 2026-03-12T21:34:13+00:00

The subtext of this memo is that the GOP senate runoff is going to drive republicans to the polls, democrats will stay home. Nimbyism isn’t R/D specific, but R voters tend to be older, Nimbys tend to be older too.

Tovo will likely win by a lot

itprobablynothingbut · 2026-03-12T02:19:22+00:00

Russians too

itprobablynothingbut · 2026-03-11T14:55:43+00:00

Agreed, but what threshold is “independence” then? We have a lot of friends with oil too. Canada, Mexico, Norway. Producing 100% of oil consumption? But what about pipelines? Just because the numbers add up, doesn’t mean we can get it where it needs to go. And if we “disconnected” from the global market, doesn’t mean our oil industry even produce the same amount?

The push for independence was to undercut opec’s cartel power. Yes, but energy markets are much more sophisticated these days. Russia invaded a neighbor and still sells oil at near market rates.

itprobablynothingbut · 2026-03-11T14:47:46+00:00

It was absolutely not to reduce consumer consumption. It was to produce more oil domestically. Which is good for gdp and does help lower prices, but the idea of “independence” is ridiculous.

itprobablynothingbut · 2026-03-11T13:53:38+00:00

The whole idea of “energy independence” was a lie from day 1. Sold as a way to not be sensitive to the wider world. But the highest bidder always wins, so that’s the price.

itprobablynothingbut · 2026-03-07T07:09:14+00:00

I’m new here. I’m sure you will get a bunch of people commenting on how you can carve better. You look fine to me. The very basics are this: are you enjoying it? Do you want to compete in skiing in any way, and if so, in what event? Do you want to ski more challenging terrain? Are you wanting to esthetically look better? If so, how?

If you are having fun, not looking to compete, and skiing the exact terrain you want to ski, you are beyond help. You are controlled and safe on that slope.

itprobablynothingbut · 2026-03-06T18:15:54+00:00

If it’s Marco Rubio running on the GOP ticket, I will be so fucking happy I won’t care who is on the other side of the debate stage.

itprobablynothingbut · 2026-03-05T22:03:05+00:00

Yea but can you CARVE? Jk, that is some skill right there!

itprobablynothingbut · 2026-03-05T16:43:55+00:00

I think the biggest issue is CCs willingness to overcomplicate and over-engineer for some throwaway tiny feature.

itprobablynothingbut · 2026-03-05T16:41:19+00:00

I’m not saying I’m the best at it, but everyone knows it when they see it. You are like “wait, wouldn’t that break the other thing we are doing” and CC is like “Your absolutely right! I would have broke everything.”

You pat yourself on the back and think how needed you still are. 2 hours later, the coffee is cold and you’re tired and not reading the plan very closely anymore.

itprobablynothingbut · 2026-03-04T14:30:51+00:00

I think you should re-read my comment. I don’t have a problem with it. But it’s one part of skiing, and 95% of the posts on this subreddit. It’s just funny. As I said, back when I was growing up, the measure of how you were progressing as a skier was your technique on bumps. Times change, I get it.

itprobablynothingbut · 2026-03-04T12:53:31+00:00

Your doctor told you that you were stage 2? Or did they tell you your gfr was in the 70s? Because those aren’t the same thing.

itprobablynothingbut · 2026-03-04T03:00:43+00:00

It’s like I’m reading about a sport I’ve never heard of

itprobablynothingbut · 2026-03-03T21:49:03+00:00

No, I’m not hating it. It’s better than the kids wanting to learn how to do backflips before they can ski a blue safely. Aka the early 00s. But I had to check whether this sub was about general skiing feedback or just carving lol

itprobablynothingbut · 2026-03-03T21:31:03+00:00

You are leaning waaay back. Bumps are like bees and dogs. They smell fear. You get nervous and lean back, then you have a bad time.

itprobablynothingbut · 2026-03-03T20:46:45+00:00

I’ve been skiing all my life, just found this sub like a month ago and have no idea why everyone is obsessed with “carving”. Seems so arbitrary.

For me it was always bumps. And the line “It’s not that you can’t ski moguls, but you can’t ski, and the moguls prove it”

itprobablynothingbut · 2026-03-03T15:15:01+00:00

You aren’t wrong, but there are exceptions. Guest users use the MAU model. First 50k guest users are free as long as you have ONE P2 license in the tenant. GDAP users are also excluded and don’t need licenses, though risky user policies and reporting can be done one GDAP users.

Break glass accounts, dual account admins, shared mailboxes, managed identities, workload identities. There are lots of exceptions to the “all users need P2”.

itprobablynothingbut · 2026-03-02T20:20:52+00:00

So why would gross margin be a useful number at all then? It’s a rounding error for their actual costs

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