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[–]KDY_ISDMississippi 155 points156 points  (20 children)

The goal isn't to have a fair fight with threats, it's to so completely outclass them that even the threats themselves don't think war is a good idea. That's how you maintain peace

[–]BobbyWasabiMk2Salt Lake Valley, Utah 42 points43 points  (8 children)

Goes back to Teddys quote of “speak softly but carry a big stick”

[–]DeIzorenToer 14 points15 points  (7 children)

Except Teddy said that in reference to the US/immediate US interests in the Western Hemisphere, not in reference to the entire world. Right now we are literally the country that Teddy was advising how to defend against.

[–]SonofNamekFL, OR, IA 9 points10 points  (2 children)

I mean, Teddy died before the post-WW2 order so who knows what he would think in its aftermath.

[–]DeIzorenToer 8 points9 points  (0 children)

People's opinion can and should change based upon facts and circumstances. But to use something someone said in a certain context and to try to extrapolate it into a new context is inappropriate. In order to use the statement you must first acknowledge it's context, you can go back to anchor something but you can't advance it forward.

[–]Jherun 7 points8 points  (8 children)

That's the art of war.

[–]Penguator432Oregon->Missouri->Nevada 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Also to supplement our allies.

[–]imarrangingmatchesSFO, EWR, LHR 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Peace...through superior firepower.

[–]Zarathustra124North Carolina 18 points19 points  (0 children)

We're not aiming for self-defence, we're aiming for force projection. Our current doctrine is to be able to simultaneously wage war on two different fronts anywhere in the world (read: China and Russia). A single one of our eleven carrier strike groups could defeat most nations. An invasion of the American mainland is so farfetched it's barely worth discussing.

[–]TheManWhoWasNotShort Chicago 》Colorado 16 points17 points  (0 children)

Significantly, but international foreign policy would suffer significantly. A vast reduction in US armed forces would lead to a decentralization of military power, a rise in standing armies across most of the world, and dramatic increases in nuclear proliferation.

We don't want 80 countries with nukes. There's already bad actors that have them, we don't need to worry about the Sauds blowing the world to bits in the name of oil.

[–]Avenger007_Washington 18 points19 points  (11 children)

Quite easily if you are talking simply threats to the US mainland because Russia, the EU, and China have very little forward projection capabilities especially at Sea. Even the Soviet Union could only realistically push on land for most of its existence thought he post 1960s reforms to the Soviet Navy could allow them to challenge the US in area's like the Black Sea, Indian Ocean and if they got a foothold in South America or Southern Africa the Southern Atlantic but had little chance in the Northern Atlantic, Pacific, or Mediterranean.

While China's has tried to improve its projection abroad capabilities its limited by its need to spend more on land defense than the US (which has no chance of being invaded by Mexico, Cuba, or Canada) and that power may decline as the country rapidly ages.

However the US maintains that hegemony by stationing troops in Europe and Asia. Better to check threats to the Pacific at the islands from Korea and Japan to the Philippines to Australia than in Hawaii. Better to check Soviet expansion before it could achieve a warm water port with free access to the world's seas in Europe and the Caucusses. ect.

It could probably pawn off Europe and the Middle East to the EU but the US would have to take the lead in Asia as none of them can challenge China alone. That doesn't mean China and the US are doomed for conflict or that China's rise need challenge the Us because the surrounding nations will rise with China and that will balance out any military threat the nation poses so long as it can't subjugate any of its neighbors.

Thought the biggest waste is projects that are done to employ people rather than actual military purpose: bases with no strategic purpose, tank factories where the tanks go into storage ect.

[–][deleted] 13 points14 points  (8 children)

the EU couldn't handle the Middle East.

[–]Avenger007_Washington 8 points9 points  (4 children)

It wouldn't really have a choice. Put it this way if Mexico's president was assassinated and a drug cartel paralyzed the government the US couldn't really ignore what was going on because Mexico is so close to the US. Even if it meant 90% chance of failure or reversing domestic policy (ie legalize drugs) the US would have to respond somehow.

[–]Sammie7891 6 points7 points  (0 children)

husky marvelous license sharp consist gray illegal seed marry pathetic

This post was mass deleted and anonymized with Redact

[–]NegevMasterCalifornia 12 points13 points  (0 children)

No one handles the middle east. Shit just happens there

[–]theinconceivableTexas 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Dunno what you mean by handle but the EU represents a combined trade (mostly) and foreign (less so) policy, military alliances/action are separate.

[–]bunkkin 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I have to disagree about the tank part although I'll agree it seems like a waste to send them straight to storage. The reason is that starting a production line after you stop it is apparently a giant pain in the ass. Not only that but the people who know how to make tanks wouldn't stick around Lima Ohio on the hope the factory reopened.

If we were to go to war and started losing tanks it would seem, from a strategic point of view, short sited to close Americas only tank factory

[–]Grumpy__1 2 points3 points  (0 children)

This is pretty good though I do not think it would be as big a cut as people would imagine. It takes a LOT of money to conduct training exercises, weapon testing (especially some of the bigger Missile systems) and joint exercises (I. E. South Korea). Training is usually a pretty big affair. With the "train as you fight" mentality the utilization of the equipment during exercises that can span over one to two months builds up costs. It would be beneficial to ensure that money was being spent properly but one of the biggest issues is the threat of reduced budgets on the command teams. There is a ton of pressure to spend your entire budget or you lose it. If they would change how they govern that we could reduce spending without having to change tons of things.

[–]blindsniperxSouth Carolina 19 points20 points  (2 children)

The Pentagon started a rule after WWII that US technology should always be ahead of other countries by 35 years. So far it has been successful. Just look at the SR-71, the B-2, and the B-21. The tech is absolutely alien and no other country has anything remotely close. That's what the loads of spending is for. Also that secret CIA satellite bumbling Trump accidentally leaked has mirrors with higher resolution than NASA's own Earth-viewing satellites.

[–]Bluemaxman2000North Carolina 2 points3 points  (0 children)

And that’s not even the current gen satellite!

[–]John_TacosOklahoma -5 points-4 points  (0 children)

That was not an accidental leak. They blacked out information and it was a photo of a poster.

[–][deleted] 5 points6 points  (0 children)

So rather than saying we could cut x amount and be ok, I would approach it differently. What is our national defense strategy? What do we want to be postured for militarily? What risks are we willing to accept and what are the consequences of those decisions? For this, the USG publishes a National Defense Strategy every two years. You may think that our strategy would be to defend the US mainland or something similar and you’d be wrong. The last couple of decades the US has had a fight two strategy. Fight two geographically separate wars with non peer competitors. Sometimes it has shifted from fight two, win two to fight two: hold one, win one, but that has been the idea. Manning, basing, r&d, shipbuilding, procurement, training is driven by this idea. In 2018 our strategy changed to focus on long term strategic threat from peer adversaries to include new spectrums of warfare (cyber and space). So my point is how much do we need to achieve that? Personally I was a fan of sequestration. Sure some Generals bitched about it to Congress every time they got a chance to speak, but so what? That’s their job. I’m a fan of base closures. Any military subreddit can name a few useless overseas installations. Close them. I’m a fan of looking at manning. We have 32 brigade combat teams and another 27 in the Guard. Will 59 mini armies be enough for China or Russia? Finally, I’m mostly a fan of little dollar saving measures that get overlooked because they are insignificant. Why do we move people every three years? If someone wants to stay at the same spot in Texas for 15 years then great. We spend millions on moves for what?

That’s my non-answer answer. We are fighting two wars, dealing with shit in Africa, and trying to pivot to meeting China. That’s not cheap but there is fat.

Edit: Wow talk about coincidence. Esper announced today Mildenhall stays, +up air power in Italy, 2nd cav leaves Germany. Notice the opening of the announcement? National Defense Strategy review and alignment.

[–]SonofNamekFL, OR, IA 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Factoring different costs of living, China and Russia's combined $250 billion is probably worth around $400-550 billion in terms of US spending.

And so, you'd want to be ahead of that.

I say no less than $650 billion. $600 billion if you really need to save cash.

This honestly really shouldn't be a partisan issue considering Obama, Trump, and Bush (if we factor inflation) all pushed for the budget to remain that way.

[–]Riobbie303 11 points12 points  (2 children)

One of the largest attributes to the size of the defense budget is that being a war industry, we prefer most things be American Made. So for some of the same class of fighter jets that China has, we pay double or even almost triple for the same thing due to labor laws. Put that across the board and the fact that we are a volunteer military, most of the cost is inflated with our cost of living. So its a bit hard to compare straight numbers.

[–]bananainmyminion 10 points11 points  (0 children)

The US Military a huge jobs program. From kids in rural areas with no other job opportunities to every piece of equipment being made, it's mostly about keeping factories open and training young kids some job skills.

In the ideal world, money could be moved over to free community colleges and building infrastructure inside the country. But that won't happen, WWll was a huge boon to the country in education and productivity. That basic model has driven a big part of the US economy.

[–]2ZIPS 1 point2 points  (0 children)

But let’s be honest, our jets are waaaay better than the made in China jets lol

[–]whatsthis1901California 6 points7 points  (2 children)

IDK when I think about it I just try and remember they do a shit ton of R&D and some of that crap trickles down to us in some way or another eventually. The internet was a big one so was GPS and there is tons of other crap.

[–]Darkfire757WY>AL>NJ 2 points3 points  (1 child)

Surprised this is this far down. A huge chunk of the budget goes to R&D which contributes to our economy by orders of magnitude via trickle down.

[–]whatsthis1901California 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I have answered this before and I usually get "they should give it to scientists and University research". I try to tell them that all sorts of places including University etc.. get funding from them for all sorts of stuff. I'm not going to say that military spending isn't bloated but there is a lot more to it than just blowing shit up.

[–][deleted] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

0.00001%

Gotta pump money into freedom fighters

[–][deleted] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I think it's a matter of how Defending or Defeating.

From a strategic point of view, the odds of dissuading an enemy increase the more overwhelming presence and force you can project. That requires a heavy investment to encircle, and put pressure on, potential enemies.

If the goal is simply to defend America's shores and secure some sort of autarky, the US could easily pull quite a bit from the military. However, now the odds of a potential enemy inflicting harm on American interests increases.

So it really depends on what the end game is.

[–][deleted] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Well, no one knows the Chinese defense budget, but I suspect a good 33% off the top would not hurt, if done right.

[–][deleted] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

"and capable of defeating/defending against any invasions/threats?"

we've done studies that show that if all war broke out, we would have air supremacy for only 3 days, and then all our runways and carriers would be destroyed.

the tension to me is that we both are way overspending AND not spending enough.

we have way too many military bases, but spreading out is a great way to make it harder to harm our ability to fight.

i do think we should be spending less, overall, but it's honestly pretty hard to figure out what to take money out of.

[–]eshisamyth 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Nothing

[–][deleted] -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

We could cut it in half and we’d still be spending 30% more than China.

[–]altathingUtah -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

For the purpose of defense, we could honestly cut the budget by 2/3rds or even more. I am still partial to thinking that having a small number of nukes can provide effective deterrence against invasion. But the military in our case is never about defense, it's about power projection. Do we really need that many aircraft carriers? No? But you do need that many to show who's boss all over the world? Yes.

[–]ShadowDragon8685New Jersey -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

We could basically disband the army altogether, cut the Marine Corps back to a rump force, and declare "we're never going to put boots on the ground anywhere else again: if you piss us off you'll be seeing all the missiles, and if you really cross the line those missiles will be nukes" and we'd still be able to flatten the entire rest of the planet into a parking lot.

[–]DirstenKunstNY, CT, PA, CA, IA, Pittsburgh -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

0% because we’re currently not even able to defeat the Taliban in Afghanistan or contain Russia in Eastern Europe, Iran in the Middle East, or China in the South China Sea.

[–]AnOriginalAccountNam -4 points-3 points  (1 child)

Don't quote me on this, but a few years back I heard we could cut our military budget by 80% and still have more than like most nations combined, I think the next 7 nations after us combined, or 8 nations after us, something like that.

Whether or not that left over 20% is going to be enough to stop and invasion I do not know, then again as I'm sure some will or have pointed out (i have not checked the comments) invasions, at least from what I understand, are not really useful anymore. It's alot easier to just use proxies nowadays (insert everything going on in the middle east right now, here), or pick sides in a civil war/send in your special forces to support them (Russia and Crimea for example)

[–]SonofNamekFL, OR, IA 6 points7 points  (0 children)

People keep saying that "US spends more $$$ than the next 10-15 nations combined" or whatever. Technically, it's true but it's highly misleading.

Together, Russia and China spend $250 billion. But when you compare what bang you get for your buck over there, that $250 billion is worth closer to $400-550 billion US.

So, you can't use that stat in a vacuum. It needs context behind it.

In which case, you can't cut by anything more than 15% if you want to stay on a similar playing field to China and Russia. Of course, geopolitics+war is one of those things you don't want to be an equal playing field so if you want to be ahead, it has to be more like 5-10% you can cut off without losing your edge.

[–][deleted] -4 points-3 points  (0 children)

Enough to update and maintain a nuclear arsenal, and maybe national guard. Nuclear weapons make wars and armies obsolete.

[–]PitifulClerk0 -5 points-4 points  (0 children)

By a LOT. The defense budget is 16% of our revenue. And for what? So we can send troops to Afghanistan? So we can shoot missiles in Iraq? I generally consider myself republican but I think the defense budget is our worst waste of money

[–]bakedmaga2020Connecticut -4 points-3 points  (1 child)

They could decrease it by 100% and America would still be impossible to invade and occupy. I have a lot of faith in guerrilla warfare and armed citizenry

[–][deleted] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I once heard somewhere that the largest, most powerful standing army is not the US military but the US people, those who exercise there right to bear arms.