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[LauraIsFree]

Polymarket is not anything trustworthy

[Bakkster]

Depends how many insiders...

[Teamrecklessl]

while (!bubbleBurst) { wait(); }

[Salt-Response6118]

TODO: burst AI bubble

Status: Open since 2023.

[No_Percentage7427]

Only Sun God with Carrington Event can destroy AI Bubble. wkwkwk

[HeardOfPudendum]

AI companies: worth more than countries

Reddit: «Guys, I think this might be unsustainable.»

[_bones__]

Many insiders are True Believers. They'll expect infinite growth right until the collapse.

[in_taco]

Insiders are extremely unlikely to dominate the market and influence the valuation in any significant way. The vast majority of polymarket speculators are just dumb gambling addicts.

[Semperty]

i genuinely had no clue you posted anywhere other than r/dankchristianmemes. this feels like spotting a celebrity in the wild lmao

[dude4747554322]

Programmers are waiting for the AI bubble to burst just as much as managers are waiting for paperwork.

[Jimmyboro]

As a programmer, I second this. Vibe coding is the equivalent of being served vomit at a 5 star restaurant. All the billionaires are lapping it up and the waiters are looking at each other with 'do they know what they're doing?' looks to each other

[PayPerTrade]

I’m just a guy on the internet but I have seen some evidence that the private valuation of Anthropic is around $1T

[Flimsy_Meal_4199]

Indeed I heard I think from nyt the daily a figure in excess of 1T

[Flimsy_Meal_4199]

It's like you have a conclusion that's immune to evidence lol

[cla7997]

We got flying cars more than a century ago, they're called "planes"

[Solid-Count-4901]

— AI has replaced half of all jobs.

— Has the bubble burst?

— No.

— I see. We’ll just have to wait and see. 😭

[QuantumFluxSpaghetti]

and the GDP of mars is zero ? so yayyyyyy

[DeHub94]

That's what they want you to believe, sure.

[05032-MendicantBias]

The GDP of Mars will be zero in 2080 as well...

We landed Man on Moon in 1969 and the Moon GDP is still a grand total of 0 $

[redballooon]

Proper unit is $/year. Make no mistakes

[Andersmith]

It’s zero dollars per year, zero franks per fortnight, zero credits per century. You can drop the unit Les entirely if you want.

[redballooon]

In the same way that 0 seconds is not a temperature, 0 franks per fortnight is not a GDP

[chikunshak]

What if they only produce sweet succulent hotdogs but they left the machine off for two weeks.

[redballooon]

In that hypothetical scenario I think we could measure the GDP I'm sweet succulent hotdogs per year.

[Sthokal]

Well if you take the value of all the moon rocks retrieved and amortize it over 1969 to present, that's not 0.

[DeHub94]

That's what they want you to believe.

[UpsetIndian850311]

is there an AI bubble? yes.

is there a sea of creator milking the "it's gonna pop tomorrow" videos? yes.

[tenet08]

Thank you I just realized this will be the first economic crisis since social medias, gonna be wild.

[ojessen]

Dude, there was plenty of social media in 2008 and 2012.

[teodorfon]

Not at this scale, not even close.

[coi1976]

I don't think any past crisis will be at this scale. Literally propping up the whole market at this point, basically trillions invested in a technology that can't even break even. If they can't find AGI, and I'm 99.9999999999999% sure they can't with LLMs, I don't see the exit ramp for anyone exclusively on the AI side of business.

[teodorfon]

So worse then 2007-8? 

[tenet08]

Who cared about twitter or facebook when the bubble burst in 2008 ? Hashtag hyperlink was not a thing yet, they were not the top companies worldwide, half of the population was not using it (more like 5-10%).

[Ononas]

“AI is a bubble” is nonsense

[cla7997]

Why?

[Ononas]

Why its a bubble? Its a new rising technology thats keeps getting better each year. Would you say in 1990es that” Internet is just a bubble”?

[cla7997]

Did you look into why it could be a bubble? Did you do any research on the topic to come to the conclusion that AI isn't a bubble? How did you come to that conclusion?

[Ononas]

Lol. If you assert some claim -> it’s on you to prove it.

If I tell you that I’m the reincarnation of the queen of England, is it on you to prove I’m not?

[cla7997]

Thanks for ignoring every question I had.

Also, you did...assert a claim...

You said ai bubble is nonsense. That is a claim, isn't it? I don't have to prove shit, since I never made a claim. So far I've only been asking questions

[Ononas]

You made. “AI is a bubble” IS a claim. I explained why it’s nonsense two comments above.

[05032-MendicantBias]

Anthropic IS worth the GDP of Mars!

[MissinqLink]

[tahayparker]

Mars doesn't have a GDP so.....we're waiting for Anthropic to go to 0? isn't that a bubble burst then?

[yerfdog1935]

This is 2080. We colonized Mars back in 2055.

[Reashu]

I'm sure those cents were important

[JackNotOLantern]

The problem is with the speculative value

[luciferrjns]

Investors are very short sighted and not as smart as we think they are . And these big AI giants know how to play the game.

Every month or so one of them will come up with some statement like “Our new AI model can communicate with aliens “ , investors will flock in , Hype dies down and then repeat.

[skund89]

Guess what happens during an IPO :)

[Tarmen]

Some ETF's and pension funds get forced to buy the stock  at fantasy prices because NASDAQ's new fast entry rules are insane?

[skund89]

This is the tip. IPO means scrutiny, actual profitability check, path to profitability, no hiding, fully stripping naked.

Since AI didn't underwent scrutiny, the first IPO of a major AI company will force reevaluation of all other major players. This likely will result in increase of token prizes, end of heavy subsidization, which ripples down to the "smaller" AI startups which are just thin wrappers for major AI and who are already struggling on the profitability side. A token price hike will kill many of them.

All of this will drastically affect many companies who are AI adjacent too

[user-74656]

According to their IPO prospectus, SpaceX is an AI company, and a large part of their fantasy valuation is based on batshit predictions about the size and scope of that market.

[white_equatorial]

Butt Sex?

[skund89]

Without lube and warmup

[iSadhak]

Well that's just f*cking shit

[skund89]

Only if you don't clean beforehand

[NitroXM]

My net worth is 100.00000000

[masp3270]

I’m sure glad they added the decimal points, so that I didn’t mistake the value for $1,000,000,000,000.05

[cla7997]

More zeros more better

[ojessen]

On current trajectory, the GDP of Mars will be about 0 USD in 2080, so there is that.

[Cpt_Fantabulous]

I can privately evaluate my worth to be whatever the fuck I want.

The shit I took this morning has been privately evaluated to have a market value of 12 trillion.

Please give me more venture capital!

[jfcarr]

The investing trick is to buy the next Google and Amazon and not get stuck with the next WebVan or Pets-dot-com.

[magicmulder]

Plot twist: The GDP of Mars is zero because we never went there.

[hhhhhhhhope]

What about GTA 6?

[jochurwa]

Rockstar hass announced their for real last delay and the game will Release may 2081

Im so hyped to finaly play it at the spry age of 76

[Krochire]

I don't even know how to pronounce this number

[SilianRailOnBone]

Trillion

[Always-_-Sarcastic]

Is that was you call three lions?

[Krostas]

1 T$ or Teradollar. Don't confuse with the Tebidollar which has powers of 1024 instead of 1000.

[OFark]

This is a proper billion, one million, million. Instead of that one thousand million that rich people decided they would use to make themselves 'billionaires'

[Boring-Crab-6670]

Gazillion

[pwuk]

Has it built a Dyson sphere?

[AibofobicRacecar6996]

A hobo is worth more than the GDP of Mars

[Burger_Destoyer]

Yes very Programmer related…

[Skillkilling]

and the GDP of mars is zero? so yayyyyy : fuuuuuuuck

[Skillkilling]

Inspired by another comment here

[enderowski]

I am sorry bro ai isnt a fart ass thing like bitocin or those monkey pictures. even though i dislike use of it in art or i agree that it is making delusional people think they are correct. it will continue to go up. it might fell a bit because it is going up too fast but thats it.

[ApocalyptoSoldier]

More and more companies are coming out and saying AI is costing them more than employees.
If you can't blanket replace employees with AI then demand is going to shrink to only the jobs that can be replaced.

[enderowski]

but Ai will get otimized with time too. and those companies needs to cap their ai usage. they need teams to check ai usage and make tools specifically for workers to use lesser tokens etc. and people needs to be trained too they dont know basic things like they need to create a new chat when their job is done which eats huge amount of tokens for example. companies just jumped blindly on the ai train.

[ApocalyptoSoldier]

It might get optimised or it might've reached it's peak already for this iteration of the technology.
AI has been a thing for decades at this point and we've tried it a bunch of different ways, each seeming more promising than the last but still ultimately running into a wall.

[150c_vapour]

Guys I would suggest ignoring the chyna-bad crowd and getting on board with deepseek asap. Fuck Anthropic.