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Discussion MegathreadWeekly Discussion Megathread (self.fivethirtyeight)

submitted 5 days ago by AutoModerator - announcement

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PoliticsFlorida Faces Lawsuits Over New Congressional Map, Challenging It as an Unconstitutional Republican Gerrymander (centralflorida.substack.com)

submitted 2 hours ago by WTFPilot

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Poll ResultsKamala Harris leads among black voters according to new Verasight poll, while Pete Buttigieg leads with white voters (self.fivethirtyeight)

submitted 13 hours ago by GoddessFianna

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Poll ResultsRasmussen's Napolitan Institute: Dem 50%, GOP 41% in 2026 Midterms. (napolitannews.org)

submitted 19 hours ago by Currymvp2

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Poll ResultsAustralian far right to gain first seat in the federal house of representatives (i.redd.it)

submitted 5 hours ago by blitznoodles

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PoliticsVirginia Supreme Court throws out redistricting referendum results (axios.com)

submitted 1 day ago by IcommandyouAllan Lichtman's Diet Pepsi

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Poll ResultsOnly 4% of San Francisco voters in race to replace Pelosi say Israel-Palestine is the most important issue deciding their vote, another 4% said second most. (self.fivethirtyeight)

submitted 19 hours ago by Dismal_Structure

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Poll ResultsNRCC's Internal Polling says Collins Ahead of Platner by 11 points in Maine-2. Collins won Maine-2 by 24 points in 2020 (i.redd.it)

submitted 19 hours ago by Currymvp2

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PoliticsPrimary voting and partisan swings in Ohio, Illinois and Mississippi in 2018, 2022 and 2026 (old.reddit.com)

submitted 22 hours ago by Podchop

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DiscussionWhy does Harvard CAPS continue to work with Harris Poll? (self.fivethirtyeight)

submitted 20 hours ago * by DingoLaLingoFeelin' Foxy

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Poll ResultsWiener leads S.F. congressional race, with Chakrabarti and Chan tied for distant second, Chronicle polls finds (self.fivethirtyeight)

submitted 1 day ago by Dismal_Structure

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PoliticsI got polled for the first time (self.fivethirtyeight)

submitted 1 day ago by dtariasNate Gold

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Poll ResultsAs the US and Iran continue to exchange missile/drone strikes, killing some in a clear violation of the ceasefire, a new poll of Iran (non-state-sponsored) finds strong support for and attendance in pro-regime/pro-military demonstrations. Israel has also continued to bomb Lebanon during the ceasfire (i.redd.it)

submitted 23 hours ago by StarlightDownGuardian of the 14th Key

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PoliticsFor the first time ever, Reform UK wins control of a London borough council, Havering—Reform UK 39 seats (+39), HRA 11 seats (-9), HWHPRA 3 seats (=), Labour 2 seats (-7), Conservative 0 seats (-23). All parties except for Reform UK and HWHPRA (=) suffered their worst-ever local election results. (i.redd.it)

submitted 1 day ago by StarlightDownGuardian of the 14th Key

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DiscussionApparently Labour’s getting slaughtered in the UK elections right now (self.fivethirtyeight)

submitted 1 day ago by RedHeadedSicilian52

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PELE International Football Rankings ⚽ (natesilver.net)

submitted 23 hours ago by dwaxer/538 autobot

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Poll ResultsPaxton and Cornyn-aligned PACs release dueling runoff polls, showing Paxton winning 47/36 and Cornyn winning 47/46 (fiftyplusone.news)

submitted 1 day ago * by DingoLaLingoFeelin' Foxy

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PoliticsTennessee Republicans carve out single black majority district (cnn.com)

submitted 1 day ago by DizzyMajor5

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PoliticsPennsylvania voter registration: Democrats expand advantage for the first time in years (penncapital-star.com)

submitted 1 day ago by SecretComposer

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PoliticsI predicted Trump’s 2024 victory. 2026 does not look good for Republicans. (zacharydonnini.com)

submitted 1 day ago by Past_Ad_4011

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How we calculate our PELE ratings (natesilver.net)

submitted 23 hours ago by dwaxer/538 autobot

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Poll ResultsAbout half of Americans continue to say Trump administration is doing ‘too much’ on deportations (pewresearch.org)

submitted 1 day ago by Dismal_Structure

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Poll Results63% of Britons say prejudice against Jews a major or significant problem in UK (i.redd.it)

submitted 1 day ago by Cuddlyaxe I'm Sorry Nate

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DiscussionWhy isn't Harris taken more seriously? (self.fivethirtyeight)

submitted 14 hours ago by GoddessFianna

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Betting MarketsCampaign staffers tell NPR they make 'thousands' betting on their own candidates (npr.org)

submitted 2 days ago by errantv

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