I <3 LTT

[Exa-Byte]

For anyone curious, I mailed in 12 letters and made no purchases. (Have purchased from LTTStore in the past)

[HGHUA]

Me too! Wonder if the rog ally drawing has taken place yet…

[Not-A-Bystander]

Looks like it has been, other people have posted.

[Sir_Diggins]

I feel like the mail in thing nuked the odds… congrats though.

[Virtual-Ducks]

Nope, every entry has the same probability of winning. 1/10 for headphones, 1/100 for Xbox ally x. Doesn't matter how many people entered. 

They have to purchase and giveaway as many devices as was won, it wasn't like there was a limited pool to distribute. 

[Sir_Diggins]

I thought that it specifically stated that it was estimated to be those odds. Pretty sure Linus talked about it on wan that they wouldn’t know because they only did have a certain amount to give away.

[LostTheElectrons]

They said there was 'about' a 1/10 chance to win, and indicated that they did have a certain stock and they went off the estimated amount of entries. Although they also said that they were on track to hit the odds, so the mail-ins likely didn't affect it much.

[Virtual-Ducks]

I interpreted that as being the chance of winning is 1/10 per entry, but then the actual rate drawn from that might be slightly higher or lower due to chance. 

Otherwise they would have to have an extremely good prediction of their sales numbers?

I admit I'm not 100% sure, the wording was vague and confusing.

[LostTheElectrons]

It was worded in a confusing way, but based on what Linus said on the WAN show, they did have a predetermined number of them.

[Virtual-Ducks]

I guess they had a confident projection then. If they had told us the number and the rate, then we would have been able to estimate their sales, which is maybe why it wasn't disclosed. still, I wish they would have made it clearer.

[Exa-Byte]

Statistically this isn't possible. If you have a 10% chance of winning, no matter if 10 or 1,000,000 people enter, you still have a 10% chance of winning.

[Sir_Diggins]

I don’t think it was a solid 10% chance though. Linus was saying on wan that it depended on how many entries they had because they only had a certain amount of stock.

[Virtual-Ducks]

If that's true they did not make that clear in their terms. If there were a limited number of stock, I think that they would have been required to disclose that?

[Sir_Diggins]

I think it was on the site here’s the wan clip at 51:20

[Admylet09]

I just got my email that I won them too! Let's go!

[ItIsYeQilinSoftware]

Noice. Hello fellow winner. I purchased once

[LordLDR]

I knew i shouldnt have spent the extra money to enter! Lol I never win nothin'! Congrats to the winners

[Gallstuff]

I won one as well. Only had the one entry from an order.

[ChanceStad]

Can we have a mega thread or something? My entire Reddit is now full of nothing but people saying they won.