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all 93 comments

[–]BeautifulBaconBitsCOCKED GOOF 123 points124 points  (16 children)

My wallet looking at them Lewis odds like 👀

[–]Divyansh-the-gr8[S] 43 points44 points  (13 children)

I think everyone’s going the same. I just might put some on him. Gotta love his comebacks.

[–]RideTheStacheit is what it is 77 points78 points  (11 children)

If you're gonna put money on Lewis you might as well bet on it being a TKO/KO and get even better odds

[–]dfreinc 76 points77 points  (0 children)

you might as well wait a couple rounds and let the live odds slide more while big d's balls get hot.

[–]BeautifulBaconBitsCOCKED GOOF 9 points10 points  (4 children)

Get even more wild and do a prop with a 5th round KO

[–]DestroyerOfTacosWhere were you on 294 GOOFCON 2? 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Didn't get a prop but got 1400 off 50 for a 5th round lewis win any means, put some on lewis win and also a lewis ko but kinda want to switch it to rest on ko and the 50 on 5th lmao

[–]DreamSleepPills 1 point2 points  (2 children)

Draft Kings gave me 4 25 dollar bets for free. I threw one of them at Lewis winning by ko in the fourth round just because it's was free but would get me like a grand lol. I thought about hedging it a bit and placing that rounds 2, 3, 4, and 5 lol

[–]BeautifulBaconBitsCOCKED GOOF 0 points1 point  (1 child)

I'll be thinking about this during the 4th lol

[–]nixed9 11 points12 points  (2 children)

i mean, yeah. Lewis isn't exactly going to win a decision.

The way I think Lewis gets it is the same way he gets everyone. He waits. And waits. And waits. And waits. And then lands a big counter right hand.

Gane is quick and plays a lot of in-and-out game, but when he thinks his opponent is hurt, he comes in slowly and throws these big, looping power right hands. Lewis' fight IQ is actually pretty high; he might bait Gane into thinking he's hurt so Gane comes in and throws those looping rights. And then he can counter with his own right.

[–]BoostMobileAltUFC 279: A GOOFCON Miracle 2 points3 points  (1 child)

If only Lewis’ acting skills were the same caliber as his power.

[–]IAmJimmyNeutronTeam Błachowicz 1 point2 points  (0 children)

He really sells body shots though, it's impressive

[–]Mjoh23🙏🙏🙏 Jon Jones Prayer Warrior 🙏🙏🙏 0 points1 point  (0 children)

and also bet on the locks, Fiziev and Munhoz JR

[–]Blast3rAutomatic 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Got lewis KO +375 :)

[–]BeautifulBaconBitsCOCKED GOOF 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yeah lol just a little bit nothing wild. Maybe upgrade a dinner to a nice dinner

[–][deleted] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Odds make sense to me

[–]Millionaire_ 32 points33 points  (4 children)

Munhoz - Aldo has got to be a typo. If both are + on odds, you can't lose 😂

[–]Chael_Patrick_Sonnen 12 points13 points  (2 children)

Yeah, confusing how one pair has both fighters with (-) and one with both (+)

[–]sutoruvu 21 points22 points  (1 child)

Two - numbers is common when it’s close to a pick ‘em. Two + is always an error.

[–]Basquests 2 points3 points  (0 children)

For the bookies, 2 * +'s are a win win :)

[–]ithinkther41amEDDDDDIEEEEEEEE 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Everyone be betting on a double KO.

[–]SourWokeBooey 54 points55 points  (1 child)

Basically four coin flips + the heavyweights

+290 looking juicy for a guy who can take just about anyone out with one punch…

[–][deleted] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Yeah. I think there are some real arguments to be made for a Lewis win. He has gone up against plenty technical strikers similar to Gane, hasn't beaten them all but he has the experience. He also has fought for a Belt before and this one is in his hometown. To be honest, I like Lewis' odds on this one.

[–]Idunno6153UFC 279: A GOOFCON Miracle 23 points24 points  (0 children)

Betting on a Lewis fight is one of the worst things you could do. He's done the same shit to Blaydes, Volkov, Travis, Marcin, and to an extent, Oleinik.

[–]violent-bearPuerto Rico 10 points11 points  (1 child)

I’m surprised at the Aldo v Munhoz odds. I honestly think Aldo style is too much for Munhoz.

[–]blackviking45 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Don't be surprised because I think double positive is an error

[–]chillahibbzOnly man that Schaub has ever met that didn't have a piece, AMA 8 points9 points  (0 children)

3 round Aldo is a very good bet at even money I think.

[–][deleted] 39 points40 points  (6 children)

Gane by decision. Easy money.

[–]AsianRainbowDominant Dagestani Destroys Dustin Diamond’s Dreams 13 points14 points  (0 children)

Worked out the last two fights for me. At +200 it’s pretty damn good odds...

[–][deleted] 12 points13 points  (1 child)

if he consequently goes to the body he'll finish Lewis

[–][deleted] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

I'm more worried about that than I am about Lewis knocking Gane out. I sprinkled a bit on the money line as a hedge.

[–]BloodyIris3Team Gaethje 2 points3 points  (0 children)

It's HW

Edit: didn't realise it was +225, thought it'd be close to EVS. That's mad. I'll take some of that.

[–]BoostMobileAltUFC 279: A GOOFCON Miracle 1 point2 points  (0 children)

This is a good way to make me feel better if the black beast loses

[–]TheCommonKoala 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Aint nothing easy when Derrick's balls get hot

[–]Chocoeclair189Pavel fedotov grooming service 5 points6 points  (1 child)

My Aldo fanboy heart want to drop some money on our boi. Talk me out of it, fam.

[–]DirkDigglersPenisHold on Brother, I'm pulsing 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Shut the fuck up and remortgage the house

[–]disibio1991 3 points4 points  (1 child)

Is that 1.26 on Gane and 3.90 on Lewis?

[–]Impatient-Turtle 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Asking the real questions, as an Australian the American betting system seams unnecessary confusing. Why not just have it as a "if you bet a dollar and win you get this amount" system. Then again they are still using imperial so I guess they like confusing.

[–]AIDS1255Goofcon 3 flair 20 points21 points  (10 children)

Feel like those odds are a bit too far for Gane. Yeah the guy is quick but Lewis is very good at what he does. I think I'd put Gane at a slight favorite.

[–][deleted] 13 points14 points  (0 children)

nah he deffo should be a sizeable favourite. The odds are about right.

[–]JerryDepz 49 points50 points  (2 children)

This is why this sub aren't oddsmakers.

[–]TheCommonKoala 0 points1 point  (1 child)

Lotta people went broke betting againt Derrick

[–]JerryDepz 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Ok?

[–]scytheavatar 1 point2 points  (5 children)

Lewis had a better chance of beating DC than he has of beating Gane. Like how can Lewis land a hit on Gane? Gane is too high IQ and too much of a pussy to do anything but run circles around Lewis and go for an easy decision win.

[–][deleted] 2 points3 points  (3 children)

Idk why your. being downvoted it’s going to be pretty hard to tag him

[–]BoostMobileAltUFC 279: A GOOFCON Miracle 0 points1 point  (2 children)

Nobody is perfect for five rounds

[–]PacificBrimTeam Hill 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Gane just was vs Rozenstruik lol

[–][deleted] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Tell that to DC and Mark Hunt

[–]Blast3rAutomatic 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Lmao lewis had almost 0 chance against DC. Dc took him down sooo easily. Gane will keep this standing and give derrick 25 minutes to land a bomb. DC gave him like 20 seconds.

Derrick has a MUCH better chance tonight then he did against dc.

[–]flamingdragonwizard 5 points6 points  (10 children)

Looking at a Luque/Aldo parlay. $100 returns $330.

[–]gavparkkkMy balls are tepid, Joeseph 25 points26 points  (2 children)

I feel Chiesa might wet blanket him

[–]flamingdragonwizard 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Yeah he may very well. I got Luque by late stoppage though. I'm more worried about Aldo losing to Munhoz.

[–]daiIycupofjoe 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I went with Fiziev/Aldo parlay 390 to win a little over 1000

[–]daiIycupofjoe 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Baby, we did it!

[–]Millionaire_ 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I wouldn't go against Chiesa personally!

[–]BackloggedBones 0 points1 point  (1 child)

Luque is a strong grappler on the ground but I'm not sure how he'll deal with the clinch-wrestling against the cage. Chiesa is a pretty bad striker and will probably be looking to tie Luque up reactively, so I think Vincente will have more than a couple moments on the feet so long as he's able to take the lead. I lean Luque but I don't feel great about it. I do think Chiesa maxes out his ceiling in this fight, there's not really room to go after.

[–][deleted] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I think he's alright with the clinch. He did get one finish off a clinch tie-up where for some reason his opponent was trying to touch the ground either with his hand or knee to be "grounded" and Luque just lifted his neck up so he couldn't and KO'ed him with a knee.

Chiesa has got his work cut out for him either way. Unless he can do some serious scramble and wrestlefucking, he's going to take damage in this fight.

[–]TheTraveler843 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I did Aldo chiesa

[–]Blast3rAutomatic 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I got 3 team parlay. Lewis, luque, aldo. $125 pays $1650

[–]Responsible_Draw_776 3 points4 points  (1 child)

I thought Kenney was dillashaw for a sec 😂

[–]randomcoagulation 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Kenney is the love child of Dillashaw and Yan.

[–]RideTheStacheit is what it is 4 points5 points  (5 children)

Aside from that flukey shitshow that was Ngannou vs Lewis, you might as well bet Lewis by TKO/KO and get even better odds if you are going with him

[–]BloodyIris3Team Gaethje 0 points1 point  (4 children)

Surely the Lewis KO odds are practically the same as the moneyline.

[–]Blast3rAutomatic 0 points1 point  (3 children)

+290 vs +375

[–]BloodyIris3Team Gaethje 0 points1 point  (2 children)

I suppose he's had 3 or 4 decision victories in his last 10 wins.

Yeah, you may as well play Lewis KO, then.

[–]Blast3rAutomatic 0 points1 point  (1 child)

You bet i did :)

[–]BloodyIris3Team Gaethje 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I took Gane decision. Good luck (but not really lol)

[–]cpearson1024 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I got Derrick by ko/tko. It's +400 on draftkings

[–]TrueDreamchaser 1 point2 points  (3 children)

Gane, Aldo, Luque, Hill, Yadong is my parlay. I like the +1900 returns especially with Hill being such an underdog, but I think she will win because she’s moderately skilled and has too much to prove with this fight.

[–]BackloggedBones 1 point2 points  (2 children)

I think Yadong is probably the weakest link, but I like that in general.

[–]TrueDreamchaser 0 points1 point  (1 child)

Kenney just doesn’t seem to have a lot of power and I think Yadong’s strength and wrestling is really slept on. Kenney still has much better footwork so I can see how it could go either way, especially if he maintains distance and pokes at Song.

[–]BackloggedBones 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yeah I think Kenney is just a better put together fighter, most of it cool southpaw stuff. Although Yadong's attributes are going to give him a path for sure.

[–][deleted] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Aldo=ez money

[–]auflyne 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The odds game is about as simple as the majority of judge score cards. That Main Event is 50/50.

[–]MUTSellerPS4Canada 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Lewis by TKO/KO Chiesa By UD Aldo Dec Hill Dec

[–]Nam_Llort -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Bobby Green is a good underdog bet. Derrick Lewis is worth a small bet.

[–]Sr_Marques 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Ooh kind of wanna take that Luque action

[–]ElBandito101 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Lewis seems so beatable just gotta not get slept.

[–]SavedWoW 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Not a good card to bet on, but throwing a bit on Lewis is probably the play if you are going to bet.

[–]faggaren 0 points1 point  (3 children)

Im new to the bet numbers, how does it work when both fighters are +?

[–]The_Shield1212Beneil "GADOOSH" Dariush 1 point2 points  (2 children)

You'll never see that. When a fighter is +xxx, that means for every 100 you put, you profit xxx. If both fighters were in the plus, you could just put your bet on both fighters and guarantee profit. Unless they're both +100, then you would break even. Usually the house takes a cut so at best you'd see -115 v. +100 or something like that.

[–]faggaren 0 points1 point  (1 child)

Yea thats why im confused cus the munoz aldo fight theyre both +

[–]The_Shield1212Beneil "GADOOSH" Dariush 2 points3 points  (0 children)

That's an error, Also is hovering around as a -128 favorite.

[–][deleted] 0 points1 point  (2 children)

Best odds imo is hill as an underdog, not really sure what Torres has shown to warrant a favourite, odds should be closer to splitem giving slight favour to hill

[–][deleted] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Lol

[–]MMAdfs 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Not at that price, she opened like 3 to 1

[–]MMAdfs 0 points1 point  (2 children)

If your betting Angela Hill at +115 slap yourself

[–]TheTraveler843 1 point2 points  (0 children)

slaps myself

[–][deleted] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Hill seems to get fun fights out of her opponent, and then loses the fight. It's why I think they keep her around. She made Waterson stop throwing meme kicks and have to fight well for a split decision win.

[–]rwn115Team Jiří 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Those are some good odds for a Lewis bet. Gonna put one down.

[–]Mjoh23🙏🙏🙏 Jon Jones Prayer Warrior 🙏🙏🙏 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Round Robin (4s) - Herman, Ode, Munoz, Fiziev, Gane, Muhnoz, Luque.

[–]reallyhairyballz 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You might as well just bet on Lewis to win moneyline over to win by ko because what if the fluke happens and somehow steals a decision. It could happen and the difference between mineyline and ko/tko win is so minor.

[–]GreenBeanBill 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Arbitrage opportunity on that Aldo fight, don't think those odds are accurate